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Bodo/Glimt vs Sandefjord Prediction, Tips & Odds

Bodo/Glimt vs Sandefjord

EliteserienRegular Season - 21
Bodo/Glimt
#1 · Eliteserien
WWWWW
VS
Aspmyra Stadion
Referee: S. T. Sinnes
Sandefjord
#12 · Eliteserien
DDWWL
★ OUR PICK
Both Teams to Score
Both attacks have been productive and both defences leaky — both teams to score carries the edge.
BTTS
1.75
BEST ODDS
Our pick: Bookmakers offer average 1.70 (implied 58.7%) for Both Teams to Score. Our experts calculate a 61.2% probability (an expert ratio of 1.63). We chose this bet because our experts rate it more likely than the bookmaker price implies (61.2% vs 58.7%), driven by both attacks scoring freely while both defences look leaky. That edge makes it our most confident selection for this match.

Match Preview

The model favours Bodo/Glimt to win against Sandefjord with a projected scoreline of 3-0. As the current league leaders, Bodo/Glimt have demonstrated remarkable form this season, accumulating 44 points from 18 matches. Their impressive record of 14 wins, 2 draws, and only 2 losses has been underpinned by a strong goal difference of +33, with 47 goals scored and just 14 conceded. They have won their last five matches, showcasing their dominance and scoring ability. In contrast, Sandefjord sits in 12th place, with 19 points from 18 games. Their season has been challenging, with 5 wins, 4 draws, and 9 losses. While they have managed to secure 2 wins in their last five matches, their overall goal tally of 15 goals scored against 23 goals conceded reflects their difficulties in both attacking and defending. This puts them at a significant disadvantage against the league leaders. The model output indicates a high probability of a Bodo/Glimt victory, with a projected score of 3-0. However, one caveat is that if Sandefjord can improve their defensive organization and exploit any potential lapses in Bodo/Glimt's play, they may pose a threat. The full methodology behind this prediction, based on expected goals and actual results throughout the season, can be found in the "How We Reached This Prediction" section. The Daily Punt Analysis Team has employed an in-house model to derive these insights.

Betting Predictions

How the model works, and its full prediction record, are set out on our How It Works and Accuracy pages.

Match Result
Bodo/Glimt Win73%1.17
Draw14%7.43
Sandefjord Win13%12.26
BTTS
Both Teams to Score: Yes
1.7058.3%

Both attacks have been productive in recent matches, with regular goal-scoring on either side.

Over/Under Goals
Over 2.5 Goals
1.2570.6%

Combined goal output is high (4.5 per game). The over has been the right side more often than not.

Correct Score
Bodo/Glimt 3-0 Sandefjord
7.9012.8%

The most likely scoreline per our model at 12.8% probability.

Asian Handicap
Bodo/Glimt -0.0
1.0367%

Bodo/Glimt have been the stronger side, winning 77% of their matches.

CORRECT SCOREMost likely outcomes
3-0
7.90
12.8%
2-0
8.19
12.3%
3-1
9.22
11.0%
2-1
9.32
10.9%
4-0
9.99
10.1%
1-0
11.55
8.8%

Our model projects a 3-0 Bodo/Glimt win as the most likely scoreline at 12.8% probability. 4 of the top six outcomes feature Bodo/Glimt clean sheets, in line with their 44% clean-sheet rate this season.

ASIAN HANDICAPLines & prices
Bodo/Glimt
-0.0
1.03
Sandefjord
+0.0
8.30

Lines averaged across 1 bookmaker. Bodo/Glimt are the favourites on the spread, so the larger handicaps pay more if they win comfortably while the smaller lines protect the bet on a narrower result.

