Inter vs Udinese Prediction, Tips & Odds
Inter vs Udinese
Match Preview
The model favours Inter with a projected scoreline of 2-1 against Udinese. Inter currently sits in second place in the Serie A standings, having won all three of their matches this season, scoring a total of eight goals while conceding just three. Their strong goal difference of five reflects their attacking prowess and defensive solidity, making them a formidable opponent. Udinese, positioned ninth, has played two matches this season, achieving one win and one draw. They have scored four goals and conceded three, resulting in a goal difference of one. While they remain unbeaten and have shown decent form with four wins in their last five matches, their limited number of fixtures this season means they have less data to gauge consistency compared to Inter. The model gives Inter a win probability of 72.6%, while Udinese's chances of winning sit at 9.5%. The prediction also suggests a likelihood of over 2.5 goals in the match at 59.1%. One caveat to consider is that if Udinese can maintain their form and exploit any defensive lapses from Inter, they could potentially upset the prediction. The full methodology behind this prediction can be found in the "How We Reached This Prediction" section, as the analysis is conducted by The Daily Punt Analysis Team using an in-house model based on expected goals and actual results throughout the season.
Betting Predictions
How the model works, and its full prediction record, are set out on our How It Works and Accuracy pages.
Both attacks have been productive in recent matches, with regular goal-scoring on either side.
Combined goal output is high (3.5 per game). The over has been the right side more often than not.
The most likely scoreline per our model at 15.7% probability.
Inter have been the stronger side, winning 62% of their matches.
Our model projects a 2-0 Inter win as the most likely scoreline at 15.7% probability. 4 of the top six outcomes feature Inter clean sheets, in line with their 35% clean-sheet rate this season.
Lines averaged across 3 bookmakers. Inter are the favourites on the spread, so the larger handicaps pay more if they win comfortably while the smaller lines protect the bet on a narrower result.
Best Betting Odds
Inter vs Udinese| Bookmaker | 1X2 | O/U 2.5 | BTTS | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | X | 2 | Over | Under | Yes | No | |
| 1.31 | 5.25 | 8.50 | 1.57 | 2.35 | 1.93 | 1.80 | |
| 1.22 | 7.00 | 14.25 | 1.40 | 2.77 | 1.96 | 1.75 | |
| 1.18 | 6.50 | 14.00 | 1.33 | 3.00 | 1.87 | 1.87 | |
| 1.22 | 7.06 | 13.63 | 1.42 | 2.92 | — | — | |
| 1.22 | 5.32 | 8.49 | — | — | — | — | |
| 1.20 | 6.00 | 12.00 | — | — | 1.91 | 1.85 | |
| 1.20 | 6.50 | 15.00 | 1.40 | 3.00 | 2.00 | 1.75 | |
| 1.24 | 7.11 | 14.40 | 1.40 | 2.77 | 1.96 | 1.77 | |
| 1.30 | 5.30 | 10.00 | 1.62 | 2.12 | 2.04 | 1.67 | |
Betano | 1.24 | 6.50 | 15.50 | 1.44 | 2.90 | 1.90 | 1.85 |
BetVictor | 1.18 | 7.00 | 15.00 | 1.39 | 2.68 | 1.90 | 1.80 |
Goals Probability
Avg. bookmaker oddsDouble Chance
Bet covers two outcomesHead to Head
Last 10 Meetings (Inter leads 8-2)In the last ten matches between Inter and Udinese, Inter has won 8 times, while Udinese has secured 2 victories, with no matches ending in a draw. The scorelines suggest a generally strong performance from Inter, with several narrow wins, such as 1-0 and 2-1, but also some more decisive victories, including a 4-0 win. Udinese's last win against Inter came in August 2025, indicating a recent struggle to overcome their rivals. Overall, this head-to-head record shows a clear advantage for Inter, marked by a pattern of successful outcomes.
Serie A Standings
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  AS Roma | 5 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 14 | 3 | 11 | 13 | DWWWW |
| 2 | Inter | 5 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 15 | 8 | 7 | 13 | DWWWW |
| 3 |  Lazio | 5 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 8 | 3 | 5 | 13 | WDWWW |
| 4 |  Cagliari | 5 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 2 | 3 | 12 | WWWLW |
| 5 |  AC Milan | 5 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 10 | 4 | 6 | 11 | WDDWW |
| 6 |  Frosinone | 5 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 9 | 4 | 5 | 10 | WDWWL |
| 13 | Udinese | 5 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 8 | 11 | -3 | 4 | LLLWD |
| 18 |  Bologna | 5 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 3 | 6 | -3 | 2 | DLDLL |
| 19 |  Genoa | 5 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 3 | 10 | -7 | 1 | LDLLL |
| 20 |  Venezia | 5 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 4 | 13 | -9 | 0 | LLLLL |
Venue Record
Current season at home / on the roadKey Statistics
2026 SeasonInter have won 12 of their last 15 matches at home, drawing 2 and losing 1. Their recent home fixtures include beat Lumezzane 2-0 and beat Udinese 5-3.
Overall, the wider run reads 21W 9D 4L from the last 34 games (62% win rate). The form line is positive, with more wins than defeats across the sample.
Udinese have won 6 of their last 15 matches on the road, drawing 3 and losing 6. Their recent away fixtures include drew with Udinese 1-1 and lost to Inter 5-3.
Overall, the wider run reads 12W 8D 14L from the last 34 games (35% win rate). The form line has been negative, with defeats outweighing wins across the sample.
Lineups
ConfirmedInter3-5-2Confirmed
Udinese3-4-2-1Confirmed
Unavailable Players
8 playersInter2
Udinese6
Betting Strategy
High-probability picks are the most likely outcomes. Value selections are markets where our model's probability sits above the price implied by the odds. They will not always come in, but the odds are in your favour over time.
Yellow Card Prediction
L. Pairetto has been appointed as the referee for this fixture. We don't yet have enough recent fixtures officiated by L. Pairetto to give a confident card-market projection. Our default lean is under 3.5 yellow cards at 1.95.
Corner Prediction
Inter have averaged 4.5 corners per match at home; Udinese 3.4 on the road. Combined that projects roughly 5.0 corners in this fixture. Our pick is under 9.5 corners at 1.80.
Player Stats Bet
Inter have generated 2.05 xG per game across their recent matches, winning 62% of them. They put 5.4 shots on target per match, giving their attackers the volume needed to land a goal-involvement bet. Inter player to score or assist at 1.55 looks well supported by the data.
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The Daily Punt Analysis Team
Data-driven football predictions and betting tips
This forecast was built by the The Daily Punt Analysis Team using our in-house statistical model. We feed the model two layers of data for every fixture: each team's recent expected goals (xG and xGA) and their actual goals scored and conceded, split by home and away venue. The numbers run through a Poisson distribution that produces a probability for every possible scoreline, which we then convert into fair odds for the 1X2, correct score, BTTS, and over/under markets.
Before publishing, we cross-check our fair odds against the prices the major bookmakers are offering. Where a bookmaker is paying out more than our model says is mathematically fair, we flag that market as a value bet on this page.
