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Qingdao Jonoon vs Wuhan Three Towns Prediction, Tips & Odds

Qingdao Jonoon vs Wuhan Three Towns

Super LeagueRegular Season - 25
Qingdao Jonoon
#16 · Super League
LLLLL
VS
Qingdao Youth Football Stadium, Qingdao (50,000)
Wuhan Three Towns
#15 · Super League
DLDWD

Match Preview

The model favours Wuhan Three Towns to secure a win against Qingdao Jonoon, projecting a scoreline of 2-1. Wuhan currently sits in 15th place with 15 points from 21 matches, reflecting a season marked by struggles but showing some signs of resilience. With four wins and eight draws to their name, their goal difference of -8 suggests they have been competitive, particularly given their recent form of two wins, two draws, and one loss in their last five matches. In contrast, Qingdao Jonoon is in a precarious position at 16th in the standings, having accumulated only 14 points from 23 matches. Their season has been largely disappointing, with a record of six wins, three draws, and 14 losses. Crucially, they have not secured a single point in their last five matches, suffering five consecutive defeats, which underlines their current struggles and lack of momentum. The model indicates a win probability of around 55% for Wuhan Three Towns, suggesting they have a solid chance of taking all three points. However, a potential caveat is Qingdao's home advantage; if they can harness their support effectively, they could pose a challenge. For a deeper understanding of the prediction and methodology, please refer to the "How We Reached This Prediction" section, where The Daily Punt Analysis Team outlines their in-house model that evaluates fixtures based on expected goals and actual results throughout the season.

Head to Head

Last 7 Meetings (Wuhan Three Towns leads 4-2)
2 Qingdao Jonoon1 Draw4 Wuhan Three Towns
06 May
Wuhan Three Towns
1-3
Qingdao Jonoon
Super League
Nov 25
Qingdao Jonoon
1-0
Wuhan Three Towns
Super League
Jun 25
Wuhan Three Towns
2-0
Qingdao Jonoon
Super League
Sept 24
Qingdao Jonoon
1-1
Wuhan Three Towns
Super League
May 24
Wuhan Three Towns
1-0
Qingdao Jonoon
Super League
Jul 23
Wuhan Three Towns
1-0
Qingdao Jonoon
Super League
Apr 23
Qingdao Jonoon
0-3
Wuhan Three Towns
Super League

In their last seven encounters, Qingdao Jonoon has won 2 matches, there has been 1 draw, and Wuhan Three Towns has won 4 times. The scorelines reflect a competitive rivalry, though Wuhan Three Towns has had the upper hand overall. Notably, matches have featured a mix of narrow victories, with three games ending 1-0, alongside one match with a more decisive 3-0 win for Wuhan Three Towns. The most recent win for Qingdao Jonoon came in May 2026, suggesting a struggle for them against this opponent in recent fixtures.

Super League Standings

#TeamPWDLGFGAGDPtsForm
1
Chengdu Better City
24146449292048
LWLDD
2
Beijing Guoan
24118548321636
DWWWW
3
Qingdao Youth Island
2481242829-136
WDDWW
4
Dalian Zhixing
24113103540-536
WDLWD
5
Yunnan Yukun
2410594945435
DWWLW
6
Shandong Luneng
2412394240233
LWWWL
14
Tianjin Teda
237793230218
DLLWW
15
Wuhan Three Towns
224993038-816
DLDWW
16
Qingdao Jonoon
2463153246-1414
LLLLL

Venue Record

Current season at home / on the road
Qingdao JonoonHome
5W2D4L
11 playedGF 17 · GA 141.55 pts/game
Wuhan Three TownsAway
0W6D5L
11 playedGF 15 · GA 250.55 pts/game

Key Statistics

2026 Season
Qingdao JonoonWuhan Three Towns
1.44Goals p.g.1.22
1.94Goals conceded p.g.1.88
9%Clean sheets22%
24%Win rate16%
3.38Avg goals in match3.09
1.82xG per game1.80
48%Possession %45%
3.8Shots on target / game5.6
4.0Corners per game3.9
Qingdao Jonoon
Recent Form

Qingdao Jonoon have won 6 of their last 16 matches at home, drawing 4 and losing 6. Their recent home fixtures include lost to Qingdao Jonoon 0-1 and lost to Qingdao Jonoon 0-2.

Overall, the wider run reads 8W 8D 18L from the last 34 games (24% win rate). The form line has been negative, with defeats outweighing wins across the sample.

Match Results: Qingdao JonoonAll competitions
14 Aug
Shandong Luneng
3-1
Qingdao Jonoon
Super League
08 Aug
Qingdao Jonoon
0-1
Shanghai Shenhua
Super League
02 Aug
Qingdao Youth Island
2-0
Qingdao Jonoon
Super League
25 Jul
Qingdao Jonoon
0-2
Tianjin Teda
Super League
21 Jul
Shanghai Shenhua
4-1
Qingdao Jonoon
FA Cup
17 Jul
Henan Jianye
5-1
Qingdao Jonoon
Super League
8
Win
24%
8
Draw
24%
18
Lost
53%
Wuhan Three Towns
Recent Form

Wuhan Three Towns have won 0 of their last 16 matches on the road, drawing 8 and losing 8. Their recent away fixtures include drew with Chengdu Better City 1-1 and lost to Dalian Zhixing 3-2.

Overall, the wider run reads 5W 12D 15L from the last 32 games (16% win rate). The form line has been negative, with defeats outweighing wins across the sample.

Match Results: Wuhan Three TownsAll competitions
22 Aug
Wuhan Three Towns
0-0
Tianjin Teda
Super League
14 Aug
Wuhan Three Towns
2-3
SHANGHAI SIPG
Super League
01 Aug
Chengdu Better City
1-1
Wuhan Three Towns
Super League
25 Jul
Wuhan Three Towns
1-0
Chongqing Tongliang Long
Super League
21 Jul
Wuhan Three Towns
2-2
Shandong Luneng
FA Cup
18 Jul
Wuhan Three Towns
2-0
Sichuan Jiuniu
Super League
5
Win
16%
12
Draw
38%
15
Lost
47%

Lineups

📋

Lineups not yet announced

Starting lineups are usually confirmed approximately 1 hour before kick-off.

Unavailable Players

0 players

Qingdao Jonoon

No reported absences

Wuhan Three Towns

No reported absences

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The Daily Punt Analysis Team

Data-driven football predictions and betting tips

This forecast was built by the The Daily Punt Analysis Team using our in-house statistical model. We feed the model two layers of data for every fixture: each team's recent expected goals (xG and xGA) and their actual goals scored and conceded, split by home and away venue. The numbers run through a Poisson distribution that produces a probability for every possible scoreline, which we then convert into fair odds for the 1X2, correct score, BTTS, and over/under markets.

Before publishing, we cross-check our fair odds against the prices the major bookmakers are offering. Where a bookmaker is paying out more than our model says is mathematically fair, we flag that market as a value bet on this page.