Rīgas FS II vs Riga FC II Prediction, Tips & Odds
Rīgas FS II vs Riga FC II
Match Preview
The model favours Rīgas FS II to win this match, projecting a scoreline of 2-1. Currently positioned 10th in the league, Rīgas FS II has had a mixed season with two wins, two draws, and six losses. Their goal difference of -9 reflects some defensive struggles, but they have shown signs of improvement recently, securing two wins in their last five matches. On the other hand, Riga FC II sits just above them in 9th place with a record of three wins, one draw, and six losses. They have scored slightly more goals than Rīgas FS II, but their recent form has been concerning, with four consecutive losses following a single win. This inconsistency could hinder their chances in this matchup. The model indicates a win probability of around 55% for Rīgas FS II, with a projected score of 2-1. One caveat to consider is that if Riga FC II can find their scoring touch and break their losing streak, they could pose a challenge. The full methodology used for this prediction is detailed in the "How We Reached This Prediction" section, where the in-house model analyses expected goals and actual results across the season.
Head to Head
1. Liga Standings
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Metta / LU | 10 | 8 | 1 | 1 | 36 | 9 | 27 | 25 | WDWWL |
| 2 |  Leevon / PPK | 10 | 7 | 3 | 0 | 18 | 8 | 10 | 24 | DWWWW |
| 3 |  Valmiera / BSS | 10 | 7 | 2 | 1 | 26 | 11 | 15 | 23 | WDLDW |
| 4 |  Riga Mariners | 10 | 6 | 4 | 0 | 19 | 10 | 9 | 22 | WDWWD |
| 5 |  JDFS Alberts | 10 | 5 | 2 | 3 | 21 | 14 | 7 | 17 | DWWLD |
| 6 |  Mārupe | 10 | 5 | 1 | 4 | 20 | 12 | 8 | 16 | LLWWW |
| 9 | Riga FC II | 10 | 3 | 1 | 6 | 14 | 21 | -7 | 10 | WLLLL |
| 10 | Rīgas FS II | 10 | 2 | 2 | 6 | 13 | 22 | -9 | 8 | WWLLD |
| 12 |  JFK Ventspils | 9 | 1 | 3 | 5 | 11 | 17 | -6 | 6 | WLLDL |
| 13 |  Smiltene | 10 | 0 | 4 | 6 | 9 | 27 | -18 | 4 | LDLLL |
| 14 |  Rēzekne FA | 10 | 1 | 1 | 8 | 7 | 31 | -24 | 4 | LWLLD |
Venue Record
Current season at home / on the roadKey Statistics
2026 SeasonRīgas FS II have won 3 of their last 9 matches at home, drawing 1 and losing 5. Their recent home fixtures include beat Rēzekne FA 3-0 and lost to Leevon / PPK 1-2.
Overall, the wider run reads 6W 5D 9L from the last 20 games (30% win rate). The form line has been negative, with defeats outweighing wins across the sample.
Riga FC II have won 1 of their last 10 matches on the road, drawing 2 and losing 7. Their recent away fixtures include lost to Rēzekne FA 2-1 and lost to Leevon / PPK 3-2.
Overall, the wider run reads 8W 2D 10L from the last 20 games (40% win rate). The form line has been negative, with defeats outweighing wins across the sample.
Lineups
Lineups not yet announced
Starting lineups are usually confirmed approximately 1 hour before kick-off.
Unavailable Players
0 playersRīgas FS II
No reported absences
Riga FC II
No reported absences
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The Daily Punt Analysis Team
Data-driven football predictions and betting tips
This forecast was built by the The Daily Punt Analysis Team using our in-house statistical model. We feed the model two layers of data for every fixture: each team's recent expected goals (xG and xGA) and their actual goals scored and conceded, split by home and away venue. The numbers run through a Poisson distribution that produces a probability for every possible scoreline, which we then convert into fair odds for the 1X2, correct score, BTTS, and over/under markets.
Before publishing, we cross-check our fair odds against the prices the major bookmakers are offering. Where a bookmaker is paying out more than our model says is mathematically fair, we flag that market as a value bet on this page.
