Hangzhou Greentown vs Chengdu Better City Prediction, Tips & Odds
Hangzhou Greentown vs Chengdu Better City
Match Preview
The model favours Chengdu Better City with a projected scoreline of 2-1 against Hangzhou Greentown. Currently sitting at the top of the league, Chengdu has had a strong season with 13 wins and only 2 losses from 21 matches, accumulating a total of 45 points. Their solid goal difference of +21 highlights their defensive strength, having conceded just 21 goals while scoring 42. Despite a recent run of five consecutive draws, their overall form remains impressive, and they are well-positioned to secure a playoff spot. In contrast, Hangzhou Greentown is currently 8th in the standings, with a record of 8 wins, 5 draws, and 8 losses. Their goal difference of -5 indicates struggles in both attack and defense, having scored 31 goals while conceding 36. With only 24 points, they are in a challenging spot to make a late-season push for the playoffs. Their recent form shows mixed results, with two wins, one draw, and two losses in their last five matches, suggesting inconsistency that could hinder their chances in this fixture. The model output indicates a win probability of around 60% for Chengdu Better City, projecting a score of 2-1. A key market to watch is the over/under on goals, which may reflect the expected goal-scoring dynamics. However, if Hangzhou can exploit any defensive lapses from Chengdu, they could turn the tide. For a full breakdown of our prediction methodology, please refer to the "How We Reached This Prediction" section. This analysis is brought to you by The Daily Punt Analysis Team, using an in-house model that evaluates expected goals and actual results throughout the season.
Betting Predictions
How the model works, and its full prediction record, are set out on our How It Works and Accuracy pages.
Both attacks have been productive in recent matches, with regular goal-scoring on either side.
Combined goal output is high (3.6 per game). The over has been the right side more often than not.
The most likely scoreline per our model at 13.0% probability.
Chengdu Better City have been the stronger side, winning 47% of their matches.
Our model projects a 1-1 draw as the most likely scoreline at 13.0% probability. These six outcomes together cover the bulk of the projected probability for this fixture.
Lines averaged across 6 bookmakers. Chengdu Better City are the favourites on the spread, so the larger handicaps pay more if they win comfortably while the smaller lines protect the bet on a narrower result.
Best Betting Odds
Hangzhou Greentown vs Chengdu Better City| Bookmaker | 1X2 | O/U 2.5 | BTTS | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | X | 2 | Over | Under | Yes | No | |
| 2.82 | 3.85 | 2.12 | 1.38 | 2.88 | 1.33 | 2.85 | |
| 2.89 | 3.76 | 2.14 | 1.35 | 2.74 | 1.35 | 2.88 | |
| 2.75 | 3.75 | 2.25 | 1.40 | 2.88 | 1.36 | 3.10 | |
| 2.98 | 3.94 | 2.19 | 1.42 | 2.85 | — | — | |
| 2.52 | 3.37 | 2.06 | — | — | — | — | |
| 2.88 | 3.60 | 2.15 | — | — | 1.36 | 2.88 | |
| 3.00 | 3.80 | 2.10 | 1.40 | 2.88 | 1.36 | 3.00 | |
| 2.98 | 3.88 | 2.21 | 1.35 | 2.74 | 1.35 | 2.94 | |
| 2.95 | 3.75 | 2.12 | 1.42 | 2.60 | 1.38 | 2.70 | |
| 2.88 | 3.60 | 2.15 | 1.40 | 2.80 | 1.36 | 2.88 | |
Betano | 2.87 | 3.80 | 2.12 | 1.39 | 2.77 | 1.37 | 2.87 |
BetVictor | 2.88 | 3.80 | 2.10 | 1.36 | 2.88 | 1.33 | 3.00 |
Goals Probability
Avg. bookmaker oddsDouble Chance
Bet covers two outcomesHead to Head
Last 10 Meetings (Chengdu Better City leads 5-2)In the last 10 matches between Hangzhou Greentown and Chengdu Better City, Chengdu Better City has won 5 times, Hangzhou Greentown has won 2 times, and there have been 3 draws. The scorelines indicate a trend towards Chengdu Better City, with several decisive victories, including a notable 4-0 win. The games have generally been competitive, but Chengdu Better City has secured more narrow wins, such as 2-1 and 1-0, alongside a few heavier victories. The last time Hangzhou Greentown won was in July 2023, suggesting they have struggled in recent encounters.
