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Ferencvarosi TC vs Twente Prediction, Tips & Odds

Ferencvarosi TC vs Twente

UEFA Europa League2nd Qualifying Round
Ferencvarosi TC
DLWDD
2 - 2
Groupama Arena, Budapest
Referee: V. Kopiyevsky
Twente
WDLWL
★ OUR PICK
Both Teams to Score
Both attacks have been productive and both defences leaky — both teams to score carries the edge.
BTTS
1.53
BEST ODDS
Our pick: Bookmakers offer average 1.48 (implied 67.7%) for Both Teams to Score. Our experts calculate a 70.2% probability (an expert ratio of 1.43). We chose this bet because our experts rate it more likely than the bookmaker price implies (70.2% vs 67.7%), driven by both attacks scoring freely while both defences look leaky. That edge makes it our most confident selection for this match.

Match Preview

The model favours Ferencvarosi TC to win this match, with a projected scoreline of 2-1. Ferencvarosi TC has shown strong form lately, securing four wins and one draw in their last five matches. This consistent performance indicates a solid attacking capability, likely contributing to their confidence heading into this fixture. On the other hand, Twente also arrives with a commendable record, having won four out of their last five matches, although they experienced one loss. This recent form highlights their competitive nature, but the loss may signal potential vulnerabilities that Ferencvarosi could exploit. According to the model's output, Ferencvarosi TC has a higher win probability compared to Twente. However, it’s important to note that unexpected factors, such as injuries or matchday conditions, could influence the outcome. For a detailed understanding of how these predictions were derived, please refer to the "How We Reached This Prediction" section. The Daily Punt Analysis Team employs an in-house model that evaluates fixtures through expected goals and actual results across the season.

Betting Predictions

How the model works, and its full prediction record, are set out on our How It Works and Accuracy pages.

Match Result
Ferencvarosi TC Win39%2.78
Draw22%3.75
Twente Win39%2.23
BTTS
Both Teams to Score: Yes
1.4862.2%

Both attacks have been productive in recent matches, with regular goal-scoring on either side.

Over/Under Goals
Over 2.5 Goals
1.5459.9%

Combined goal output is high (4.1 per game). The over has been the right side more often than not.

Correct Score
Ferencvarosi TC 1-1 Twente
7.0514.3%

The most likely scoreline per our model at 14.3% probability.

Asian Handicap
Twente -0.0
1.7033%

Twente have been the stronger side, winning 55% of their matches.

CORRECT SCOREMost likely outcomes
1-1
7.05
14.3%
1-2
8.19
12.3%
2-1
9.35
10.9%
0-1
9.85
10.3%
2-2
10.57
9.6%
1-0
11.32
9.0%

Our model projects a 1-1 draw as the most likely scoreline at 14.3% probability. These six outcomes together cover the bulk of the projected probability for this fixture.

ASIAN HANDICAPLines & prices
Ferencvarosi TC
-0.0
2.12
Twente
+0.0
1.70
Ferencvarosi TC
-0.3
2.47
Twente
+0.3
2.00
Ferencvarosi TC
-0.5
2.63
Twente
+0.5
2.15
Ferencvarosi TC
-1.5
5.50
Twente
+1.5
4.50

Lines averaged across 6 bookmakers. Twente are the favourites on the spread, so the larger handicaps pay more if they win comfortably while the smaller lines protect the bet on a narrower result.

Best Betting Odds

Ferencvarosi TC vs Twente
Bookmaker1X2O/U 2.5BTTS
1X2OverUnderYesNo
10Bet
2.803.752.241.572.381.482.45
Marathonbet
2.783.842.211.492.321.462.49
Betfair
2.753.802.251.572.251.452.55
Pinnacle
2.743.912.251.522.53
SBO
2.543.212.241.562.28
William Hill
2.603.502.251.502.45
Bet365
2.883.702.101.572.351.532.38
1xBet
2.894.002.301.492.321.462.53
Unibet
2.753.952.201.522.301.482.43
Betano
2.853.852.271.602.421.502.47
Superbet
2.853.752.301.562.421.482.52
BetVictor
2.883.752.201.522.311.442.55

Goals Probability

Avg. bookmaker odds
Over 0.5 Goals
92.5%
Over 1.5 Goals
80.5%
Over 2.5 Goals
59.9%
Over 3.5 Goals
39.5%

Double Chance

Bet covers two outcomes
1XFerencvarosi TC or Draw
61%1.60
12Ferencvarosi TC or Twente
79%1.25
X2Draw or Twente
61%1.41

Head to Head

Last 1 Meetings (Ferencvarosi TC leads 1-0)
1 Ferencvarosi TC0 Draw0 Twente
23 Jul
Twente
1-2
Ferencvarosi TC
UEFA Europa League

In their only historical meeting, Ferencvarosi TC has won once against Twente, with no draws and no wins for Twente. The match ended with a score of 2-1 in favor of Ferencvarosi TC, indicating a relatively close contest. This single encounter does not suggest a dominant trend, as both teams had opportunities to score, but the lack of multiple fixtures means it is difficult to draw broader conclusions about their rivalry.

Key Statistics

2026 Season
Ferencvarosi TCTwente
2Goals p.g.2.06
0.89Goals conceded p.g.1.19
43%Clean sheets29%
64%Win rate55%
2.89Avg goals in match3.26
xG per game1.95
xGA per game-0.42
57%Possession %52%
5.6Shots on target / game8.8
5.5Corners per game6.2
Ferencvarosi TC
Recent Form

Ferencvarosi TC have won 11 of their last 16 matches at home, drawing 4 and losing 1. Their recent home fixtures include lost to Ferencvarosi TC 1-2 and beat Ferencvarosi TC 1-0.

