FC Cincinnati vs New England Revolution Prediction, Tips & Odds
FC Cincinnati vs New England Revolution
Match Preview
The model favours New England Revolution to win this match against FC Cincinnati, projecting a scoreline of 2-1. The Revolution currently sit in second place in the league standings, with a solid record of 14 wins, 4 draws, and 9 losses from 27 matches. Their goal difference of +9 indicates a strong defensive performance, having conceded only 36 goals while scoring 45. Recent form shows that they have won three of their last five matches, which highlights their competitive edge heading into this fixture. In contrast, FC Cincinnati finds themselves in 10th place, struggling with a record of 8 wins, 9 draws, and 9 losses. Their goal difference of -9 suggests defensive vulnerabilities, having conceded 64 goals this season. The team's recent form has been disappointing, with no wins in their last five matches, leading to three losses and two draws. This lack of momentum may hinder their ability to challenge a strong opponent like New England. The model outputs a win probability of 60% in favour of New England Revolution, with a projected score of 2-1. However, a potential caveat is FC Cincinnati's home advantage, which could enable them to perform better than their recent form suggests. The full method used to reach this prediction is detailed in the "How We Reached This Prediction" section, based on an in-house model from The Daily Punt Analysis Team that assesses expected goals and actual results throughout the season.
Betting Predictions
How the model works, and its full prediction record, are set out on our How It Works and Accuracy pages.
Both attacks have been productive in recent matches, with regular goal-scoring on either side.
Combined goal output is high (4.1 per game). The over has been the right side more often than not.
The most likely scoreline per our model at 11.8% probability.
FC Cincinnati have been the stronger side, winning 41% of their matches.
Our model projects a 1-1 draw as the most likely scoreline at 11.8% probability. These six outcomes together cover the bulk of the projected probability for this fixture.
Lines averaged across 4 bookmakers. FC Cincinnati are the favourites on the spread, so the larger handicaps pay more if they win comfortably while the smaller lines protect the bet on a narrower result.
Best Betting Odds
FC Cincinnati vs New England Revolution| Bookmaker | 1X2 | O/U 2.5 | BTTS | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | X | 2 | Over | Under | Yes | No | |
| 1.91 | 3.95 | 3.35 | 1.33 | 2.81 | 1.35 | 2.88 | |
| 1.95 | 3.90 | 3.40 | 1.40 | 2.88 | — | — | |
| 1.97 | 3.94 | 3.45 | 1.41 | 2.90 | — | — | |
| 1.91 | 3.70 | 3.30 | — | — | 1.36 | 2.90 | |
| 1.95 | 4.00 | 3.30 | 1.40 | 2.88 | 1.40 | 2.75 | |
Betano | 1.98 | 4.05 | 3.35 | 1.37 | 3.15 | 1.35 | 3.05 |
BetVictor | 1.90 | 3.90 | 3.20 | 1.36 | 3.00 | 1.33 | 3.00 |
Goals Probability
Avg. bookmaker oddsDouble Chance
Bet covers two outcomesHead to Head
Last 10 Meetings (FC Cincinnati leads 4-2)In the last 10 matches between FC Cincinnati and New England Revolution, FC Cincinnati has won 4 times, there have been 3 draws, and New England Revolution has won 2 times. The scorelines indicate a mix of tight contests and lopsided results, notably highlighted by a significant 6-1 victory for New England Revolution. Additionally, the matches show a tendency for draws, with three encounters ending level. FC Cincinnati's last win came in June 2025, suggesting they have had the upper hand more recently, while New England Revolution's last victory was in June 2024.
Major League Soccer Standings
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Vancouver Whitecaps | 28 | 15 | 6 | 7 | 61 | 30 | 31 | 51 | DLDWL |
| 1 |  Nashville SC | 28 | 19 | 6 | 3 | 59 | 22 | 37 | 63 | WWWDL |
| 2 |  St. Louis City | 27 | 13 | 8 | 6 | 48 | 36 | 12 | 47 | WWWDW |
| 2 |  Inter Miami | 28 | 13 | 10 | 5 | 68 | 50 | 18 | 49 | WLDDD |
| 3 |  FC Dallas | 28 | 13 | 8 | 7 | 52 | 45 | 7 | 47 | LWDWW |
| 3 |  Chicago Fire | 28 | 14 | 6 | 8 | 51 | 40 | 11 | 48 | WWWLL |
| 4 | New England Revolution | 28 | 14 | 4 | 10 | 45 | 39 | 6 | 46 | LLWWW |
| 9 | FC Cincinnati | 27 | 9 | 9 | 9 | 58 | 65 | -7 | 36 | WLDDL |
| 14 |  Atlanta United FC | 28 | 7 | 6 | 15 | 33 | 48 | -15 | 27 | LDWDL |
| 15 |  CF Montreal | 28 | 6 | 6 | 16 | 35 | 56 | -21 | 24 | LWLLL |
| 15 |  Sporting Kansas City | 28 | 6 | 4 | 18 | 35 | 68 | -33 | 22 | DLWLW |
Venue Record
Current season at home / on the roadKey Statistics
2026 SeasonFC Cincinnati have won 13 of their last 19 matches at home, drawing 3 and losing 3. Their recent home fixtures include drew with FC Cincinnati 3-3 and drew with FC Cincinnati 1-1.
Overall, the wider run reads 16W 11D 12L from the last 39 games (41% win rate). The form line is positive, with more wins than defeats across the sample.
New England Revolution have won 5 of their last 15 matches on the road, drawing 2 and losing 8. Their recent away fixtures include lost to Real Salt Lake 3-0 and beat Chicago Fire 1-2.
Overall, the wider run reads 17W 7D 14L from the last 38 games (45% win rate). The form line is positive, with more wins than defeats across the sample.
Lineups
Lineups not yet announced
Starting lineups are usually confirmed approximately 1 hour before kick-off.
Unavailable Players
0 playersFC Cincinnati
No reported absences
New England Revolution
No reported absences
Betting Strategy
High-probability picks are the most likely outcomes. Value selections are markets where our model's probability sits above the price implied by the odds. They will not always come in, but the odds are in your favour over time.
Yellow Card Prediction
The referee for this fixture has not been confirmed, so we are sitting this card market out.
Corner Prediction
FC Cincinnati have averaged 5.0 corners per match at home; New England Revolution 6.0 on the road. Combined that projects roughly 6.5 corners in this fixture. Our pick is under 9.5 corners at 1.80.
Player Stats Bet
FC Cincinnati have generated 1.63 xG per game across their recent matches, winning 41% of them. They put 5.3 shots on target per match, giving their attackers the volume needed to land a goal-involvement bet. FC Cincinnati player to score at 1.85 looks well supported by the data.
What's Your Prediction?
Pick the result you expect
Do you agree with this prediction?
The Daily Punt Analysis Team
Data-driven football predictions and betting tips
This forecast was built by the The Daily Punt Analysis Team using our in-house statistical model. We feed the model two layers of data for every fixture: each team's recent expected goals (xG and xGA) and their actual goals scored and conceded, split by home and away venue. The numbers run through a Poisson distribution that produces a probability for every possible scoreline, which we then convert into fair odds for the 1X2, correct score, BTTS, and over/under markets.
Before publishing, we cross-check our fair odds against the prices the major bookmakers are offering. Where a bookmaker is paying out more than our model says is mathematically fair, we flag that market as a value bet on this page.