Super League Standings
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Chengdu Better City | 25 | 15 | 6 | 4 | 51 | 30 | 21 | 51 | WLWLD |
| 2 |  Beijing Guoan | 25 | 11 | 9 | 5 | 49 | 33 | 16 | 37 | DDWWW |
| 3 |  Qingdao Youth Island | 25 | 8 | 13 | 4 | 29 | 30 | -1 | 37 | DWDDW |
| 4 |  Dalian Zhixing | 25 | 11 | 4 | 10 | 36 | 41 | -5 | 37 | DWDLW |
| 5 |  Shandong Luneng | 25 | 13 | 3 | 9 | 45 | 42 | 3 | 36 | WLWWW |
| 6 |  Yunnan Yukun | 25 | 10 | 5 | 10 | 49 | 51 | -2 | 35 | LDWWL |
| 10 | Hangzhou Greentown | 24 | 9 | 6 | 9 | 40 | 40 | 0 | 28 | WDLLW |
| 14 |  Tianjin Teda | 24 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 33 | 31 | 2 | 19 | DDLLW |
| 15 |  Wuhan Three Towns | 23 | 5 | 9 | 9 | 35 | 39 | -4 | 19 | WDLDW |
| 16 |  Qingdao Jonoon | 25 | 6 | 3 | 16 | 33 | 51 | -18 | 14 | LLLLL |
Venue Record
Current season at home / on the roadKey Statistics
2026 SeasonHangzhou Greentown have won 6 of their last 16 matches at home, drawing 7 and losing 3. Their recent home fixtures include beat Yunnan Yukun 6-0 and lost to Chengdu Better City 2-3.
Overall, the wider run reads 10W 13D 11L from the last 34 games (29% win rate). The form line has been negative, with defeats outweighing wins across the sample.
Chengdu Better City have won 8 of their last 20 matches on the road, drawing 8 and losing 4. Their recent away fixtures include beat Hangzhou Greentown 2-3 and drew with Yunnan Yukun 3-3.
Overall, the wider run reads 15W 10D 7L from the last 32 games (47% win rate). The form line is positive, with more wins than defeats across the sample.
Lineups
ConfirmedHangzhou Greentown4-2-3-1Confirmed
Chengdu Better City4-2-3-1Confirmed
Unavailable Players
0 playersHangzhou Greentown
No reported absences
Chengdu Better City
No reported absences
Betting Strategy
High-probability picks are the most likely outcomes. Value selections are markets where our model's probability sits above the price implied by the odds. They will not always come in, but the odds are in your favour over time.
Yellow Card Prediction
The referee for this fixture has not been confirmed, so we are sitting this card market out.
Corner Prediction
Hangzhou Greentown have averaged 4.9 corners per match at home; Chengdu Better City 6.5 on the road. Combined that projects roughly 6.7 corners in this fixture. Our pick is under 9.5 corners at 1.80.
Player Stats Bet
Chengdu Better City have generated 1.96 xG per game across their recent matches, winning 47% of them. They put 4.2 shots on target per match, giving their attackers the volume needed to land a goal-involvement bet. Chengdu Better City player to score at 1.85 looks well supported by the data.
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The Daily Punt Analysis Team
Data-driven football predictions and betting tips
This forecast was built by the The Daily Punt Analysis Team using our in-house statistical model. We feed the model two layers of data for every fixture: each team's recent expected goals (xG and xGA) and their actual goals scored and conceded, split by home and away venue. The numbers run through a Poisson distribution that produces a probability for every possible scoreline, which we then convert into fair odds for the 1X2, correct score, BTTS, and over/under markets.
Before publishing, we cross-check our fair odds against the prices the major bookmakers are offering. Where a bookmaker is paying out more than our model says is mathematically fair, we flag that market as a value bet on this page.
