FC Juarez vs CF Pachuca Prediction, Tips & Odds
FC Juarez vs CF Pachuca
Match Preview
The model favours CF Pachuca to win this match against FC Juarez, projecting a scoreline of 2-0. Pachuca currently sits in 15th place in the league, having secured one win from their four matches this season. Their goal difference stands at zero, with six goals scored and six conceded, indicating a balanced yet inconsistent performance thus far. On the other hand, FC Juarez is struggling at the bottom of the table in 18th position, having lost all five of their matches. With just three goals scored and a concerning 15 goals conceded, their form is a significant concern and suggests defensive frailties that Pachuca may exploit. Juarez's inability to secure points could weigh heavily on their confidence as they face a team that, while not in top form, has shown some ability to score. According to the model's output, Pachuca has a win probability of around 60%, with a projected score of 2-0. A key market percentage to note is Pachuca's odds of winning at approximately 1.75. However, one caveat is that if Juarez can capitalize on any early chances or if Pachuca's defensive line falters, the match could take an unexpected turn. The full method behind this prediction is detailed in the "How We Reached This Prediction" section, developed by The Daily Punt Analysis Team using an in-house model that assesses expected goals and actual results throughout the season.
Betting Predictions
How the model works, and its full prediction record, are set out on our How It Works and Accuracy pages.
Both attacks have been productive in recent matches, with regular goal-scoring on either side.
Combined goal output is high (2.9 per game). The over has been the right side more often than not.
The most likely scoreline per our model at 16.4% probability.
CF Pachuca have been the stronger side, winning 50% of their matches.
Our model projects a 1-1 draw as the most likely scoreline at 16.4% probability. These six outcomes together cover the bulk of the projected probability for this fixture.
Lines averaged across 1 bookmaker. CF Pachuca are the favourites on the spread, so the larger handicaps pay more if they win comfortably while the smaller lines protect the bet on a narrower result.
Best Betting Odds
FC Juarez vs CF Pachuca| Bookmaker | 1X2 | O/U 2.5 | BTTS | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | X | 2 | Over | Under | Yes | No | |
| 3.82 | 3.75 | 1.93 | — | — | — | — | |
| 3.70 | 3.65 | 1.84 | 1.60 | 2.28 | 1.50 | 2.32 | |
Goals Probability
Avg. bookmaker oddsDouble Chance
Bet covers two outcomesHead to Head
Last 10 Meetings (CF Pachuca leads 5-3)In the last 10 encounters between FC Juarez and CF Pachuca, CF Pachuca has a slight edge with 5 wins, while FC Juarez has secured 3 victories and there have been 2 draws. The scorelines indicate a mix of outcomes, with several matches being closely contested, as seen in the four draws and a few narrow victories. However, CF Pachuca has also achieved significant wins, including a 4-1 victory in January 2023. The contests have been competitive overall, with no team consistently dominating the other in recent matchups.
Liga MX Standings
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Club America | 6 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 12 | 2 | 10 | 16 | WWWWD |
| 2 |  Toluca | 6 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 12 | 4 | 8 | 13 | WWDWL |
| 3 |  Club Tijuana | 6 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 10 | 7 | 3 | 13 | WLWDW |
| 4 |  Atlas | 6 | 4 | 0 | 2 | 9 | 8 | 1 | 12 | LWWLW |
| 5 |  Guadalajara Chivas | 6 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 9 | 6 | 3 | 11 | DWWDW |
| 6 |  Club Queretaro | 6 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 9 | 7 | 2 | 10 | WLDWW |
| 15 | CF Pachuca | 6 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 8 | 8 | 0 | 5 | DDLLL |
| 16 |  Tigres UANL | 6 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 8 | 10 | -2 | 5 | DWLLD |
| 17 |  Santos Laguna | 6 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 4 | 11 | -7 | 1 | DLLLL |
| 18 | FC Juarez | 6 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 3 | 19 | -16 | 0 | LLLLL |
Venue Record
Current season at home / on the roadKey Statistics
2026 SeasonFC Juarez have won 4 of their last 13 matches at home, drawing 2 and losing 7. Their recent home fixtures include lost to FC Juarez 1-2 and lost to FC Juarez 1-5.
Overall, the wider run reads 9W 6D 15L from the last 30 games (30% win rate). The form line has been negative, with defeats outweighing wins across the sample.
CF Pachuca have won 6 of their last 16 matches on the road, drawing 3 and losing 7. Their recent away fixtures include drew with CF Pachuca 1-1 and beat Charlotte 0-1.
Overall, the wider run reads 15W 5D 10L from the last 30 games (50% win rate). The form line is positive, with more wins than defeats across the sample.
Lineups
Lineups not yet announced
Starting lineups are usually confirmed approximately 1 hour before kick-off.
Unavailable Players
0 playersFC Juarez
No reported absences
CF Pachuca
No reported absences
Betting Strategy
High-probability picks are the most likely outcomes. Value selections are markets where our model's probability sits above the price implied by the odds. They will not always come in, but the odds are in your favour over time.
Yellow Card Prediction
The referee for this fixture has not been confirmed, so we are sitting this card market out.
Corner Prediction
FC Juarez have averaged 2.5 corners per match at home; CF Pachuca 4.6 on the road. Combined that projects roughly 4.5 corners in this fixture. Our pick is under 9.5 corners at 1.80.
Player Stats Bet
CF Pachuca have generated 1.24 xG per game across their recent matches, winning 50% of them. They put 4.3 shots on target per match, giving their attackers the volume needed to land a goal-involvement bet. CF Pachuca player to score or assist at 1.55 looks well supported by the data.
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The Daily Punt Analysis Team
Data-driven football predictions and betting tips
This forecast was built by the The Daily Punt Analysis Team using our in-house statistical model. We feed the model two layers of data for every fixture: each team's recent expected goals (xG and xGA) and their actual goals scored and conceded, split by home and away venue. The numbers run through a Poisson distribution that produces a probability for every possible scoreline, which we then convert into fair odds for the 1X2, correct score, BTTS, and over/under markets.
Before publishing, we cross-check our fair odds against the prices the major bookmakers are offering. Where a bookmaker is paying out more than our model says is mathematically fair, we flag that market as a value bet on this page.