Best Betting Odds

Bodo/Glimt vs Sandefjord
Bookmaker1X2O/U 2.5BTTS
1X2OverUnderYesNo
10Bet
1.177.2513.001.283.651.731.95
Marathonbet
1.157.9013.001.213.621.682.03
Betfair
1.158.0015.001.253.801.752.05
Pinnacle
1.188.5110.371.253.88
SBO
1.156.188.87
William Hill
1.187.0012.001.702.05
Bet365
1.187.5012.001.283.601.752.00
1xBet
1.178.4513.901.213.621.682.06
Unibet
1.197.0011.501.243.601.652.07
888Sport
1.157.5013.001.253.601.702.05
Betano
1.196.9011.501.283.451.722.00
BetVictor
1.147.0013.001.253.601.672.05

Goals Probability

Avg. bookmaker odds
Over 0.5 Goals
96.2%
Over 1.5 Goals
88.4%
Over 2.5 Goals
70.6%
Over 3.5 Goals
55.6%

Double Chance

Bet covers two outcomes
1XBodo/Glimt or Draw
87%1.03
12Bodo/Glimt or Sandefjord
86%1.07
X2Draw or Sandefjord
27%4.74

Head to Head

Last 10 Meetings (Bodo/Glimt leads 7-1)
7 Bodo/Glimt1 Draw1 Sandefjord
Aug 25
Sandefjord
1-2
Bodo/Glimt
Eliteserien
Jul 25
Bodo/Glimt
2-0
Sandefjord
Eliteserien
Jul 24
Sandefjord
2-1
Bodo/Glimt
Eliteserien
May 24
Bodo/Glimt
1-1
Sandefjord
Eliteserien
Oct 23
Bodo/Glimt
4-3
Sandefjord
Eliteserien
Jul 23
Sandefjord
2-5
Bodo/Glimt
Eliteserien
Oct 22
Bodo/Glimt
4-1
Sandefjord
Eliteserien
Apr 22
Sandefjord
1-2
Bodo/Glimt
Eliteserien
Oct 21
Bodo/Glimt
1-0
Sandefjord
Eliteserien
Jul 21
Sandefjord
-
Bodo/Glimt
Eliteserien

In the last 10 matches between Bodo/Glimt and Sandefjord, Bodo/Glimt has won 7 times, with 1 draw and 1 win for Sandefjord. This record indicates a strong dominance by Bodo/Glimt, particularly reflected in the scorelines, where they frequently secured heavy wins, including a notable 5-2 victory. The matches have shown a tendency for Bodo/Glimt to win by comfortable margins, with only one match ending in a draw and Sandefjord's last victory coming in July 2024. Overall, the head-to-head results suggest that Bodo/Glimt has consistently outperformed Sandefjord in recent encounters.

Eliteserien Standings

#TeamPWDLGFGAGDPtsForm
1
Bodo/Glimt
19152249153447
WWWWW
2
Viking
19142343192444
DWLWW
3
Tromso
19105434221235
LDLWW
4
Molde
1910363829933
WWWLD
5
Lillestrom
199282626029
WLDLL
6
Rosenborg
198383126527
WLWWL
12
Sandefjord
195591624-820
DDWLL
14
KFUM Oslo
1954102033-1319
LLDWW
15
Aalesund
193973043-1318
WLDDL
16
Start
1934122041-2113
LWLLW

Venue Record

Current season at home / on the road
Bodo/GlimtHome
8W0D1L
9 playedGF 28 · GA 42.67 pts/game
SandefjordAway
3W0D6L
9 playedGF 9 · GA 141.00 pts/game

Key Statistics

2026 Season
Bodo/GlimtSandefjord
2.79Goals p.g.1.74
0.97Goals conceded p.g.1.19
44%Clean sheets35%
77%Win rate45%
3.77Avg goals in match2.94
1.98xG per game1.02
-0.05xGA per game0.02
58%Possession %49%
5.3Shots on target / game3.9
5.7Corners per game5.2
Bodo/Glimt
Recent Form

Bodo/Glimt have won 17 of their last 20 matches at home, drawing 1 and losing 2. Their recent home fixtures include beat Bodo/Glimt 4-2 and beat Bodo/Glimt 3-0.

