FC Thun vs Vikingur Reykjavik Prediction, Tips & Odds
FC Thun vs Vikingur Reykjavik
Match Preview
The model favours FC Thun to win this match against Vikingur Reykjavik, with a projected scoreline of 2-1. FC Thun has had a mixed start to their season, recording one win, two draws, and two losses in their last five matches. This indicates some inconsistency, but they have shown the ability to secure points, suggesting they can compete effectively in this encounter. On the other hand, Vikingur Reykjavik has also had a fluctuating form with two wins, one draw, and two losses in their last five matches. Their recent performances indicate a slight edge in confidence, particularly with back-to-back wins. However, they will need to maintain this momentum to challenge Thun effectively. The model output suggests a win probability that leans towards FC Thun. Nonetheless, a potential caveat is that Thun's inconsistency could lead to a surprise result if they fail to capitalize on their home advantage. For a detailed breakdown of the prediction methodology, including expected goals and actual results, please refer to the "How We Reached This Prediction" section. The Daily Punt Analysis Team employs an in-house model to evaluate these fixtures comprehensively.
Betting Predictions
How the model works, and its full prediction record, are set out on our How It Works and Accuracy pages.
Both attacks have been productive in recent matches, with regular goal-scoring on either side.
Combined goal output is high (4.8 per game). The over has been the right side more often than not.
The most likely scoreline per our model at 13.4% probability.
FC Thun have been the stronger side, winning 50% of their matches.
Our model projects a 2-1 FC Thun win as the most likely scoreline at 13.4% probability. 3 of the top six outcomes feature FC Thun clean sheets, in line with their 11% clean-sheet rate this season.
Lines averaged across 4 bookmakers. FC Thun are the favourites on the spread, so the larger handicaps pay more if they win comfortably while the smaller lines protect the bet on a narrower result.
Best Betting Odds
FC Thun vs Vikingur Reykjavik| Bookmaker | 1X2 | O/U 2.5 | BTTS | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | X | 2 | Over | Under | Yes | No | |
| 1.52 | 4.50 | 5.25 | 1.50 | 2.55 | 1.57 | 2.20 | |
| 1.49 | 4.40 | 5.75 | 1.43 | 2.48 | 1.56 | 2.24 | |
| 1.47 | 4.33 | 5.50 | 1.44 | 2.60 | 1.50 | 2.40 | |
| 1.56 | 4.30 | 5.17 | 1.53 | 2.51 | — | — | |
| 1.44 | 4.03 | 4.94 | — | — | — | — | |
| 1.50 | 4.00 | 5.00 | — | — | 1.55 | 2.30 | |
| 1.42 | 4.50 | 6.00 | 1.53 | 2.38 | 1.67 | 2.10 | |
| 1.55 | 4.58 | 5.98 | 1.43 | 2.48 | 1.56 | 2.28 | |
| 1.50 | 4.50 | 5.40 | 1.44 | 2.50 | 1.55 | 2.23 | |
| 1.50 | 4.00 | 5.00 | 1.44 | 2.50 | 1.53 | 2.30 | |
Betano | 1.53 | 4.35 | 5.30 | 1.53 | 2.45 | 1.60 | 2.18 |
Superbet | 1.53 | 4.60 | 5.45 | 1.51 | 2.57 | 1.63 | 2.20 |
BetVictor | 1.50 | 4.50 | 5.50 | 1.47 | 2.43 | 1.55 | 2.25 |
Goals Probability
Avg. bookmaker oddsDouble Chance
Bet covers two outcomesHead to Head
Last 1 Meetings (FC Thun leads 1-0)In the head-to-head record between FC Thun and Vikingur Reykjavik, FC Thun has won 1 match, while Vikingur Reykjavik has not secured any victories. The only encounter took place on August 6, 2026, where FC Thun won with a score of 2-0. This result indicates a clear advantage for FC Thun, as they not only emerged victorious but also kept a clean sheet. With just one match played, there is limited data, but the scoreline suggests a degree of dominance by FC Thun in their previous meeting.
Key Statistics
2026 SeasonFC Thun have won 8 of their last 15 matches at home, drawing 3 and losing 4. Their recent home fixtures include beat FC Thun 3-0 and lost to FC Thun 0-6.
Overall, the wider run reads 14W 4D 10L from the last 28 games (50% win rate). The form line is positive, with more wins than defeats across the sample.
Vikingur Reykjavik have won 8 of their last 14 matches on the road, drawing 2 and losing 4. Their recent away fixtures include lost to FC Thun 3-0 and drew with IA Akranes 2-2.
Overall, the wider run reads 16W 3D 4L from the last 23 games (70% win rate). The form line is positive, with more wins than defeats across the sample.
Lineups
ConfirmedFC Thun4-4-2Confirmed
Vikingur Reykjavik4-3-3Confirmed
Unavailable Players
0 playersFC Thun
No reported absences
Vikingur Reykjavik
No reported absences
Betting Strategy
High-probability picks are the most likely outcomes. Value selections are markets where our model's probability sits above the price implied by the odds. They will not always come in, but the odds are in your favour over time.
Yellow Card Prediction
The referee for this fixture has not been confirmed, so we are sitting this card market out.
Corner Prediction
FC Thun have averaged 5.0 corners per match at home; Vikingur Reykjavik 4.0 on the road. Combined that projects roughly 5.5 corners in this fixture. Our pick is under 9.5 corners at 1.80.
Player Stats Bet
FC Thun have generated 1.29 xG per game across their recent matches, winning 50% of them. They put 4.3 shots on target per match, giving their attackers the volume needed to land a goal-involvement bet. FC Thun player to score or assist at 1.55 looks well supported by the data.
What's Your Prediction?
Pick the result you expect
Do you agree with this prediction?
The Daily Punt Analysis Team
Data-driven football predictions and betting tips
This forecast was built by the The Daily Punt Analysis Team using our in-house statistical model. We feed the model two layers of data for every fixture: each team's recent expected goals (xG and xGA) and their actual goals scored and conceded, split by home and away venue. The numbers run through a Poisson distribution that produces a probability for every possible scoreline, which we then convert into fair odds for the 1X2, correct score, BTTS, and over/under markets.
Before publishing, we cross-check our fair odds against the prices the major bookmakers are offering. Where a bookmaker is paying out more than our model says is mathematically fair, we flag that market as a value bet on this page.
