Today's top picks and bookie offers, free on TelegramToday's top picks, free on TelegramJoin

Bodo/Glimt vs Sandefjord Prediction, Tips & Odds

Bodo/Glimt vs Sandefjord

EliteserienRegular Season - 21
Bodo/Glimt
#2 · Eliteserien
WLWLW
3 - 2
Aspmyra Stadion
Referee: S. T. Sinnes
Sandefjord
#11 · Eliteserien
WWLDD
★ OUR PICK
Both Teams to Score
Both attacks have been productive and both defences leaky — both teams to score carries the edge.
BTTS
1.78
BEST ODDS
Our pick: Bookmakers offer average 1.70 (implied 58.9%) for Both Teams to Score. Our experts calculate a 61.4% probability (an expert ratio of 1.63). We chose this bet because our experts rate it more likely than the bookmaker price implies (61.4% vs 58.9%), driven by both attacks scoring freely while both defences look leaky. That edge makes it our most confident selection for this match.

Match Preview

The model favours Bodo/Glimt to win against Sandefjord with a projected scoreline of 3-0. As the current league leaders, Bodo/Glimt have demonstrated remarkable form this season, accumulating 44 points from 18 matches. Their impressive record of 14 wins, 2 draws, and only 2 losses has been underpinned by a strong goal difference of +33, with 47 goals scored and just 14 conceded. They have won their last five matches, showcasing their dominance and scoring ability. In contrast, Sandefjord sits in 12th place, with 19 points from 18 games. Their season has been challenging, with 5 wins, 4 draws, and 9 losses. While they have managed to secure 2 wins in their last five matches, their overall goal tally of 15 goals scored against 23 goals conceded reflects their difficulties in both attacking and defending. This puts them at a significant disadvantage against the league leaders. The model output indicates a high probability of a Bodo/Glimt victory, with a projected score of 3-0. However, one caveat is that if Sandefjord can improve their defensive organization and exploit any potential lapses in Bodo/Glimt's play, they may pose a threat. The full methodology behind this prediction, based on expected goals and actual results throughout the season, can be found in the "How We Reached This Prediction" section. The Daily Punt Analysis Team has employed an in-house model to derive these insights.

Betting Predictions

How the model works, and its full prediction record, are set out on our How It Works and Accuracy pages.

Match Result
Bodo/Glimt Win71%1.15
Draw13%8.05
Sandefjord Win16%13.35
BTTS
Both Teams to Score: Yes
1.7059.3%

Both attacks have been productive in recent matches, with regular goal-scoring on either side.

Over/Under Goals
Over 2.5 Goals
1.2272.7%

Combined goal output is high (4.5 per game). The over has been the right side more often than not.

Correct Score
Bodo/Glimt 3-0 Sandefjord
8.0112.6%

The most likely scoreline per our model at 12.6% probability.

Asian Handicap
Bodo/Glimt -0.0
1.0465%

Bodo/Glimt have been the stronger side, winning 75% of their matches.

CORRECT SCOREMost likely outcomes
3-0
8.01
12.6%
2-0
8.57
11.8%
3-1
9.32
10.9%
2-1
9.74
10.4%
4-0
9.66
10.4%
4-1
11.32
9.0%

Our model projects a 3-0 Bodo/Glimt win as the most likely scoreline at 12.6% probability. 3 of the top six outcomes feature Bodo/Glimt clean sheets, in line with their 39% clean-sheet rate this season.

ASIAN HANDICAPLines & prices
Bodo/Glimt
-0.0
1.04
Sandefjord
+0.0
12.00

Lines averaged across 1 bookmaker. Bodo/Glimt are the favourites on the spread, so the larger handicaps pay more if they win comfortably while the smaller lines protect the bet on a narrower result.

