Fulham vs Crystal Palace Prediction, Tips & Odds
Fulham vs Crystal Palace
Match Preview
The model favours Fulham to win against Crystal Palace, projecting a scoreline of 2-0. Fulham enters this match in a solid position, sitting at 9th in the league standings, despite not having played a match yet this season. Their recent form shows promise, with two wins, two draws, and only one loss in their last five matches. This suggests they are carrying some momentum from the previous season. On the other hand, Crystal Palace finds itself in a challenging spot at 18th place after one match, having lost 2-0. Their recent form indicates difficulties, with two wins, one draw, and two losses in their last five matches. The lack of goals in their opening game adds to the pressure, highlighting a struggle to find offensive rhythm early in the season. The model output gives Fulham a strong win probability, reflecting their favourable standing and recent form. However, one caveat is that Fulham’s lack of match play this season could affect their performance. The full method is detailed in the "How We Reached This Prediction" section, developed by The Daily Punt Analysis Team, which utilises an in-house model that assesses expected goals and actual results across the season.
Betting Predictions
How the model works, and its full prediction record, are set out on our How It Works and Accuracy pages.
Both attacks have been productive in recent matches, with regular goal-scoring on either side.
Fulham manage games at home, conceding just 1.26 goals per match. Crystal Palace score 1.29 on the road.
The most likely scoreline per our model at 16.2% probability.
Fulham have been the stronger side, winning 37% of their matches.
Our model projects a 1-1 draw as the most likely scoreline at 16.2% probability. These six outcomes together cover the bulk of the projected probability for this fixture.
Lines averaged across 6 bookmakers. Fulham are the favourites on the spread, so the larger handicaps pay more if they win comfortably while the smaller lines protect the bet on a narrower result.
Best Betting Odds
Fulham vs Crystal Palace| Bookmaker | 1X2 | O/U 2.5 | BTTS | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | X | 2 | Over | Under | Yes | No | |
| 2.26 | 3.35 | 3.05 | 1.85 | 1.93 | 1.67 | 2.15 | |
| 2.32 | 3.52 | 3.16 | 1.87 | 1.95 | 1.67 | 2.08 | |
| 2.30 | 3.30 | 3.00 | 1.80 | 1.91 | 1.65 | 2.20 | |
| 2.30 | 3.52 | 3.17 | 1.90 | 1.99 | — | — | |
| 2.28 | 3.04 | 2.76 | 1.85 | 2.01 | — | — | |
| 2.25 | 3.30 | 3.00 | — | — | 1.70 | 2.10 | |
| 2.25 | 3.30 | 3.10 | 1.91 | 1.91 | 1.67 | 2.10 | |
| 2.36 | 3.58 | 3.21 | 1.93 | 2.01 | 1.67 | 2.11 | |
| 2.32 | 3.40 | 3.05 | 1.88 | 1.91 | 1.67 | 2.10 | |
Betano | 2.30 | 3.35 | 3.15 | 1.90 | 1.95 | 1.67 | 2.12 |
BetVictor | 2.25 | 3.40 | 3.00 | 1.80 | 1.87 | 1.65 | 2.10 |
Goals Probability
Avg. bookmaker oddsDouble Chance
Bet covers two outcomesHead to Head
Last 10 Meetings (Crystal Palace leads 4-2)In the last 10 matches between Fulham and Crystal Palace, the record stands at 2 wins for Fulham, 4 draws, and 4 wins for Crystal Palace. This indicates a relatively balanced rivalry, with both teams having opportunities to claim points. The scorelines reveal some tight contests, highlighted by four draws and a number of narrow victories. However, Crystal Palace has secured several decisive wins, including a 3-0 victory and two 2-0 wins. Fulham's last win against Crystal Palace came in December 2022, suggesting a slight advantage for Palace in recent encounters.
Premier League Standings
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Manchester City | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 2 | 4 | 6 | WW |
| 2 |  Arsenal | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 0 | 4 | 6 | WW |
| 3 |  Hull City | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 3 | 6 | WW |
| 4 |  Chelsea | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 7 | 5 | 2 | 6 | WW |
| 5 |  Brentford | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 1 | 3 | 4 | DW |
| 6 |  Newcastle | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 4 | WD |
| 16 | Fulham | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 4 | -2 | 0 | LL |
| 18 | Crystal Palace | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 6 | -5 | 0 | LL |
| 19 |  Aston Villa | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 5 | -5 | 0 | LL |
| 20 |  Tottenham | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 5 | -5 | 0 | LL |
Venue Record
Current season at home / on the roadKey Statistics
2026 SeasonFulham have won 7 of their last 14 matches at home, drawing 0 and losing 7. Their recent home fixtures include beat AFC Wimbledon 3-0 and lost to Chelsea 2-3.
Overall, the wider run reads 10W 5D 12L from the last 27 games (37% win rate). The form line has been negative, with defeats outweighing wins across the sample.
Crystal Palace have won 5 of their last 18 matches on the road, drawing 4 and losing 9. Their recent away fixtures include lost to Everton 2-0 and lost to SC Freiburg 3-0.
Overall, the wider run reads 13W 8D 14L from the last 35 games (37% win rate). The form line has been negative, with defeats outweighing wins across the sample.
Lineups
Lineups not yet announced
Starting lineups are usually confirmed approximately 1 hour before kick-off.
Unavailable Players
0 playersFulham
No reported absences
Crystal Palace
No reported absences
Betting Strategy
High-probability picks are the most likely outcomes. Value selections are markets where our model's probability sits above the price implied by the odds. They will not always come in, but the odds are in your favour over time.
Yellow Card Prediction
The referee for this fixture has not been confirmed, so we are sitting this card market out.
Corner Prediction
Fulham average 1.1 goals per match at home; Crystal Palace 1.3 on the road. Open, attack-leaning sides tend to produce more corners; tight, low-event games tend to produce fewer. Our pick is under 9.5 corners at 1.80.
Player Stats Bet
Fulham have been the stronger side on attack across the season, winning 37% of their matches and averaging 1.1 goals per game. Fulham player to score at 1.85 looks well supported by the data.
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The Daily Punt Analysis Team
Data-driven football predictions and betting tips
This forecast was built by the The Daily Punt Analysis Team using our in-house statistical model. We feed the model two layers of data for every fixture: each team's recent expected goals (xG and xGA) and their actual goals scored and conceded, split by home and away venue. The numbers run through a Poisson distribution that produces a probability for every possible scoreline, which we then convert into fair odds for the 1X2, correct score, BTTS, and over/under markets.
Before publishing, we cross-check our fair odds against the prices the major bookmakers are offering. Where a bookmaker is paying out more than our model says is mathematically fair, we flag that market as a value bet on this page.
