Levante vs Barcelona Prediction, Tips & Odds
Levante vs Barcelona
Match Preview
The model favours Barcelona to win with a projected scoreline of 2-1 against Levante. Barcelona currently sits in fourth place in La Liga with two wins from their opening two matches, scoring seven goals while not conceding any. Their strong goal difference of plus seven highlights their attacking prowess and defensive solidity, making them a formidable opponent. Levante, on the other hand, occupies the tenth position with one win, one draw, and one loss from three matches. They have scored five goals but also conceded five, reflecting a balanced but inconsistent start to their season. With four points from three games, Levante will need to tighten their defense to challenge a high-flying opponent like Barcelona. The model gives Barcelona a win probability of approximately 60%, while Levante's chances stand at about 20%. One key market statistic to consider is Barcelona's current form, with four wins in their last five matches. However, a potential caveat is the possibility of Levante capitalising on any lapses in Barcelona's concentration, particularly if they manage to exploit set pieces or counter-attacks. The full method used to reach this prediction is detailed in the "How We Reached This Prediction" section, developed by The Daily Punt Analysis Team using an in-house model that evaluates expected goals and actual results throughout the season.
Betting Predictions
How the model works, and its full prediction record, are set out on our How It Works and Accuracy pages.
Both attacks have been productive in recent matches, with regular goal-scoring on either side.
Combined goal output is high (3.7 per game). The over has been the right side more often than not.
The most likely scoreline per our model at 13.1% probability.
Barcelona have been the stronger side, winning 76% of their matches.
Our model projects a 0-3 Barcelona win as the most likely scoreline at 13.1% probability. These six outcomes together cover the bulk of the projected probability for this fixture.
Lines averaged across 3 bookmakers. Barcelona are the favourites on the spread, so the larger handicaps pay more if they win comfortably while the smaller lines protect the bet on a narrower result.
Best Betting Odds
Levante vs Barcelona| Bookmaker | 1X2 | O/U 2.5 | BTTS | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | X | 2 | Over | Under | Yes | No | |
| 13.50 | 6.75 | 1.18 | 1.30 | 3.40 | 1.73 | 2.05 | |
| 18.50 | 9.20 | 1.15 | 1.22 | 3.90 | 1.76 | 1.95 | |
| 18.00 | 9.50 | 1.13 | 1.22 | 4.10 | 1.87 | 1.87 | |
| 15.47 | 9.78 | 1.14 | 1.31 | 3.38 | — | — | |
| 10.60 | 6.95 | 1.13 | — | — | — | — | |
| 15.00 | 8.00 | 1.15 | — | — | 1.75 | 2.00 | |
| 17.00 | 8.00 | 1.14 | 1.25 | 4.00 | 1.80 | 1.95 | |
| 19.00 | 9.50 | 1.16 | 1.22 | 3.90 | 1.76 | 1.97 | |
| 9.00 | 7.00 | 1.23 | 1.30 | 3.35 | 1.63 | 2.10 | |
Betano | 16.00 | 9.00 | 1.17 | 1.27 | 3.80 | 1.80 | 1.93 |
BetVictor | 18.00 | 9.50 | 1.12 | 1.22 | 3.90 | 1.78 | 1.93 |
Goals Probability
Avg. bookmaker oddsDouble Chance
Bet covers two outcomesHead to Head
Last 10 Meetings (Barcelona leads 8-1)In the last 10 matches between Levante and Barcelona, Barcelona has won 8 times, Levante has won once, and there has been 1 draw. This record indicates a strong dominance by Barcelona, with several matches ending in comfortable victories, including three 3-0 wins. The only draw came in a high-scoring 3-3 match in 2021, while Levante's sole victory was in November 2019 with a 3-1 scoreline. Overall, the majority of encounters have favored Barcelona, showcasing their ability to secure heavy wins against Levante.
La Liga Standings
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Barcelona | 4 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 17 | 2 | 15 | 12 | WWWW |
| 2 |  Alaves | 4 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 10 | 3 | 7 | 10 | WWDW |
| 3 |  Sevilla | 5 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 8 | 6 | 2 | 10 | WDLWW |
| 4 |  Real Madrid | 4 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 10 | 3 | 7 | 9 | LWWW |
| 5 |  Real Betis | 4 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 5 | 0 | 9 | WLWW |
| 6 |  Deportivo La Coruna | 4 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 8 | 5 | 3 | 8 | WWDD |
| 11 | Levante | 4 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 5 | 5 | 0 | 5 | DWDL |
| 18 |  Malaga | 4 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 7 | -6 | 2 | DLDL |
| 19 |  Elche | 4 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 5 | 12 | -7 | 1 | LLLD |
| 20 |  Valencia | 5 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 1 | 10 | -9 | 1 | LLLLD |
Venue Record
Current season at home / on the roadKey Statistics
2026 SeasonLevante have won 11 of their last 17 matches at home, drawing 3 and losing 3. Their recent home fixtures include beat Levante 5-2 and beat Levante 2-1.
Overall, the wider run reads 13W 7D 11L from the last 31 games (42% win rate). The form line is positive, with more wins than defeats across the sample.
Barcelona have won 9 of their last 16 matches on the road, drawing 2 and losing 5. Their recent away fixtures include beat Elche 0-5 and beat FC Basel 1893 2-5.
Overall, the wider run reads 25W 2D 6L from the last 33 games (76% win rate). The form line is positive, with more wins than defeats across the sample.
Lineups
Lineups not yet announced
Starting lineups are usually confirmed approximately 1 hour before kick-off.
Unavailable Players
4 playersLevante2
Barcelona2
Betting Strategy
High-probability picks are the most likely outcomes. Value selections are markets where our model's probability sits above the price implied by the odds. They will not always come in, but the odds are in your favour over time.
Yellow Card Prediction
The referee for this fixture has not been confirmed, so we are sitting this card market out.
Corner Prediction
Levante have averaged 6.5 corners per match at home; Barcelona 6.9 on the road. Combined that projects roughly 7.7 corners in this fixture. Our pick is under 9.5 corners at 1.80.
Player Stats Bet
Barcelona have generated 2.01 xG per game across their recent matches, winning 76% of them. They put 7.2 shots on target per match, giving their attackers the volume needed to land a goal-involvement bet. Barcelona player to score or assist at 1.55 looks well supported by the data.
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The Daily Punt Analysis Team
Data-driven football predictions and betting tips
This forecast was built by the The Daily Punt Analysis Team using our in-house statistical model. We feed the model two layers of data for every fixture: each team's recent expected goals (xG and xGA) and their actual goals scored and conceded, split by home and away venue. The numbers run through a Poisson distribution that produces a probability for every possible scoreline, which we then convert into fair odds for the 1X2, correct score, BTTS, and over/under markets.
Before publishing, we cross-check our fair odds against the prices the major bookmakers are offering. Where a bookmaker is paying out more than our model says is mathematically fair, we flag that market as a value bet on this page.
