Getafe vs Deportivo La Coruna Prediction, Tips & Odds
Getafe vs Deportivo La Coruna
Match Preview
The model favours Deportivo La Coruna to win this match, projecting a scoreline of 1-0. Currently positioned 7th in La Liga, Deportivo has shown a solid start to the season with one win and two draws from their first three matches, accumulating five points. Their goal-scoring has been efficient, netting five goals while conceding three, which highlights a positive goal difference of two. In contrast, Getafe sits in 13th place after two matches, with one win and one loss, resulting in three points. They have struggled defensively, conceding three goals while only scoring once, leading to a goal difference of minus two. Their recent form has been mixed, reflecting a need to tighten up at the back. The model indicates a win probability of 45% for Deportivo La Coruna, with the projected score of 1-0. One key market percentage shows that Deportivo is favoured in the betting odds. However, an area of concern could be Deportivo's ability to convert chances into goals, which could allow Getafe to capitalise on any defensive lapses. For a deeper understanding of how we reached this prediction, please refer to the "How We Reached This Prediction" section. This analysis comes from The Daily Punt Analysis Team, using an in-house model that assesses expected goals and actual results across the season.
Betting Predictions
How the model works, and its full prediction record, are set out on our How It Works and Accuracy pages.
Getafe have kept a clean sheet in 34% of matches. Deportivo La Coruna average 1.5 goals per game.
Getafe manage games at home, conceding just 0.94 goals per match. Deportivo La Coruna score 1.53 on the road.
The most likely scoreline per our model at 19.7% probability.
Getafe have been the stronger side, winning 41% of their matches.
Our model projects a 1-0 Getafe win as the most likely scoreline at 19.7% probability. 3 of the top six outcomes feature Getafe clean sheets, in line with their 34% clean-sheet rate this season.
Lines averaged across 6 bookmakers. Getafe are the favourites on the spread, so the larger handicaps pay more if they win comfortably while the smaller lines protect the bet on a narrower result.
Best Betting Odds
Getafe vs Deportivo La Coruna| Bookmaker | 1X2 | O/U 2.5 | BTTS | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | X | 2 | Over | Under | Yes | No | |
| 2.22 | 2.85 | 3.70 | 3.00 | 1.38 | 2.40 | 1.53 | |
| 2.50 | 2.93 | 3.44 | 2.98 | 1.33 | 2.36 | 1.52 | |
| 2.50 | 2.80 | 3.40 | 2.88 | 1.40 | 2.20 | 1.62 | |
| 2.47 | 2.88 | 3.55 | 3.14 | 1.37 | — | — | |
| 2.45 | 2.62 | 2.93 | — | — | — | — | |
| 2.40 | 2.80 | 3.30 | — | — | 2.38 | 1.55 | |
| 2.38 | 2.90 | 3.40 | 3.20 | 1.36 | 2.38 | 1.53 | |
| 2.54 | 2.98 | 3.50 | 2.98 | 1.33 | 2.36 | 1.53 | |
| 2.16 | 2.88 | 3.95 | 3.10 | 1.35 | 2.35 | 1.50 | |
Betano | 2.47 | 2.87 | 3.35 | 3.10 | 1.39 | 2.35 | 1.55 |
BetVictor | 2.40 | 2.88 | 3.40 | 2.78 | 1.37 | 2.30 | 1.53 |
Goals Probability
Avg. bookmaker oddsDouble Chance
Bet covers two outcomesHead to Head
Last 10 Meetings (Getafe leads 6-1)In the last 10 matches between Getafe and Deportivo La Coruna, Getafe has won 6 times, with 3 matches ending in a draw and Deportivo La Coruna claiming 1 victory. The scorelines indicate a strong advantage for Getafe, highlighted by several decisive wins, including a 4-1 and a 3-0 victory. While Deportivo La Coruna managed a narrow 2-1 win in 2017, they have struggled to keep pace, with their last win occurring over six years ago. The data suggests a clear trend of Getafe's dominance in this fixture.
La Liga Standings
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Barcelona | 4 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 17 | 2 | 15 | 12 | WWWW |
| 2 |  Alaves | 4 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 10 | 3 | 7 | 10 | WWDW |
| 3 |  Sevilla | 5 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 8 | 6 | 2 | 10 | WDLWW |
| 4 |  Real Madrid | 4 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 10 | 3 | 7 | 9 | LWWW |
| 5 |  Real Betis | 4 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 5 | 0 | 9 | WLWW |
| 6 | Deportivo La Coruna | 4 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 8 | 5 | 3 | 8 | WWDD |
| 15 | Getafe | 4 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 5 | -3 | 4 | DLWL |
| 18 |  Malaga | 4 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 7 | -6 | 2 | DLDL |
| 19 |  Elche | 4 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 5 | 12 | -7 | 1 | LLLD |
| 20 |  Valencia | 5 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 1 | 10 | -9 | 1 | LLLLD |
Venue Record
Current season at home / on the roadKey Statistics
2026 SeasonGetafe have won 8 of their last 14 matches at home, drawing 1 and losing 5. Their recent home fixtures include beat Getafe 1-0 and beat Getafe 3-1.
Overall, the wider run reads 13W 6D 13L from the last 32 games (41% win rate). The form line is positive, with more wins than defeats across the sample.
Deportivo La Coruna have won 5 of their last 10 matches on the road, drawing 5 and losing 0. Their recent away fixtures include beat Deportivo La Coruna 2-3 and drew with Malaga 1-1.
Overall, the wider run reads 9W 6D 2L from the last 17 games (53% win rate). The form line is positive, with more wins than defeats across the sample.
Lineups
Lineups not yet announced
Starting lineups are usually confirmed approximately 1 hour before kick-off.
Unavailable Players
8 playersGetafe6
Deportivo La Coruna2
Betting Strategy
High-probability picks are the most likely outcomes. Value selections are markets where our model's probability sits above the price implied by the odds. They will not always come in, but the odds are in your favour over time.
Yellow Card Prediction
The referee for this fixture has not been confirmed, so we are sitting this card market out.
Corner Prediction
Getafe have averaged 3.3 corners per match at home; Deportivo La Coruna 2.0 on the road. Combined that projects roughly 3.6 corners in this fixture. Our pick is under 9.5 corners at 1.80.
Player Stats Bet
Getafe have generated 0.69 xG per game across their recent matches, winning 41% of them. They put 2.7 shots on target per match, giving their attackers the volume needed to land a goal-involvement bet. Getafe player to score at 1.85 looks well supported by the data.
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The Daily Punt Analysis Team
Data-driven football predictions and betting tips
This forecast was built by the The Daily Punt Analysis Team using our in-house statistical model. We feed the model two layers of data for every fixture: each team's recent expected goals (xG and xGA) and their actual goals scored and conceded, split by home and away venue. The numbers run through a Poisson distribution that produces a probability for every possible scoreline, which we then convert into fair odds for the 1X2, correct score, BTTS, and over/under markets.
Before publishing, we cross-check our fair odds against the prices the major bookmakers are offering. Where a bookmaker is paying out more than our model says is mathematically fair, we flag that market as a value bet on this page.
