Smiltene vs Skanste Prediction, Tips & Odds
Smiltene vs Skanste


Match Preview
The model favours Skanste to win against Smiltene, projecting a scoreline of 2-0. Skanste currently sits in 8th place, having played 9 matches this season with a record of 3 wins, 1 draw, and 5 losses. Their goal difference of -1 reflects a competitive nature, having scored 15 goals while conceding 16. Recent form shows a slight improvement, with two wins in their last five matches, indicating they are finding some rhythm. In contrast, Smiltene is struggling at 13th place with no wins from their 10 matches so far, managing only 4 draws and 6 losses. Their goal tally of 9 goals scored against 27 conceded highlights significant defensive issues, resulting in a goal difference of -18. With just 4 points on the board, they have struggled to convert draws into victories, which adds to their woes. The model suggests a win probability of 60% for Skanste, while Smiltene's chances sit at 20%. One important market to watch is the goal line, as the projected score suggests a focus on Skanste's attacking capabilities. However, an unexpected defensive lapse or a sudden resurgence from Smiltene could alter the outcome. For a detailed breakdown of how we reached this prediction, please refer to the "How We Reached This Prediction" section. This analysis is brought to you by The Daily Punt Analysis Team, using an in-house model that evaluates expected goals and actual results throughout the season.
Head to Head
1. Liga Standings
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 10 | 8 | 1 | 1 | 36 | 9 | 27 | 25 | WDWWL | |
| 2 | 10 | 7 | 3 | 0 | 18 | 8 | 10 | 24 | DWWWW | |
| 3 | 10 | 7 | 2 | 1 | 26 | 11 | 15 | 23 | WDLDW | |
| 4 | 10 | 6 | 4 | 0 | 19 | 10 | 9 | 22 | WDWWD | |
| 5 | 10 | 5 | 2 | 3 | 21 | 14 | 7 | 17 | DWWLD | |
| 6 | 10 | 5 | 1 | 4 | 20 | 12 | 8 | 16 | LLWWW | |
| 8 | 9 | 3 | 1 | 5 | 15 | 16 | -1 | 10 | LLWWL | |
| 12 | 9 | 1 | 3 | 5 | 11 | 17 | -6 | 6 | WLLDL | |
| 13 | 10 | 0 | 4 | 6 | 9 | 27 | -18 | 4 | LDLLL | |
| 14 | 10 | 1 | 1 | 8 | 7 | 31 | -24 | 4 | LWLLD |
Venue Record
Current season at home / on the roadKey Statistics
2026 Season
Smiltene have won 0 of their last 9 matches at home, drawing 5 and losing 4. Their recent home fixtures include lost to Smiltene 0-2 and lost to Smiltene 2-3.
Overall, the wider run reads 2W 7D 12L from the last 21 games (10% win rate). The form line has been negative, with defeats outweighing wins across the sample.













Skanste have won 4 of their last 11 matches on the road, drawing 1 and losing 6. Their recent away fixtures include lost to Valmiera / BSS 2-0 and lost to JDFS Alberts 4-1.
Overall, the wider run reads 8W 4D 8L from the last 20 games (40% win rate). The form line is positive, with more wins than defeats across the sample.












Lineups
Lineups not yet announced
Starting lineups are usually confirmed approximately 1 hour before kick-off.
Unavailable Players
0 players
Smiltene
No reported absences
Skanste
No reported absences
What's Your Prediction?
Pick the result you expect
The Daily Punt Analysis Team
Data-driven football predictions and betting tips
This forecast was built by the The Daily Punt Analysis Team using our in-house statistical model. We feed the model two layers of data for every fixture: each team's recent expected goals (xG and xGA) and their actual goals scored and conceded, split by home and away venue. The numbers run through a Poisson distribution that produces a probability for every possible scoreline, which we then convert into fair odds for the 1X2, correct score, BTTS, and over/under markets.
Before publishing, we cross-check our fair odds against the prices the major bookmakers are offering. Where a bookmaker is paying out more than our model says is mathematically fair, we flag that market as a value bet on this page.



