JDFS Alberts vs Leevon / PPK Prediction, Tips & Odds
JDFS Alberts vs Leevon / PPK
Match Preview
The model favours Leevon / PPK to win this match, projecting a scoreline of 2-1. Currently sitting at the top of the league, Leevon / PPK has demonstrated remarkable form this season, with seven wins and two draws in their nine matches. They have scored 18 goals while conceding only 8, showcasing a strong defensive record and an effective attack, contributing to a goal difference of +10. Their recent performance has been solid, with three wins and two draws in the last five matches, indicating consistency. On the other hand, JDFS Alberts occupies the fifth position in the standings, having secured five wins, one draw, and three losses from their nine games. While they have been competitive, their goal-scoring record of 21 goals against 14 conceded shows they are more vulnerable defensively compared to Leevon / PPK. Their recent form includes three wins, one draw, and one loss, which, while positive, suggests they may struggle against the league leaders. The model output indicates a win probability of 57% for Leevon / PPK and highlights the importance of their strong defensive capabilities. However, a potential caveat is that if JDFS Alberts can exploit any defensive lapses, they could challenge for points. For a detailed understanding of the methodology, please refer to the "How We Reached This Prediction" section. This analysis is brought to you by the SureTipsPro Analysis Team, utilizing an in-house model that evaluates fixtures through expected goals and actual results across the season.
Betting Predictions
How the model works, and its full prediction record, are set out on our How It Works and Accuracy pages.
Both attacks have been productive in recent matches, with regular goal-scoring on either side.
Combined goal output is high (3.9 per game). The over has been the right side more often than not.
The most likely scoreline per our model at 14.6% probability.
JDFS Alberts have been the stronger side, winning 57% of their matches.
Our model projects a 1-1 draw as the most likely scoreline at 14.6% probability. These six outcomes together cover the bulk of the projected probability for this fixture.
Lines averaged across 4 bookmakers. JDFS Alberts are the favourites on the spread, so the larger handicaps pay more if they win comfortably while the smaller lines protect the bet on a narrower result.
Best Betting Odds
JDFS Alberts vs Leevon / PPK| Bookmaker | 1X2 | O/U 2.5 | BTTS | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | X | 2 | Over | Under | Yes | No | |
| 1.80 | 3.60 | 3.50 | 1.50 | 2.25 | — | — | |
| 1.77 | 3.62 | 3.68 | 1.51 | 2.26 | 1.50 | 2.31 | |
| 1.80 | 3.70 | 3.60 | 1.50 | 2.40 | 1.45 | 2.55 | |
| 1.77 | 3.57 | 3.49 | 1.53 | 2.27 | — | — | |
| 1.83 | 3.30 | 3.60 | — | — | 1.50 | 2.30 | |
| 1.80 | 3.90 | 3.40 | 1.60 | 2.30 | — | — | |
| 1.79 | 3.62 | 3.75 | 1.51 | 2.26 | 1.50 | 2.36 | |
Betano | 1.80 | 3.65 | 3.60 | 1.55 | 2.15 | — | — |
Goals Probability
Avg. bookmaker oddsDouble Chance
Bet covers two outcomesHead to Head
1. Liga Standings
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Metta / LU | 10 | 8 | 1 | 1 | 36 | 9 | 27 | 25 | WDWWL |
| 2 | Leevon / PPK | 10 | 7 | 3 | 0 | 18 | 8 | 10 | 24 | DWWWW |
| 3 |  Valmiera / BSS | 10 | 7 | 2 | 1 | 26 | 11 | 15 | 23 | WDLDW |
| 4 |  Riga Mariners | 10 | 6 | 4 | 0 | 19 | 10 | 9 | 22 | WDWWD |
| 5 | JDFS Alberts | 10 | 5 | 2 | 3 | 21 | 14 | 7 | 17 | DWWLD |
| 6 |  Mārupe | 10 | 5 | 1 | 4 | 20 | 12 | 8 | 16 | LLWWW |
| 12 |  JFK Ventspils | 9 | 1 | 3 | 5 | 11 | 17 | -6 | 6 | WLLDL |
| 13 |  Smiltene | 10 | 0 | 4 | 6 | 9 | 27 | -18 | 4 | LDLLL |
| 14 |  Rēzekne FA | 10 | 1 | 1 | 8 | 7 | 31 | -24 | 4 | LWLLD |
Venue Record
Current season at home / on the roadKey Statistics
2026 SeasonJDFS Alberts have won 8 of their last 10 matches at home, drawing 1 and losing 1. Their recent home fixtures include drew with Leevon / PPK 0-0 and beat Tukums II 6-1.
Overall, the wider run reads 12W 4D 5L from the last 21 games (57% win rate). The form line is positive, with more wins than defeats across the sample.
Leevon / PPK have won 6 of their last 11 matches on the road, drawing 4 and losing 1. Their recent away fixtures include drew with Leevon / PPK 0-0 and beat DSVK Traktors 3-5.
Overall, the wider run reads 12W 6D 3L from the last 21 games (57% win rate). The form line is positive, with more wins than defeats across the sample.
Lineups
Lineups not yet announced
Starting lineups are usually confirmed approximately 1 hour before kick-off.
Unavailable Players
0 playersJDFS Alberts
No reported absences
Leevon / PPK
No reported absences
Betting Strategy
High-probability picks are the most likely outcomes. Value selections are markets where our model's probability sits above the price implied by the odds. They will not always come in, but the odds are in your favour over time.
Yellow Card Prediction
The referee for this fixture has not been confirmed, so we are sitting this card market out.
Corner Prediction
JDFS Alberts average 2.1 goals per match at home; Leevon / PPK 1.8 on the road. Open, attack-leaning sides tend to produce more corners; tight, low-event games tend to produce fewer. Our pick is over 9.5 corners at 1.72.
Player Stats Bet
JDFS Alberts have been the stronger side on attack across the season, winning 57% of their matches and averaging 2.1 goals per game. JDFS Alberts player to score or assist at 1.55 looks well supported by the data.
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The Daily Punt Analysis Team
Data-driven football predictions and betting tips
This forecast was built by the The Daily Punt Analysis Team using our in-house statistical model. We feed the model two layers of data for every fixture: each team's recent expected goals (xG and xGA) and their actual goals scored and conceded, split by home and away venue. The numbers run through a Poisson distribution that produces a probability for every possible scoreline, which we then convert into fair odds for the 1X2, correct score, BTTS, and over/under markets.
Before publishing, we cross-check our fair odds against the prices the major bookmakers are offering. Where a bookmaker is paying out more than our model says is mathematically fair, we flag that market as a value bet on this page.