Overall, the wider run reads 30W 5D 4L from the last 39 games (77% win rate). The form line is positive, with more wins than defeats across the sample.

Match Results: Bodo/GlimtAll competitions
04 Sept
Fredrikstad
1-2
Bodo/Glimt
Eliteserien
30 Aug
Bodo/Glimt
4-2
Rosenborg
Eliteserien
26 Aug
Fauske Sprint
0-5
Bodo/Glimt
NM Cupen
25 Aug
Bodo/Glimt
3-0
NEC Nijmegen
UEFA Champions League
19 Aug
NEC Nijmegen
1-3
Bodo/Glimt
UEFA Champions League
04 Aug
Union St. Gilloise
3-3
Bodo/Glimt
UEFA Champions League
30
Win
77%
5
Draw
13%
4
Lost
10%
Sandefjord
Recent Form

Sandefjord have won 5 of their last 13 matches on the road, drawing 1 and losing 7. Their recent away fixtures include beat Eidanger 0-15 and beat Sarpsborg 08 FF 1-2.

Overall, the wider run reads 14W 7D 10L from the last 31 games (45% win rate). The form line is positive, with more wins than defeats across the sample.

Match Results: SandefjordAll competitions
04 Sept
Sandefjord
1-1
Viking
Eliteserien
30 Aug
Sandefjord
0-0
Brann
Eliteserien
23 Aug
Eidanger
0-15
Sandefjord
NM Cupen
16 Aug
Sarpsborg 08 FF
1-2
Sandefjord
Eliteserien
07 Aug
Sandefjord
0-1
KFUM Oslo
Eliteserien
01 Aug
Fredrikstad
1-0
Sandefjord
Eliteserien
14
Win
45%
7
Draw
23%
10
Lost
32%

Lineups

📋

Lineups not yet announced

Starting lineups are usually confirmed approximately 1 hour before kick-off.

Unavailable Players

0 players

Bodo/Glimt

No reported absences

Sandefjord

No reported absences

Betting Strategy

High-probability picks are the most likely outcomes. Value selections are markets where our model's probability sits above the price implied by the odds. They will not always come in, but the odds are in your favour over time.

High Probability
Bodo/Glimt Win1.17 (72.9%)
Over 2.5 Goals1.25 (70.6%)
Both Teams Score1.70 (58.3%)
Value Bets
Under 2.5 Goals3.64 (29.4%)
BTTS No2.03 (41.7%)
Speculative
Draw7.43 (13.8%)
Sandefjord Win12.26 (13.3%)

Yellow Card Prediction

S. T. Sinnes has averaged 3.0 yellow cards per match across 1 recent fixtures we have data for. Our pick is under 3.5 yellow cards at 1.95.

Corner Prediction

Bodo/Glimt have averaged 5.7 corners per match at home; Sandefjord 5.2 on the road. Combined that projects roughly 6.5 corners in this fixture. Our pick is under 9.5 corners at 1.80.

Player Stats Bet

Bodo/Glimt have generated 1.98 xG per game across their recent matches, winning 77% of them. They put 5.3 shots on target per match, giving their attackers the volume needed to land a goal-involvement bet. Bodo/Glimt player to score or assist at 1.55 looks well supported by the data.

What's Your Prediction?

Pick the result you expect

OUR PREDICTION
Both Teams to Score Yes

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The Daily Punt Analysis Team

Data-driven football predictions and betting tips

This forecast was built by the The Daily Punt Analysis Team using our in-house statistical model. We feed the model two layers of data for every fixture: each team's recent expected goals (xG and xGA) and their actual goals scored and conceded, split by home and away venue. The numbers run through a Poisson distribution that produces a probability for every possible scoreline, which we then convert into fair odds for the 1X2, correct score, BTTS, and over/under markets.

Before publishing, we cross-check our fair odds against the prices the major bookmakers are offering. Where a bookmaker is paying out more than our model says is mathematically fair, we flag that market as a value bet on this page.