Heart Of Midlothian vs Dundee Utd Prediction, Tips & Odds
Heart Of Midlothian vs Dundee Utd
Match Preview
The model favours Heart of Midlothian to win against Dundee United, projecting a scoreline of 2-1. Heart of Midlothian starts the season in a strong position, currently sitting third in the standings. While they have not yet played a match this season, their recent form shows three wins in their last five matches, indicating they have momentum heading into this fixture. Their ability to score, paired with a solid overall performance, makes them a formidable opponent. On the other hand, Dundee United is positioned at the top of the table but also has not played a match yet this season. Their recent form reflects three wins in their last five matches, suggesting they too possess competitive strength. However, their last five matches include two losses, which may indicate some inconsistency that could affect their performance as they start the season. The model output suggests a win probability of 55% for Heart of Midlothian, with a projected score of 2-1. One key market percentage to watch is the betting line for Heart of Midlothian, which reflects their status as slight favourites. A potential caveat for this prediction is that both teams are entering the season without current form data, which can make early matches unpredictable. The full method of this analysis is detailed in the "How We Reached This Prediction" section, where our in-house model evaluates expected goals and actual results across the season.
Betting Predictions
How the model works, and its full prediction record, are set out on our How It Works and Accuracy pages.
Both attacks have been productive in recent matches, with regular goal-scoring on either side.
Combined goal output is high (2.9 per game). The over has been the right side more often than not.
The most likely scoreline per our model at 14.2% probability.
Heart Of Midlothian have been the stronger side, winning 52% of their matches.
Our model projects a 1-1 draw as the most likely scoreline at 14.2% probability. These six outcomes together cover the bulk of the projected probability for this fixture.
Lines averaged across 4 bookmakers. Heart Of Midlothian are the favourites on the spread, so the larger handicaps pay more if they win comfortably while the smaller lines protect the bet on a narrower result.
Best Betting Odds
Heart Of Midlothian vs Dundee Utd| Bookmaker | 1X2 | O/U 2.5 | BTTS | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | X | 2 | Over | Under | Yes | No | |
| 1.74 | 3.95 | 4.10 | 1.65 | 2.20 | 1.62 | 2.20 | |
| 1.70 | 3.94 | 4.33 | 1.66 | 2.18 | 1.63 | 2.11 | |
| 1.73 | 3.90 | 4.33 | 1.73 | 2.05 | 1.67 | 2.15 | |
| 1.76 | 4.11 | 4.46 | 1.69 | 2.26 | — | — | |
| 1.77 | 3.54 | 3.86 | 1.65 | 2.26 | — | — | |
| 1.70 | 3.75 | 4.40 | — | — | 1.65 | 2.15 | |
| 1.75 | 4.00 | 4.10 | 1.67 | 2.20 | 1.67 | 2.10 | |
| 1.72 | 3.94 | 4.30 | 1.66 | 2.18 | 1.63 | 2.14 | |
| 1.68 | 3.70 | 4.40 | 1.68 | 2.10 | 1.64 | 2.08 | |
| 1.62 | 3.90 | 4.75 | 1.73 | 2.00 | 1.75 | 1.95 | |
Betano | 1.78 | 3.95 | 4.30 | 1.67 | 2.25 | 1.62 | 2.20 |
Superbet | 1.72 | 4.00 | 4.50 | 1.67 | 2.22 | 1.67 | 2.12 |
BetVictor | 1.73 | 3.90 | 4.33 | 1.63 | 2.10 | 1.60 | 2.15 |
Goals Probability
Avg. bookmaker oddsDouble Chance
Bet covers two outcomesHead to Head
Last 10 Meetings (Heart Of Midlothian leads 6-2)In the last 10 matches between Heart Of Midlothian and Dundee Utd, Heart Of Midlothian has won 6 times, Dundee Utd has won 2, and there have been 2 draws. The scorelines indicate a generally favorable record for Heart Of Midlothian, with several matches featuring significant victories, such as a 4-1 win and a 3-1 win. Although Dundee Utd has managed to secure two wins, both came in narrow matches, highlighting the competitive nature of some encounters. The overall trend suggests Heart Of Midlothian has been more dominant, especially in recent fixtures.
Premiership Standings
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  ST Mirren | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 3 | 6 | WW |
| 2 |  Motherwell | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 3 | W |
| 3 |  Dundee | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 3 | WL |
| 4 |  Celtic | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 3 | W |
| 5 |  ST Johnstone | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 4 | 0 | 3 | LW |
| 6 |  Aberdeen | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | -1 | 3 | LW |
| 7 | Dundee Utd | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | D |
| 10 | Heart Of Midlothian | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | -1 | 0 | L |
| 11 |  Hibernian | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | -1 | 0 | L |
| 12 |  Falkirk | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | -2 | 0 | L |
Venue Record
Current season at home / on the roadKey Statistics
2026 SeasonHeart Of Midlothian have won 10 of their last 14 matches at home, drawing 3 and losing 1. Their recent home fixtures include drew with Benfica 1-1 and beat Dundee Utd 4-0.
Overall, the wider run reads 15W 5D 9L from the last 29 games (52% win rate). The form line is positive, with more wins than defeats across the sample.
Dundee Utd have won 2 of their last 12 matches on the road, drawing 2 and losing 8. Their recent away fixtures include lost to Salford City 3-2 and lost to Montrose 1-0.
Overall, the wider run reads 10W 6D 9L from the last 25 games (40% win rate). The form line is positive, with more wins than defeats across the sample.
Lineups
Lineups not yet announced
Starting lineups are usually confirmed approximately 1 hour before kick-off.
Unavailable Players
0 playersHeart Of Midlothian
No reported absences
Dundee Utd
No reported absences
Betting Strategy
High-probability picks are the most likely outcomes. Value selections are markets where our model's probability sits above the price implied by the odds. They will not always come in, but the odds are in your favour over time.
Yellow Card Prediction
K. Clancy has been appointed as the referee for this fixture. We don't yet have enough recent fixtures officiated by K. Clancy to give a confident card-market projection. Our default lean is under 3.5 yellow cards at 1.95.
Corner Prediction
Heart Of Midlothian have averaged 6.5 corners per match at home; Dundee Utd 3.0 on the road. Combined that projects roughly 5.8 corners in this fixture. Our pick is under 9.5 corners at 1.80.
Player Stats Bet
Heart Of Midlothian have generated 1.24 xG per game across their recent matches, winning 52% of them. They put 4.9 shots on target per match, giving their attackers the volume needed to land a goal-involvement bet. Heart Of Midlothian player to score or assist at 1.55 looks well supported by the data.
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The Daily Punt Analysis Team
Data-driven football predictions and betting tips
This forecast was built by the The Daily Punt Analysis Team using our in-house statistical model. We feed the model two layers of data for every fixture: each team's recent expected goals (xG and xGA) and their actual goals scored and conceded, split by home and away venue. The numbers run through a Poisson distribution that produces a probability for every possible scoreline, which we then convert into fair odds for the 1X2, correct score, BTTS, and over/under markets.
Before publishing, we cross-check our fair odds against the prices the major bookmakers are offering. Where a bookmaker is paying out more than our model says is mathematically fair, we flag that market as a value bet on this page.
