Tianjin Teda vs Qingdao Youth Island Prediction, Tips & Odds
Tianjin Teda vs Qingdao Youth Island
Match Preview
The model favours Qingdao Youth Island to secure a victory against Tianjin Teda, projecting a scoreline of 1-0. Qingdao currently sits in a strong fourth position in the league, having accumulated 33 points from 23 matches. With a record of 7 wins, 12 draws, and 4 losses, their performance has been characterized by resilience, particularly evident in their ability to earn draws. Qingdao’s goal difference of -3 indicates a tendency to concede, but their solid defensive structure has allowed them to remain competitive in the top half of the table. On the other hand, Tianjin Teda finds themselves in a precarious 14th position, with 17 points from 22 matches. Their recent form has shown some improvement, with three wins in their last five matches, but their overall record of 7 wins, 6 draws, and 9 losses highlights ongoing struggles. While they have managed to score 32 goals, their defensive record is quite tight, conceding just 30 goals, which could play a crucial role in this matchup. The model gives Qingdao Youth Island a win probability of approximately 60%, with a projected score of 1-0. However, a caveat to consider is Tianjin Teda's recent uptick in form, which could pose a challenge for Qingdao if they fail to capitalize on their chances. The full method of this analysis, which leverages expected goals and actual results across the season, is detailed in the "How We Reached This Prediction" section, courtesy of The Daily Punt Analysis Team.
Betting Predictions
How the model works, and its full prediction record, are set out on our How It Works and Accuracy pages.
Both attacks have been productive in recent matches, with regular goal-scoring on either side.
Tianjin Teda manage games at home, conceding just 1.27 goals per match. Qingdao Youth Island score 1.14 on the road.
The most likely scoreline per our model at 15.8% probability.
Tianjin Teda have been the stronger side, winning 30% of their matches.
Our model projects a 1-1 draw as the most likely scoreline at 15.8% probability. 3 of the top six outcomes feature Tianjin Teda clean sheets, in line with their 30% clean-sheet rate this season.
Lines averaged across 3 bookmakers. Tianjin Teda are the favourites on the spread, so the larger handicaps pay more if they win comfortably while the smaller lines protect the bet on a narrower result.
Best Betting Odds
Tianjin Teda vs Qingdao Youth Island| Bookmaker | 1X2 | O/U 2.5 | BTTS | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | X | 2 | Over | Under | Yes | No | |
| 1.92 | 3.52 | 3.64 | 1.88 | 1.87 | 1.74 | 1.95 | |
| 1.91 | 3.50 | 3.70 | — | — | 1.75 | 2.05 | |
| 1.99 | 3.47 | 3.77 | 1.92 | 1.90 | — | — | |
| 1.95 | 3.30 | 3.60 | — | — | 1.73 | 2.00 | |
| 1.98 | 3.62 | 3.75 | 1.92 | 1.90 | 1.74 | 1.98 | |
Betano | 1.98 | 3.35 | 3.65 | 1.87 | 1.88 | 1.70 | 2.05 |
Goals Probability
Avg. bookmaker oddsDouble Chance
Bet covers two outcomesHead to Head
Last 5 Meetings (Tianjin Teda leads 2-0)The head-to-head record between Tianjin Teda and Qingdao Youth Island shows Tianjin Teda winning 2 matches, with 3 draws and no wins for Qingdao Youth Island. The scorelines indicate that matches tend to be closely contested, with three of the last five fixtures ending in draws. The highest margin of victory for Tianjin Teda was a 3-1 win, suggesting they have secured narrow wins rather than dominating performances. Qingdao Youth Island has not won any of the last five encounters, highlighting a challenging trend for them in this matchup.
Super League Standings
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Chengdu Better City | 24 | 14 | 6 | 4 | 49 | 29 | 20 | 48 | LWLDD |
| 2 |  Beijing Guoan | 24 | 11 | 8 | 5 | 48 | 32 | 16 | 36 | DWWWW |
| 3 | Qingdao Youth Island | 24 | 8 | 12 | 4 | 28 | 29 | -1 | 36 | WDDWW |
| 4 |  Dalian Zhixing | 24 | 11 | 3 | 10 | 35 | 40 | -5 | 36 | WDLWD |
| 5 |  Yunnan Yukun | 24 | 10 | 5 | 9 | 49 | 45 | 4 | 35 | DWWLW |
| 6 |  Shandong Luneng | 24 | 12 | 3 | 9 | 42 | 40 | 2 | 33 | LWWWL |
| 14 | Tianjin Teda | 23 | 7 | 7 | 9 | 32 | 30 | 2 | 18 | DLLWW |
| 15 |  Wuhan Three Towns | 22 | 4 | 9 | 9 | 30 | 38 | -8 | 16 | DLDWW |
| 16 |  Qingdao Jonoon | 24 | 6 | 3 | 15 | 32 | 46 | -14 | 14 | LLLLL |
Venue Record
Current season at home / on the roadKey Statistics
2026 SeasonTianjin Teda have won 6 of their last 16 matches at home, drawing 4 and losing 6. Their recent home fixtures include lost to Tianjin Teda 2-4 and beat Tianjin Teda 3-2.
Overall, the wider run reads 10W 10D 13L from the last 33 games (30% win rate). The form line has been negative, with defeats outweighing wins across the sample.
Qingdao Youth Island have won 6 of their last 19 matches on the road, drawing 6 and losing 7. Their recent away fixtures include drew with Henan Jianye 0-0 and beat Shenyang Urban 0-1.
Overall, the wider run reads 12W 15D 8L from the last 35 games (34% win rate). The form line is positive, with more wins than defeats across the sample.
Lineups
Lineups not yet announced
Starting lineups are usually confirmed approximately 1 hour before kick-off.
Unavailable Players
0 playersTianjin Teda
No reported absences
Qingdao Youth Island
No reported absences
Betting Strategy
High-probability picks are the most likely outcomes. Value selections are markets where our model's probability sits above the price implied by the odds. They will not always come in, but the odds are in your favour over time.
Yellow Card Prediction
The referee for this fixture has not been confirmed, so we are sitting this card market out.
Corner Prediction
Tianjin Teda have averaged 4.8 corners per match at home; Qingdao Youth Island 4.2 on the road. Combined that projects roughly 5.5 corners in this fixture. Our pick is under 9.5 corners at 1.80.
Player Stats Bet
Tianjin Teda have generated 1.26 xG per game across their recent matches, winning 30% of them. They put 3.8 shots on target per match, giving their attackers the volume needed to land a goal-involvement bet. Tianjin Teda player to score at 1.85 looks well supported by the data.
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The Daily Punt Analysis Team
Data-driven football predictions and betting tips
This forecast was built by the The Daily Punt Analysis Team using our in-house statistical model. We feed the model two layers of data for every fixture: each team's recent expected goals (xG and xGA) and their actual goals scored and conceded, split by home and away venue. The numbers run through a Poisson distribution that produces a probability for every possible scoreline, which we then convert into fair odds for the 1X2, correct score, BTTS, and over/under markets.
Before publishing, we cross-check our fair odds against the prices the major bookmakers are offering. Where a bookmaker is paying out more than our model says is mathematically fair, we flag that market as a value bet on this page.
