Nottingham Forest vs Tottenham Prediction, Tips & Odds
Nottingham Forest vs Tottenham
Match Preview
The model favours Nottingham Forest to win this match against Tottenham, projecting a scoreline of 2-1. Nottingham Forest currently sits in 16th place in the league, having played one match, which they lost without scoring. However, their recent form shows two wins in their last five matches, indicating a potential for improvement. Crucially, Forest has a better goal difference compared to Tottenham, who have struggled defensively. On the other hand, Tottenham is positioned 19th in the standings after their opening match, which they lost 3-0. Their recent form suggests inconsistency, with two wins, two draws, and one loss in their last five matches. While they have shown some resilience, their inability to score in their first game raises concerns about their attacking capabilities this season. According to the model's output, Nottingham Forest has a win probability of approximately 55%, while Tottenham's chances sit at around 25%. A key market percentage indicates that Nottingham Forest is favoured to win at odds of 1.80. However, the caveat is that if Tottenham can find their rhythm and improve their defensive setup, they could pose a significant challenge. The full method behind this prediction is detailed in the "How We Reached This Prediction" section, where our in-house model analyses expected goals and actual results across the season.
Betting Predictions
How the model works, and its full prediction record, are set out on our How It Works and Accuracy pages.
Both attacks have been productive in recent matches, with regular goal-scoring on either side.
Combined goal output is high (2.8 per game). The over has been the right side more often than not.
The most likely scoreline per our model at 16.2% probability.
Nottingham Forest have been the stronger side, winning 39% of their matches.
Our model projects a 1-1 draw as the most likely scoreline at 16.2% probability. These six outcomes together cover the bulk of the projected probability for this fixture.
Lines averaged across 6 bookmakers. Nottingham Forest are the favourites on the spread, so the larger handicaps pay more if they win comfortably while the smaller lines protect the bet on a narrower result.
Best Betting Odds
Nottingham Forest vs Tottenham| Bookmaker | 1X2 | O/U 2.5 | BTTS | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | X | 2 | Over | Under | Yes | No | |
| 2.38 | 3.35 | 2.86 | 1.90 | 1.85 | 1.70 | 2.10 | |
| 2.44 | 3.50 | 2.97 | 1.81 | 2.02 | 1.61 | 2.17 | |
| 2.40 | 3.40 | 2.90 | 1.87 | 1.87 | 1.67 | 2.15 | |
| 2.46 | 3.49 | 2.93 | 1.82 | 2.06 | — | — | |
| 2.32 | 3.09 | 2.66 | 1.99 | 1.87 | — | — | |
| 2.38 | 3.40 | 2.80 | — | — | 1.65 | 2.20 | |
| 2.40 | 3.40 | 2.88 | 1.80 | 2.00 | 1.67 | 2.10 | |
| 2.48 | 3.56 | 3.02 | 1.87 | 2.08 | 1.61 | 2.20 | |
| 2.40 | 3.40 | 2.90 | 1.91 | 1.87 | 1.68 | 2.07 | |
Betano | 2.42 | 3.35 | 2.95 | 1.93 | 1.91 | 1.67 | 2.10 |
Superbet | 2.45 | 3.40 | 2.95 | 1.92 | 1.88 | 1.73 | 2.07 |
BetVictor | 2.38 | 3.50 | 2.88 | 1.74 | 1.94 | 1.60 | 2.15 |
Goals Probability
Avg. bookmaker oddsDouble Chance
Bet covers two outcomesHead to Head
Last 9 Meetings (Tottenham leads 5-4)In the last nine matches between Nottingham Forest and Tottenham, Nottingham Forest has won four times, while Tottenham has won five times, with no draws recorded. The scorelines indicate a competitive rivalry, with both teams achieving narrow victories, exemplified by Nottingham Forest's three wins by a single goal margin and Tottenham's three wins by two goals. However, Nottingham Forest has also secured heavier victories, including a 3-0 win in their most recent encounter. Overall, the absence of draws suggests that both teams are capable of finding a decisive edge in their matches against each other.
Premier League Standings
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Manchester City | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 7 | 2 | 5 | 9 | WWW |
| 2 |  Arsenal | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 1 | 5 | 9 | WWW |
| 3 |  Hull City | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 3 | 7 | DWW |
| 4 |  Chelsea | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 8 | 7 | 1 | 6 | LWW |
| 5 |  Brentford | 3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 5 | 2 | 3 | 5 | DDW |
| 6 |  Liverpool | 3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 6 | 4 | 2 | 5 | WDD |
| 16 | Nottingham Forest | 3 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 3 | -1 | 2 | DDL |
| 18 | Tottenham | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 5 | -5 | 1 | DLL |
| 19 |  Fulham | 3 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 4 | 7 | -3 | 0 | LLL |
| 20 |  Coventry | 3 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 5 | -5 | 0 | LLL |
Venue Record
Current season at home / on the roadKey Statistics
2026 SeasonNottingham Forest have won 7 of their last 19 matches at home, drawing 7 and losing 5. Their recent home fixtures include drew with Tottenham 0-0 and lost to Leeds 0-2.
Overall, the wider run reads 14W 11D 11L from the last 36 games (39% win rate). The form line is positive, with more wins than defeats across the sample.
Tottenham have won 5 of their last 14 matches on the road, drawing 3 and losing 6. Their recent away fixtures include drew with Tottenham 0-0 and lost to Brentford 3-0.
Overall, the wider run reads 11W 9D 11L from the last 31 games (35% win rate). The form line is positive, with more wins than defeats across the sample.
Lineups
ConfirmedNottingham Forest3-4-2-1Confirmed
Tottenham4-2-3-1Confirmed
Unavailable Players
7 playersNottingham Forest2
Tottenham5
Betting Strategy
High-probability picks are the most likely outcomes. Value selections are markets where our model's probability sits above the price implied by the odds. They will not always come in, but the odds are in your favour over time.
Yellow Card Prediction
C. Pawson has been appointed as the referee for this fixture. We don't yet have enough recent fixtures officiated by C. Pawson to give a confident card-market projection. Our default lean is under 3.5 yellow cards at 1.95.
Corner Prediction
Nottingham Forest have averaged 7.5 corners per match at home; Tottenham 4.5 on the road. Combined that projects roughly 7.0 corners in this fixture. Our pick is under 9.5 corners at 1.80.
Player Stats Bet
Nottingham Forest have generated 1.87 xG per game across their recent matches, winning 39% of them. They put 5.5 shots on target per match, giving their attackers the volume needed to land a goal-involvement bet. Nottingham Forest player to score at 1.85 looks well supported by the data.
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The Daily Punt Analysis Team
Data-driven football predictions and betting tips
This forecast was built by the The Daily Punt Analysis Team using our in-house statistical model. We feed the model two layers of data for every fixture: each team's recent expected goals (xG and xGA) and their actual goals scored and conceded, split by home and away venue. The numbers run through a Poisson distribution that produces a probability for every possible scoreline, which we then convert into fair odds for the 1X2, correct score, BTTS, and over/under markets.
Before publishing, we cross-check our fair odds against the prices the major bookmakers are offering. Where a bookmaker is paying out more than our model says is mathematically fair, we flag that market as a value bet on this page.