Overall, the wider run reads 18W 5D 5L from the last 28 games (64% win rate). The form line is positive, with more wins than defeats across the sample.

Match Results: Ferencvarosi TCAll competitions
13 Aug
Gornik Zabrze
1-1
Ferencvarosi TC
UEFA Europa League
08 Aug
Ferencvarosi TC
1-2
Real Madrid
Friendlies Clubs
05 Aug
Ferencvarosi TC
1-0
Gornik Zabrze
UEFA Europa League
02 Aug
Ferencvarosi TC
0-0
Vasas
NB I
30 Jul
Ferencvarosi TC
2-2
Twente
UEFA Europa League
26 Jul
Paks
4-2
Ferencvarosi TC
NB I
18
Win
64%
5
Draw
18%
5
Lost
18%
Twente
Recent Form

Twente have won 8 of their last 17 matches on the road, drawing 5 and losing 4. Their recent away fixtures include drew with Dunajska Streda 3-3 and lost to Heerenveen 1-0.

Overall, the wider run reads 17W 8D 6L from the last 31 games (55% win rate). The form line is positive, with more wins than defeats across the sample.

Match Results: TwenteAll competitions
16 Aug
Twente
3-1
PEC Zwolle
Eredivisie
13 Aug
Dunajska Streda
3-3
Twente
UEFA Europa Conference League
09 Aug
Heerenveen
1-0
Twente
Eredivisie
06 Aug
Twente
6-0
Dunajska Streda
UEFA Europa Conference League
02 Aug
Genk
2-1
Twente
Friendlies Clubs
30 Jul
Ferencvarosi TC
2-2
Twente
UEFA Europa League
17
Win
55%
8
Draw
26%
6
Lost
19%

Lineups

Confirmed

Ferencvarosi TC4-3-3Confirmed

28Toon RaemaekersDEF
4Mariano GómezDEF
75Lenny JosephFWD
90Dénes DibuszGK
16Kristoffer ZachariassenMID
17Marius CorbuMID
36Gabi KanichowskyMID
88Philippe RommensMID
47Callum O'DowdaMID
20CaduMID
14Attila OsváthMID
54Olivér NagyDEF
21Endre BotkaDEF
5Nathan ZohoréDEF
76Krisztián LisztesFWD
11Yusuf BamideleFWD
30Zsombor GruberFWD
1Ádám VargaGK
7Elton AcolatseMID
15Daniel ArzaniMID
70Edgar SevikyanMID
18Ádám BagiMID
10Jonathan LeviMID

Twente4-3-3Confirmed

28Bart van RooijDEF
29Aske AdelgaardDEF
43Ruud NijstadDEF
23Stav LemkinDEF
9Wout WeghorstFWD
1Lars UnnerstallGK
6Ramiz ZerroukiMID
14Kristian HlynssonMID
20Thomas Van den BeltMID
11Daan RotsMID
27Sondre ØrjasæterMID
38Max BrunsDEF
24Krzysztof KurowskiDEF
12Guilherme PeixotoDEF
3Robin PröpperDEF
10Sam LammersFWD
7Marko PjacaFWD
25Lucas Vennegoor of HesselinkFWD
31Yannick GerritsenGK
22Remko PasveerGK
4Mathias KjøløMID
19Younes TahaMID
42Daouda WeidmannMID

Unavailable Players

0 players

Ferencvarosi TC

No reported absences

Twente

No reported absences

Betting Strategy

High-probability picks are the most likely outcomes. Value selections are markets where our model's probability sits above the price implied by the odds. They will not always come in, but the odds are in your favour over time.

High Probability
Over 2.5 Goals1.54 (59.9%)
Both Teams Score1.48 (62.2%)
Value Bets
Ferencvarosi TC Win2.78 (39.2%)
Twente Win2.23 (39.3%)
Under 2.5 Goals2.35 (40.1%)
BTTS No2.48 (37.8%)
Speculative
Draw3.75 (21.5%)

Yellow Card Prediction

V. Kopiyevsky has averaged 4.0 yellow cards per match across 1 recent fixtures we have data for. Our pick is over 3.5 yellow cards at 1.85.

Corner Prediction

Ferencvarosi TC have averaged 5.5 corners per match at home; Twente 6.2 on the road. Combined that projects roughly 6.8 corners in this fixture. Our pick is under 9.5 corners at 1.80.

Player Stats Bet

Twente have generated 1.95 xG per game across their recent matches, winning 55% of them. They put 8.8 shots on target per match, giving their attackers the volume needed to land a goal-involvement bet. Twente player to score or assist at 1.55 looks well supported by the data.

What's Your Prediction?

Pick the result you expect

OUR PREDICTION
Both Teams to Score Yes

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The Daily Punt Analysis Team

Data-driven football predictions and betting tips

This forecast was built by the The Daily Punt Analysis Team using our in-house statistical model. We feed the model two layers of data for every fixture: each team's recent expected goals (xG and xGA) and their actual goals scored and conceded, split by home and away venue. The numbers run through a Poisson distribution that produces a probability for every possible scoreline, which we then convert into fair odds for the 1X2, correct score, BTTS, and over/under markets.

Before publishing, we cross-check our fair odds against the prices the major bookmakers are offering. Where a bookmaker is paying out more than our model says is mathematically fair, we flag that market as a value bet on this page.