Rangers vs ST Mirren Prediction, Tips & Odds
Rangers vs ST Mirren
Match Preview
The model favours Rangers to win against ST Mirren, projecting a scoreline of 2-1. Rangers currently sit in 8th place in the Premiership after one match, where they secured one point from a draw. Their recent form shows two wins, two draws, and one loss in the last five matches. One key statistic is their goal difference, which currently stands at zero, indicating they need to improve both defensively and offensively to climb the standings. On the other hand, ST Mirren is performing exceptionally well, sitting at the top of the league with two wins from two matches, and a perfect goal difference of three. Their recent form reflects this strong start, with four wins and one loss in the last five matches. They have yet to concede a goal this season, showcasing a solid defensive performance that could challenge Rangers' attack. The model gives Rangers a win probability of 71.5%, with a projected score of 2-1, and a notable market percentage of 58.5% for over 2.5 goals. However, a potential caveat is that if ST Mirren continues their strong defensive form, they could disrupt Rangers' plans for a home victory. The full method of this prediction is detailed in the "How We Reached This Prediction" section, as the analysis is conducted by The Daily Punt Analysis Team using an in-house model that evaluates expected goals and actual results across the season.
Betting Predictions
How the model works, and its full prediction record, are set out on our How It Works and Accuracy pages.
Both attacks have been productive in recent matches, with regular goal-scoring on either side.
Combined goal output is high (3.8 per game). The over has been the right side more often than not.
The most likely scoreline per our model at 15.8% probability.
Rangers have been the stronger side, winning 40% of their matches.
Our model projects a 2-0 Rangers win as the most likely scoreline at 15.8% probability. 3 of the top six outcomes feature Rangers clean sheets, in line with their 20% clean-sheet rate this season.
Lines averaged across 3 bookmakers. Rangers are the favourites on the spread, so the larger handicaps pay more if they win comfortably while the smaller lines protect the bet on a narrower result.
Best Betting Odds
Rangers vs ST Mirren| Bookmaker | 1X2 | O/U 2.5 | BTTS | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | X | 2 | Over | Under | Yes | No | |
| 1.30 | 5.10 | 9.30 | 1.61 | 2.27 | 1.94 | 1.75 | |
| 1.30 | 4.80 | 9.00 | — | — | 2.00 | 1.75 | |
| 1.30 | 5.25 | 9.00 | 1.62 | 2.30 | 1.95 | 1.80 | |
| 1.31 | 5.10 | 9.20 | 1.61 | 2.27 | 1.94 | 1.77 | |
Betano | 1.33 | 5.30 | 9.25 | 1.65 | 2.32 | 1.98 | 1.78 |
Goals Probability
Avg. bookmaker oddsDouble Chance
Bet covers two outcomesHead to Head
Last 10 Meetings (Rangers leads 6-2)In the last 10 matches between Rangers and St Mirren, Rangers have won 6 times, St Mirren has won 2, and there have been 2 draws. The scorelines indicate a relatively competitive rivalry, with several closely contested games, including four matches that finished with a one-goal margin. However, St Mirren's last win against Rangers was in December 2024, suggesting a challenging period for them in this matchup. Overall, while Rangers have a stronger record, St Mirren has shown the ability to secure victories against them, indicating potential for tightly contested matches.
Premiership Standings
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Celtic | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 1 | 5 | 6 | WW |
| 2 | ST Mirren | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 3 | 6 | WW |
| 3 |  Motherwell | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 4 | DW |
| 4 |  Heart Of Midlothian | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 2 | 3 | 3 | WL |
| 5 |  Dundee | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 3 | WL |
| 6 |  ST Johnstone | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 4 | 0 | 3 | LW |
| 9 | Rangers | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 3 | -1 | 1 | LD |
| 10 |  Falkirk | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | -2 | 1 | DL |
| 11 |  Dundee Utd | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 5 | -4 | 1 | LD |
| 12 |  Kilmarnock | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 4 | 9 | -5 | 0 | LL |
Venue Record
Current season at home / on the roadKey Statistics
2026 SeasonRangers have won 7 of their last 14 matches at home, drawing 4 and losing 3. Their recent home fixtures include beat ST Mirren 5-1 and drew with Jagiellonia 1-1.
Overall, the wider run reads 10W 8D 7L from the last 25 games (40% win rate). The form line is positive, with more wins than defeats across the sample.
ST Mirren have won 7 of their last 17 matches on the road, drawing 3 and losing 7. Their recent away fixtures include lost to ST Mirren 5-1 and beat Falkirk 0-2.
Overall, the wider run reads 13W 5D 12L from the last 30 games (43% win rate). The form line is positive, with more wins than defeats across the sample.
Lineups
Lineups not yet announced
Starting lineups are usually confirmed approximately 1 hour before kick-off.
Unavailable Players
0 playersRangers
No reported absences
ST Mirren
No reported absences
Betting Strategy
High-probability picks are the most likely outcomes. Value selections are markets where our model's probability sits above the price implied by the odds. They will not always come in, but the odds are in your favour over time.
Yellow Card Prediction
The referee for this fixture has not been confirmed, so we are sitting this card market out.
Corner Prediction
Rangers have averaged 6.6 corners per match at home; ST Mirren 6.8 on the road. Combined that projects roughly 7.7 corners in this fixture. Our pick is under 9.5 corners at 1.80.
Player Stats Bet
Rangers have generated 2.13 xG per game across their recent matches, winning 40% of them. They put 6.4 shots on target per match, giving their attackers the volume needed to land a goal-involvement bet. Rangers player to score at 1.85 looks well supported by the data.
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The Daily Punt Analysis Team
Data-driven football predictions and betting tips
This forecast was built by the The Daily Punt Analysis Team using our in-house statistical model. We feed the model two layers of data for every fixture: each team's recent expected goals (xG and xGA) and their actual goals scored and conceded, split by home and away venue. The numbers run through a Poisson distribution that produces a probability for every possible scoreline, which we then convert into fair odds for the 1X2, correct score, BTTS, and over/under markets.
Before publishing, we cross-check our fair odds against the prices the major bookmakers are offering. Where a bookmaker is paying out more than our model says is mathematically fair, we flag that market as a value bet on this page.
