ST Johnstone vs Celtic Prediction, Tips & Odds
ST Johnstone vs Celtic
Match Preview
The model favours Celtic to win against St Johnstone, projecting a scoreline of 2-0. Celtic currently sits in fourth place after one match, where they secured a solid victory with a clean sheet. Their defensive strength is highlighted by their goal difference of +1, and they will look to build on this early-season momentum. St Johnstone, in fifth place, has played two matches, winning one and losing one, resulting in a balanced goal record of four scored and four conceded. Their recent form shows two wins in their last five matches, indicating they can be competitive, but they will need to tighten their defense to challenge Celtic effectively. The model assigns a win probability of 64.3% for Celtic, with a 21.0% chance of a draw and a 14.7% chance of a St Johnstone win. The expectation for over 2.5 goals in the match stands at 59.9%. One potential concern for Celtic is their recent tendency to draw matches, which could impact their ability to secure the win. For a detailed breakdown of the prediction, please refer to the "How We Reached This Prediction" section. The Daily Punt Analysis Team uses an in-house model that evaluates expected goals alongside actual results throughout the season.
Betting Predictions
How the model works, and its full prediction record, are set out on our How It Works and Accuracy pages.
Both attacks have been productive in recent matches, with regular goal-scoring on either side.
Combined goal output is high (4.6 per game). The over has been the right side more often than not.
The most likely scoreline per our model at 12.8% probability.
Celtic have been the stronger side, winning 68% of their matches.
Our model projects a 0-2 Celtic win as the most likely scoreline at 12.8% probability. These six outcomes together cover the bulk of the projected probability for this fixture.
Lines averaged across 2 bookmakers. Celtic are the favourites on the spread, so the larger handicaps pay more if they win comfortably while the smaller lines protect the bet on a narrower result.
Best Betting Odds
ST Johnstone vs Celtic| Bookmaker | 1X2 | O/U 2.5 | BTTS | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | X | 2 | Over | Under | Yes | No | |
| 6.35 | 4.50 | 1.44 | 1.58 | 2.33 | 1.70 | 2.01 | |
| 6.00 | 4.20 | 1.44 | — | — | 1.73 | 2.00 | |
| 6.50 | 4.50 | 1.44 | 1.57 | 2.38 | 1.75 | 2.00 | |
| 6.35 | 4.50 | 1.45 | 1.58 | 2.33 | 1.70 | 2.04 | |
Betano | 6.60 | 4.50 | 1.47 | 1.60 | 2.40 | 1.70 | 2.07 |
Goals Probability
Avg. bookmaker oddsDouble Chance
Bet covers two outcomesHead to Head
Last 10 Meetings (Celtic leads 8-1)In the last 10 matches between St Johnstone and Celtic, Celtic has won 8 times, St Johnstone has 1 win, and there has been 1 draw. The scorelines indicate a predominantly one-sided contest, with Celtic often securing heavy victories, including a 6-0 and a 5-0 win. St Johnstone's sole win came in April 2025, showcasing their ability to compete, but it stands out against a backdrop of Celtic's dominance. The majority of matches have featured multiple goals, suggesting a trend towards higher-scoring games rather than low-scoring affairs.
Premiership Standings
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Celtic | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 1 | 5 | 6 | WW |
| 2 |  ST Mirren | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 3 | 6 | WW |
| 3 |  Motherwell | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 4 | DW |
| 4 |  Heart Of Midlothian | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 2 | 3 | 3 | WL |
| 5 |  Dundee | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 3 | WL |
| 6 | ST Johnstone | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 4 | 0 | 3 | LW |
| 10 |  Falkirk | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | -2 | 1 | DL |
| 11 |  Dundee Utd | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 5 | -4 | 1 | LD |
| 12 |  Kilmarnock | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 4 | 9 | -5 | 0 | LL |
Venue Record
Current season at home / on the roadKey Statistics
2026 SeasonST Johnstone have won 4 of their last 5 matches at home, drawing 1 and losing 0. Their recent home fixtures include beat ST Johnstone 4-3 and drew with ST Johnstone 1-1.
Overall, the wider run reads 11W 1D 2L from the last 14 games (79% win rate). The form line is positive, with more wins than defeats across the sample.
Celtic have won 8 of their last 13 matches on the road, drawing 3 and losing 2. Their recent away fixtures include beat Celtic 0-4 and beat Kilmarnock 1-5.
Overall, the wider run reads 19W 5D 4L from the last 28 games (68% win rate). The form line is positive, with more wins than defeats across the sample.
Lineups
Lineups not yet announced
Starting lineups are usually confirmed approximately 1 hour before kick-off.
Unavailable Players
0 playersST Johnstone
No reported absences
Celtic
No reported absences
Betting Strategy
High-probability picks are the most likely outcomes. Value selections are markets where our model's probability sits above the price implied by the odds. They will not always come in, but the odds are in your favour over time.
Yellow Card Prediction
The referee for this fixture has not been confirmed, so we are sitting this card market out.
Corner Prediction
ST Johnstone average 2.4 goals per match at home; Celtic 2.1 on the road. Open, attack-leaning sides tend to produce more corners; tight, low-event games tend to produce fewer. Our pick is over 9.5 corners at 1.72.
Player Stats Bet
Celtic have generated 2.29 xG per game across their recent matches, winning 68% of them. They put 5.8 shots on target per match, giving their attackers the volume needed to land a goal-involvement bet. Celtic player to score or assist at 1.55 looks well supported by the data.
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The Daily Punt Analysis Team
Data-driven football predictions and betting tips
This forecast was built by the The Daily Punt Analysis Team using our in-house statistical model. We feed the model two layers of data for every fixture: each team's recent expected goals (xG and xGA) and their actual goals scored and conceded, split by home and away venue. The numbers run through a Poisson distribution that produces a probability for every possible scoreline, which we then convert into fair odds for the 1X2, correct score, BTTS, and over/under markets.
Before publishing, we cross-check our fair odds against the prices the major bookmakers are offering. Where a bookmaker is paying out more than our model says is mathematically fair, we flag that market as a value bet on this page.
