Ipswich vs Liverpool Prediction, Tips & Odds
Ipswich vs Liverpool
Match Preview
The model favours Liverpool to win against Ipswich, projecting a scoreline of 2-1. Liverpool starts the season in a strong position, ranked 6th in the league despite having not yet played a match. Their recent form shows they won two out of their last five matches, with a solid finish to the previous season. This momentum could be crucial as they look to build on their past performances. Ipswich, on the other hand, is currently positioned 14th in the standings with no matches played this season. However, their last five matches indicate a positive trend, as they secured four wins but also faced one defeat. This strong form could give them the confidence needed to challenge a top side like Liverpool, but they will need to translate that success into the new season. The model gives Liverpool a win probability of approximately 60%, with a projected score of 2-1. One key market percentage to note is the odds of Liverpool winning outright. A potential caveat is that Ipswich’s recent form could lead to an unexpected challenge, especially if they find their rhythm early in the season. For a full breakdown of how we reached this prediction, please see the "How We Reached This Prediction" section. This analysis is brought to you by The Daily Punt Analysis Team, using an in-house model that evaluates fixtures through expected goals and actual results.
Betting Predictions
How the model works, and its full prediction record, are set out on our How It Works and Accuracy pages.
Both attacks have been productive in recent matches, with regular goal-scoring on either side.
Combined goal output is high (3.6 per game). The over has been the right side more often than not.
The most likely scoreline per our model at 12.5% probability.
Liverpool have been the stronger side, winning 45% of their matches.
Our model projects a 1-2 Liverpool win as the most likely scoreline at 12.5% probability. These six outcomes together cover the bulk of the projected probability for this fixture.
Lines averaged across 5 bookmakers. Liverpool are the favourites on the spread, so the larger handicaps pay more if they win comfortably while the smaller lines protect the bet on a narrower result.
Best Betting Odds
Ipswich vs Liverpool| Bookmaker | 1X2 | O/U 2.5 | BTTS | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | X | 2 | Over | Under | Yes | No | |
| 5.75 | 4.70 | 1.46 | 1.40 | 2.90 | 1.50 | 2.50 | |
| 5.95 | 4.85 | 1.52 | 1.39 | 2.81 | 1.50 | 2.41 | |
| 5.50 | 4.75 | 1.50 | 1.40 | 2.80 | 1.50 | 2.60 | |
| 5.88 | 4.71 | 1.53 | 1.44 | 2.88 | — | — | |
| 4.84 | 4.13 | 1.47 | — | — | — | — | |
| 5.00 | 4.60 | 1.50 | — | — | 1.53 | 2.45 | |
| 5.25 | 4.75 | 1.50 | 1.44 | 2.75 | 1.50 | 2.50 | |
| 5.94 | 4.88 | 1.56 | 1.39 | 2.81 | 1.50 | 2.45 | |
| 5.60 | 4.80 | 1.52 | 1.40 | 2.95 | 1.48 | 2.50 | |
Betano | 5.50 | 4.80 | 1.57 | 1.42 | 2.95 | 1.50 | 2.50 |
Superbet | 5.20 | 4.65 | 1.57 | 1.50 | 2.62 | 1.59 | 2.32 |
BetVictor | 5.75 | 4.75 | 1.50 | 1.41 | 2.62 | 1.47 | 2.45 |
Goals Probability
Avg. bookmaker oddsDouble Chance
Bet covers two outcomesHead to Head
Last 2 Meetings (Liverpool leads 2-0)In the last two matches between Ipswich and Liverpool, Liverpool has won both, with a record of 2 wins and 0 draws. The scorelines indicate a clear advantage for Liverpool, with a 4-1 victory and a 2-0 win, showcasing their ability to secure both narrow and more decisive wins. Ipswich has not managed to score more than once in these encounters, highlighting a struggle to compete offensively. Additionally, Ipswich has not won against Liverpool in their recent meetings, underscoring a lack of success in this fixture.
Premier League Standings
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Manchester City | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 7 | 2 | 5 | 9 | WWW |
| 2 |  Arsenal | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 1 | 5 | 9 | WWW |
| 3 |  Hull City | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 3 | 7 | DWW |
| 4 |  Chelsea | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 8 | 7 | 1 | 6 | LWW |
| 5 |  Brentford | 3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 5 | 2 | 3 | 5 | DDW |
| 6 | Liverpool | 3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 6 | 4 | 2 | 5 | WDD |
| 14 | Ipswich | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 4 | 8 | -4 | 3 | LLW |
| 18 |  Tottenham | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 5 | -5 | 1 | DLL |
| 19 |  Fulham | 3 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 4 | 7 | -3 | 0 | LLL |
| 20 |  Coventry | 3 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 5 | -5 | 0 | LLL |
Venue Record
Current season at home / on the roadKey Statistics
2026 SeasonIpswich have won 8 of their last 14 matches at home, drawing 4 and losing 2. Their recent home fixtures include lost to Liverpool 0-2 and beat Leicester 3-1.
Overall, the wider run reads 15W 7D 8L from the last 30 games (50% win rate). The form line is positive, with more wins than defeats across the sample.
Liverpool have won 5 of their last 13 matches on the road, drawing 1 and losing 7. Their recent away fixtures include beat Liverpool 0-2 and drew with Newcastle 2-2.
Overall, the wider run reads 14W 6D 11L from the last 31 games (45% win rate). The form line is positive, with more wins than defeats across the sample.
Lineups
ConfirmedIpswich4-2-3-1Confirmed
Liverpool4-2-3-1Confirmed
Unavailable Players
8 playersIpswich3
Liverpool5
Betting Strategy
High-probability picks are the most likely outcomes. Value selections are markets where our model's probability sits above the price implied by the odds. They will not always come in, but the odds are in your favour over time.
Yellow Card Prediction
D. England has been appointed as the referee for this fixture. We don't yet have enough recent fixtures officiated by D. England to give a confident card-market projection. Our default lean is under 3.5 yellow cards at 1.95.
Corner Prediction
Ipswich average 1.7 goals per match at home; Liverpool 1.9 on the road. Open, attack-leaning sides tend to produce more corners; tight, low-event games tend to produce fewer. Our pick is over 9.5 corners at 1.72.
Player Stats Bet
Liverpool have been the stronger side on attack across the season, winning 45% of their matches and averaging 1.9 goals per game. Liverpool player to score at 1.85 looks well supported by the data.
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The Daily Punt Analysis Team
Data-driven football predictions and betting tips
This forecast was built by the The Daily Punt Analysis Team using our in-house statistical model. We feed the model two layers of data for every fixture: each team's recent expected goals (xG and xGA) and their actual goals scored and conceded, split by home and away venue. The numbers run through a Poisson distribution that produces a probability for every possible scoreline, which we then convert into fair odds for the 1X2, correct score, BTTS, and over/under markets.
Before publishing, we cross-check our fair odds against the prices the major bookmakers are offering. Where a bookmaker is paying out more than our model says is mathematically fair, we flag that market as a value bet on this page.