Best Betting Odds

Bodo/Glimt vs Sandefjord
Bookmaker1X2O/U 2.5BTTS
1X2OverUnderYesNo
10Bet
1.177.2513.001.283.651.731.95
Marathonbet
1.128.7015.251.164.151.652.08
Betfair
1.138.5015.001.204.331.732.10
Pinnacle
1.169.7212.601.194.72——
SBO
1.156.188.87————
William Hill
1.148.0013.00——1.672.10
Bet365
1.148.5013.001.254.001.752.00
1xBet
1.139.5016.501.164.151.662.09
Unibet
1.197.0011.501.243.601.652.07
888Sport
1.157.5013.001.253.601.702.05
Betano
1.157.8013.501.253.701.781.93
BetVictor
1.118.0015.001.184.331.652.10

Goals Probability

Avg. bookmaker odds
Over 0.5 Goals
96.2%
Over 1.5 Goals
89.1%
Over 2.5 Goals
72.7%
Over 3.5 Goals
58.4%

Double Chance

Bet covers two outcomes
1XBodo/Glimt or Draw
84%1.03
12Bodo/Glimt or Sandefjord
87%1.07
X2Draw or Sandefjord
29%5.19

Head to Head

Last 10 Meetings (Bodo/Glimt leads 7-1)
7 Bodo/Glimt1 Draw1 Sandefjord
Aug 25
Sandefjord
1-2
Bodo/Glimt
Eliteserien
Jul 25
Bodo/Glimt
2-0
Sandefjord
Eliteserien
Jul 24
Sandefjord
2-1
Bodo/Glimt
Eliteserien
May 24
Bodo/Glimt
1-1
Sandefjord
Eliteserien
Oct 23
Bodo/Glimt
4-3
Sandefjord
Eliteserien
Jul 23
Sandefjord
2-5
Bodo/Glimt
Eliteserien
Oct 22
Bodo/Glimt
4-1
Sandefjord
Eliteserien
Apr 22
Sandefjord
1-2
Bodo/Glimt
Eliteserien
Oct 21
Bodo/Glimt
1-0
Sandefjord
Eliteserien
Jul 21
Sandefjord
-
Bodo/Glimt
Eliteserien

In the last 10 matches between Bodo/Glimt and Sandefjord, Bodo/Glimt has won 7 times, with 1 draw and 1 win for Sandefjord. This record indicates a strong dominance by Bodo/Glimt, particularly reflected in the scorelines, where they frequently secured heavy wins, including a notable 5-2 victory. The matches have shown a tendency for Bodo/Glimt to win by comfortable margins, with only one match ending in a draw and Sandefjord's last victory coming in July 2024. Overall, the head-to-head results suggest that Bodo/Glimt has consistently outperformed Sandefjord in recent encounters.

Eliteserien Standings

#TeamPWDLGFGAGDPtsForm
1
Viking
21162354203450
WWDWL
2
Bodo/Glimt
21162353193450
LWWWW
3
Tromso
21115540291138
WLLDL
4
Molde
21113744321236
LWWWW
5
Rosenborg
2110383930933
WWWLW
6
Lillestrom
2110292829-132
LWWLD
11
Sandefjord
2165102127-623
WLDDW
14
Aalesund
214983346-1321
WLWLD
15
Kristiansund BK
2154122140-1919
LLWDL
16
Start
2144132244-2216
LWLWL

Venue Record

Current season at home / on the road
Bodo/GlimtHome
9W0D1L
10 playedGF 31 · GA 62.70 pts/game
SandefjordAway
3W0D7L
10 playedGF 11 · GA 170.90 pts/game

Key Statistics

2026 Season
Bodo/GlimtSandefjord
2.77Goals p.g.1.76
1.16Goals conceded p.g.1.18
39%Clean sheets38%
75%Win rate47%
3.93Avg goals in match2.94
2.01xG per game1.02
-0.10xGA per game0.02
60%Possession %49%
5.8Shots on target / game3.9
6.6Corners per game5.2
Bodo/Glimt
Recent Form

Bodo/Glimt have won 19 of their last 22 matches at home, drawing 1 and losing 2. Their recent home fixtures include beat Bodo/Glimt 3-2 and beat Bodo/Glimt 4-2.

Overall, the wider run reads 33W 5D 6L from the last 44 games (75% win rate). The form line is positive, with more wins than defeats across the sample.

