Žilina vs HNK Hajduk Split Prediction, Tips & Odds
Žilina vs HNK Hajduk Split
Match Preview
The model favours HNK Hajduk Split to win against Žilina, with a projected scoreline of 2-0. Hajduk Split is in excellent form, having secured five consecutive victories in their last five matches. This impressive run reflects a strong attacking capability and solid defensive performance, which will be crucial in a knockout format like the UEFA Europa League. In contrast, Žilina has struggled recently, managing only three draws and two losses in their last five matches. This lack of momentum could impact their confidence heading into this crucial fixture. The team will need to find a way to improve their performance if they hope to challenge Hajduk Split effectively. The model suggests a high probability of victory for Hajduk Split, with a win probability that underscores their recent form. However, a potential caveat for Hajduk is the pressure of playing away from home, which could influence their performance. For a detailed explanation of the methodology behind this prediction, please refer to the "How We Reached This Prediction" section. The Daily Punt Analysis Team employs an in-house model that evaluates expected goals and actual results over the season.
Betting Predictions
How the model works, and its full prediction record, are set out on our How It Works and Accuracy pages.
Both attacks have been productive in recent matches, with regular goal-scoring on either side.
Žilina manage games at home, conceding just 1.55 goals per match. HNK Hajduk Split score 1.82 on the road.
The most likely scoreline per our model at 15.9% probability.
HNK Hajduk Split have been the stronger side, winning 55% of their matches.
Our model projects a 1-1 draw as the most likely scoreline at 15.9% probability. These six outcomes together cover the bulk of the projected probability for this fixture.
Lines averaged across 6 bookmakers. HNK Hajduk Split are the favourites on the spread, so the larger handicaps pay more if they win comfortably while the smaller lines protect the bet on a narrower result.
Best Betting Odds
Žilina vs HNK Hajduk Split| Bookmaker | 1X2 | O/U 2.5 | BTTS | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | X | 2 | Over | Under | Yes | No | |
| 3.00 | 3.45 | 2.14 | 1.90 | 1.85 | 1.67 | 2.00 | |
| 3.18 | 3.48 | 2.13 | 1.87 | 1.90 | 1.69 | 2.02 | |
| 3.00 | 3.60 | 2.15 | 1.87 | 1.90 | 1.75 | 2.05 | |
| 3.10 | 3.34 | 2.07 | 1.85 | 1.88 | — | — | |
| 2.86 | 3.02 | 2.05 | 1.89 | 1.87 | — | — | |
| 3.00 | 3.20 | 2.15 | — | — | 1.70 | 2.00 | |
| 2.75 | 3.50 | 2.25 | 1.90 | 1.90 | 1.73 | 2.00 | |
| 3.18 | 3.48 | 2.15 | 1.87 | 1.90 | 1.69 | 2.05 | |
| 3.15 | 3.45 | 2.14 | 1.74 | 1.95 | 1.61 | 2.14 | |
Betano | 3.00 | 3.45 | 2.20 | 1.87 | 1.88 | 1.70 | 2.02 |
Superbet | 3.05 | 3.35 | 2.20 | 1.85 | 1.85 | 1.71 | 2.02 |
BetVictor | 3.10 | 3.40 | 2.20 | 1.82 | 1.85 | 1.67 | 2.05 |
Goals Probability
Avg. bookmaker oddsDouble Chance
Bet covers two outcomesHead to Head
Last 1 Meetings (HNK Hajduk Split leads 1-0)In the head-to-head record between Žilina and HNK Hajduk Split, HNK Hajduk Split has won 1 match, while Žilina has not secured any victories or draws. The single encounter ended with a clear 2-0 victory for HNK Hajduk Split, indicating a decisive win rather than a close contest. This result highlights a one-sided matchup, as Žilina has yet to score against HNK Hajduk Split in their only meeting to date.
Key Statistics
2026 SeasonŽilina have won 2 of their last 5 matches at home, drawing 1 and losing 2. Their recent home fixtures include drew with Žilina 1-1 and lost to Žilina 0-2.
Overall, the wider run reads 2W 3D 6L from the last 11 games (18% win rate). The form line has been negative, with defeats outweighing wins across the sample.
HNK Hajduk Split have won 3 of their last 7 matches on the road, drawing 3 and losing 1. Their recent away fixtures include beat Celje 0-1 and beat LNZ Cherkasy 0-1.
Overall, the wider run reads 6W 3D 2L from the last 11 games (55% win rate). The form line is positive, with more wins than defeats across the sample.
Lineups
Lineups not yet announced
Starting lineups are usually confirmed approximately 1 hour before kick-off.
Unavailable Players
0 playersŽilina
No reported absences
HNK Hajduk Split
No reported absences
Betting Strategy
High-probability picks are the most likely outcomes. Value selections are markets where our model's probability sits above the price implied by the odds. They will not always come in, but the odds are in your favour over time.
Yellow Card Prediction
H. Fesnic has been appointed as the referee for this fixture. We don't yet have enough recent fixtures officiated by H. Fesnic to give a confident card-market projection. Our default lean is under 3.5 yellow cards at 1.95.
Corner Prediction
Žilina average 0.9 goals per match at home; HNK Hajduk Split 1.8 on the road. Open, attack-leaning sides tend to produce more corners; tight, low-event games tend to produce fewer. Our pick is over 9.5 corners at 1.72.
Player Stats Bet
HNK Hajduk Split have generated 2.13 xG per game across their recent matches, winning 55% of them. They put 5.3 shots on target per match, giving their attackers the volume needed to land a goal-involvement bet. HNK Hajduk Split player to score or assist at 1.55 looks well supported by the data.
What's Your Prediction?
Pick the result you expect
Do you agree with this prediction?
The Daily Punt Analysis Team
Data-driven football predictions and betting tips
This forecast was built by the The Daily Punt Analysis Team using our in-house statistical model. We feed the model two layers of data for every fixture: each team's recent expected goals (xG and xGA) and their actual goals scored and conceded, split by home and away venue. The numbers run through a Poisson distribution that produces a probability for every possible scoreline, which we then convert into fair odds for the 1X2, correct score, BTTS, and over/under markets.
Before publishing, we cross-check our fair odds against the prices the major bookmakers are offering. Where a bookmaker is paying out more than our model says is mathematically fair, we flag that market as a value bet on this page.
