Ferencvarosi TC vs Gornik Zabrze Prediction, Tips & Odds
Ferencvarosi TC vs Gornik Zabrze
Match Preview
The model favours Ferencvarosi TC to win this match against Gornik Zabrze, with a projected scoreline of 2-1. Ferencvarosi TC has demonstrated strong recent form, securing three wins, one draw, and one loss in their last five matches. This positive trend suggests they are gaining momentum as they head into this crucial encounter, making them a difficult opponent at the Groupama Arena. On the other hand, Gornik Zabrze's form has been mixed, with two wins, one draw, and two losses in their last five games. Their inconsistency could pose challenges, particularly in a high-stakes match like this. The team will need to find a way to stabilise their performance to compete effectively against a side in better form. The model indicates a strong probability of victory for Ferencvarosi TC, though specific win probabilities and market percentages are not available. One potential caveat is that if Gornik Zabrze can exploit any defensive lapses from Ferencvarosi, they could pull off an upset. The full methodology behind this prediction, which considers expected goals and actual results throughout the season, can be found in the "How We Reached This Prediction" section, courtesy of The Daily Punt Analysis Team.
Betting Predictions
How the model works, and its full prediction record, are set out on our How It Works and Accuracy pages.
Both attacks have been productive in recent matches, with regular goal-scoring on either side.
Combined goal output is high (3.5 per game). The over has been the right side more often than not.
The most likely scoreline per our model at 15.1% probability.
Ferencvarosi TC have been the stronger side, winning 66% of their matches.
Our model projects a 1-0 Ferencvarosi TC win as the most likely scoreline at 15.1% probability. 4 of the top six outcomes feature Ferencvarosi TC clean sheets, in line with their 45% clean-sheet rate this season.
Lines averaged across 5 bookmakers. Ferencvarosi TC are the favourites on the spread, so the larger handicaps pay more if they win comfortably while the smaller lines protect the bet on a narrower result.
Best Betting Odds
Ferencvarosi TC vs Gornik Zabrze| Bookmaker | 1X2 | O/U 2.5 | BTTS | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | X | 2 | Over | Under | Yes | No | |
| 1.59 | 3.80 | 5.70 | 1.80 | 2.00 | 1.77 | 1.91 | |
| 1.56 | 3.90 | 5.70 | 1.79 | 1.99 | 1.77 | 1.92 | |
| 1.57 | 3.80 | 5.50 | 1.73 | 2.00 | 1.73 | 2.00 | |
| 1.58 | 4.04 | 5.46 | 1.82 | 2.03 | — | — | |
| 1.65 | 3.33 | 4.14 | 1.82 | 1.96 | — | — | |
| 1.57 | 3.60 | 5.00 | — | — | 1.75 | 1.95 | |
| 1.62 | 3.50 | 5.25 | 1.80 | 2.00 | 1.80 | 1.91 | |
| 1.61 | 4.01 | 5.87 | 1.82 | 2.03 | 1.77 | 1.94 | |
| 1.62 | 3.90 | 5.00 | 1.73 | 1.95 | 1.75 | 1.93 | |
| 1.57 | 3.60 | 5.00 | 1.75 | 1.95 | 1.75 | 1.95 | |
Betano | 1.62 | 3.75 | 5.50 | 1.78 | 2.02 | 1.75 | 1.98 |
Superbet | 1.65 | 4.00 | 5.15 | 1.82 | 2.00 | 1.82 | 1.92 |
BetVictor | 1.57 | 4.00 | 5.50 | 1.76 | 1.92 | 1.80 | 1.90 |
Goals Probability
Avg. bookmaker oddsDouble Chance
Bet covers two outcomesHead to Head
Last 1 Meetings (Ferencvarosi TC leads 1-0)Ferencvarosi TC holds a 1-0 advantage in their head-to-head record against Gornik Zabrze, with one win and no draws. The only match played between the two teams ended in a narrow 1-0 victory for Ferencvarosi TC, indicating a tightly contested encounter. There have been no heavy wins or draws in this limited sample, and Gornik Zabrze has yet to secure a victory against Ferencvarosi TC. Given the single match played, it is difficult to identify any definitive trends or patterns between these clubs.
Key Statistics
2026 SeasonFerencvarosi TC have won 12 of their last 17 matches at home, drawing 4 and losing 1. Their recent home fixtures include lost to Ferencvarosi TC 1-2 and beat Ferencvarosi TC 1-0.
Overall, the wider run reads 19W 5D 5L from the last 29 games (66% win rate). The form line is positive, with more wins than defeats across the sample.
Gornik Zabrze have won 5 of their last 11 matches on the road, drawing 2 and losing 4. Their recent away fixtures include beat Radomiak Radom 1-3 and lost to Ferencvarosi TC 1-0.
Overall, the wider run reads 9W 4D 5L from the last 18 games (50% win rate). The form line is positive, with more wins than defeats across the sample.
Lineups
ConfirmedFerencvarosi TC4-3-3Confirmed
Gornik Zabrze4-3-3Confirmed
Unavailable Players
0 playersFerencvarosi TC
No reported absences
Gornik Zabrze
No reported absences
Betting Strategy
High-probability picks are the most likely outcomes. Value selections are markets where our model's probability sits above the price implied by the odds. They will not always come in, but the odds are in your favour over time.
Yellow Card Prediction
The referee for this fixture has not been confirmed, so we are sitting this card market out.
Corner Prediction
Ferencvarosi TC have averaged 5.1 corners per match at home; Gornik Zabrze 6.9 on the road. Combined that projects roughly 7.0 corners in this fixture. Our pick is under 9.5 corners at 1.80.
Player Stats Bet
Ferencvarosi TC have been the stronger side on attack across the season, winning 66% of their matches and averaging 2.0 goals per game. They put 5.6 shots on target per match, giving their attackers the volume needed to land a goal-involvement bet. Ferencvarosi TC player to score or assist at 1.55 looks well supported by the data.
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The Daily Punt Analysis Team
Data-driven football predictions and betting tips
This forecast was built by the The Daily Punt Analysis Team using our in-house statistical model. We feed the model two layers of data for every fixture: each team's recent expected goals (xG and xGA) and their actual goals scored and conceded, split by home and away venue. The numbers run through a Poisson distribution that produces a probability for every possible scoreline, which we then convert into fair odds for the 1X2, correct score, BTTS, and over/under markets.
Before publishing, we cross-check our fair odds against the prices the major bookmakers are offering. Where a bookmaker is paying out more than our model says is mathematically fair, we flag that market as a value bet on this page.