Match Results: Bodo/GlimtAll competitions
01 Oct
Rana
2-6
Bodo/Glimt
NM Cupen
20 Sept
Brann
2-1
Bodo/Glimt
Eliteserien
14 Sept
Bodo/Glimt
3-2
Sandefjord
Eliteserien
10 Sept
Bayern München
5-0
Bodo/Glimt
UEFA Champions League
30 Aug
Bodo/Glimt
4-2
Rosenborg
Eliteserien
26 Aug
Fauske Sprint
0-5
Bodo/Glimt
NM Cupen
33
Win
75%
5
Draw
11%
6
Lost
14%
Sandefjord
Recent Form

Sandefjord have won 6 of their last 15 matches on the road, drawing 1 and losing 8. Their recent away fixtures include beat Sandefjord 0-1 and lost to Bodo/Glimt 3-2.

Overall, the wider run reads 16W 7D 11L from the last 34 games (47% win rate). The form line is positive, with more wins than defeats across the sample.

Match Results: SandefjordAll competitions
30 Sept
Flint
0-1
Sandefjord
NM Cupen
20 Sept
Sandefjord
3-0
Start
Eliteserien
14 Sept
Bodo/Glimt
3-2
Sandefjord
Eliteserien
04 Sept
Sandefjord
1-1
Viking
Eliteserien
30 Aug
Sandefjord
0-0
Brann
Eliteserien
23 Aug
Eidanger
0-15
Sandefjord
NM Cupen
16
Win
47%
7
Draw
21%
11
Lost
32%

Lineups

📋

Lineups not yet announced

Starting lineups are usually confirmed approximately 1 hour before kick-off.

Unavailable Players

13 players

Bodo/Glimt6

✕A. Mikkelsen
Missing FixtureGroin Injury
✕H. Evjen
Missing FixtureKnee Injury
✕I. Sjong
Missing FixtureInjury
✕J. Gundersen
Missing FixtureThigh Injury
✕M. Riisnaes
Missing FixtureInjury
✕N. Haikin
Missing FixtureInjury

Sandefjord7

✕D. Koswal
Missing FixtureInjury
✕E. Pettersen
Missing FixtureYellow Cards
✕F. Loftesnes-Bjune
Missing FixtureThigh Injury
✕M. Melchior
Missing FixtureKnee Injury
✕N. Moller
Missing FixtureAnkle Injury
✕T. Borkeeiet
Missing FixtureInjury
✕X. Lambrix
Missing FixtureYellow Cards

Betting Strategy

High-probability picks are the most likely outcomes. Value selections are markets where our model's probability sits above the price implied by the odds. They will not always come in, but the odds are in your favour over time.

High Probability
Bodo/Glimt Win1.15 (71.1%)
Over 2.5 Goals1.22 (72.7%)
Both Teams Score1.70 (59.3%)
Value Bets
Under 2.5 Goals4.02 (27.3%)
BTTS No2.05 (40.7%)
Speculative
Draw8.05 (13.3%)
Sandefjord Win13.35 (15.6%)

Yellow Card Prediction

S. T. Sinnes has been appointed as the referee for this fixture. We don't yet have enough recent fixtures officiated by S. T. Sinnes to give a confident card-market projection. Our default lean is under 3.5 yellow cards at 1.95.

Corner Prediction

Bodo/Glimt have averaged 6.6 corners per match at home; Sandefjord 5.2 on the road. Combined that projects roughly 6.9 corners in this fixture. Our pick is under 9.5 corners at 1.80.

Player Stats Bet

Bodo/Glimt have generated 2.01 xG per game across their recent matches, winning 75% of them. They put 5.8 shots on target per match, giving their attackers the volume needed to land a goal-involvement bet. Bodo/Glimt player to score or assist at 1.55 looks well supported by the data.

What's Your Prediction?

Pick the result you expect

OUR PREDICTION
Both Teams to Score Yes

Do you agree with this prediction?

The Daily Punt Analysis Team

Data-driven football predictions and betting tips

This forecast was built by the The Daily Punt Analysis Team using our in-house statistical model. We feed the model two layers of data for every fixture: each team's recent expected goals (xG and xGA) and their actual goals scored and conceded, split by home and away venue. The numbers run through a Poisson distribution that produces a probability for every possible scoreline, which we then convert into fair odds for the 1X2, correct score, BTTS, and over/under markets.

Before publishing, we cross-check our fair odds against the prices the major bookmakers are offering. Where a bookmaker is paying out more than our model says is mathematically fair, we flag that market as a value bet on this page.