Como vs Parma Prediction, Tips & Odds
Como vs Parma
Match Preview
The model favours Como to win against Parma, projecting a scoreline of 2-0. Como has made a solid start to the season, currently sitting in 6th position with four points from two matches. Their form reflects this, as they remain unbeaten, recording one win and one draw. Key statistics include scoring three goals while conceding just two, highlighting their effectiveness in attack and relative stability in defense. On the other hand, Parma is struggling significantly, placed 16th in the standings with no points from their first two games. They have yet to find the back of the net, failing to score while conceding three goals. Their recent form has been troubling, with only one draw in their last five matches and three losses. This lack of offensive production is a critical concern as they head into this fixture. The model’s output indicates a win probability favouring Como, with a projected score of 2-0. However, a potential caveat is Como's challenge of maintaining momentum against a desperate Parma side that may seek to turn their fortunes around. For a deeper understanding of our prediction, please refer to the "How We Reached This Prediction" section, where The Daily Punt Analysis Team explains our in-house model, which evaluates expected goals and actual results throughout the season.
Betting Predictions
How the model works, and its full prediction record, are set out on our How It Works and Accuracy pages.
Como have kept a clean sheet in 37% of matches. Parma average 0.7 goals per game.
Como manage games at home, conceding just 0.93 goals per match. Parma score 0.73 on the road.
The most likely scoreline per our model at 18.4% probability.
Como have been the stronger side, winning 50% of their matches.
Our model projects a 2-0 Como win as the most likely scoreline at 18.4% probability. 3 of the top six outcomes feature Como clean sheets, in line with their 37% clean-sheet rate this season.
Lines averaged across 3 bookmakers. Como are the favourites on the spread, so the larger handicaps pay more if they win comfortably while the smaller lines protect the bet on a narrower result.
Best Betting Odds
Como vs Parma| Bookmaker | 1X2 | O/U 2.5 | BTTS | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | X | 2 | Over | Under | Yes | No | |
| 1.28 | 5.75 | 12.00 | 1.76 | 2.10 | 2.27 | 1.56 | |
| 1.26 | 5.76 | 11.19 | 1.75 | 2.09 | — | — | |
| 1.29 | 5.00 | 10.00 | — | — | 2.25 | 1.62 | |
| 1.27 | 5.50 | 11.00 | 1.73 | 2.10 | 2.50 | 1.50 | |
| 1.31 | 5.90 | 12.30 | 1.81 | 2.16 | 2.27 | 1.58 | |
Goals Probability
Avg. bookmaker oddsDouble Chance
Bet covers two outcomesHead to Head
Last 9 Meetings (Parma leads 3-2)Parma hold the edge in this fixture, winning 3 of the last 9 meetings with 4 draws and 2 Como wins. The record points to a tie Parma have controlled for years, though the draws show Como have at times kept it tight.
Serie A Standings
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  AS Roma | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 10 | 1 | 9 | 9 | WWW |
| 2 |  Inter | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 8 | 3 | 5 | 9 | WWW |
| 3 | Como | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 7 | 3 | 4 | 7 | WWD |
| 4 |  AC Milan | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 5 | 2 | 3 | 7 | DWW |
| 5 |  Juventus | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 1 | 3 | 7 | DWW |
| 6 |  Lazio | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 6 | WW |
| 16 | Parma | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 4 | -3 | 1 | DLL |
| 18 |  Venezia | 3 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 2 | 7 | -5 | 0 | LLL |
| 19 |  Genoa | 3 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 1 | 7 | -6 | 0 | LLL |
| 20 |  Fiorentina | 3 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 1 | 9 | -8 | 0 | LLL |
Venue Record
Current season at home / on the roadKey Statistics
2026 SeasonComo have won 6 of their last 12 matches at home, drawing 4 and losing 2. Their recent home fixtures include beat Como 3-1 and drew with Como 2-2.
Overall, the wider run reads 15W 11D 4L from the last 30 games (50% win rate). The form line is positive, with more wins than defeats across the sample.
Parma have won 4 of their last 14 matches on the road, drawing 5 and losing 5. Their recent away fixtures include lost to Juventus 2-0 and drew with Sassuolo 0-0.
Overall, the wider run reads 8W 11D 11L from the last 30 games (27% win rate). The form line has been negative, with defeats outweighing wins across the sample.
Lineups
Lineups not yet announced
Starting lineups are usually confirmed approximately 1 hour before kick-off.
Unavailable Players
0 playersComo
No reported absences
Parma
No reported absences
Betting Strategy
High-probability picks are the most likely outcomes. Value selections are markets where our model's probability sits above the price implied by the odds. They will not always come in, but the odds are in your favour over time.
Yellow Card Prediction
The referee for this fixture has not been confirmed, so we are sitting this card market out.
Corner Prediction
Como have averaged 6.0 corners per match at home; Parma 3.4 on the road. Combined that projects roughly 5.7 corners in this fixture. Our pick is under 9.5 corners at 1.80.
Player Stats Bet
Como have generated 1.65 xG per game across their recent matches, winning 50% of them. They put 6.2 shots on target per match, giving their attackers the volume needed to land a goal-involvement bet. Como player to score or assist at 1.55 looks well supported by the data.
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The Daily Punt Analysis Team
Data-driven football predictions and betting tips
This forecast was built by the The Daily Punt Analysis Team using our in-house statistical model. We feed the model two layers of data for every fixture: each team's recent expected goals (xG and xGA) and their actual goals scored and conceded, split by home and away venue. The numbers run through a Poisson distribution that produces a probability for every possible scoreline, which we then convert into fair odds for the 1X2, correct score, BTTS, and over/under markets.
Before publishing, we cross-check our fair odds against the prices the major bookmakers are offering. Where a bookmaker is paying out more than our model says is mathematically fair, we flag that market as a value bet on this page.
