Smiltene vs Skanste Prediction, Tips & Odds

Smiltene vs Skanste

1. LigaRegular Season - 11
Smiltene
#13 · 1. Liga
LWDLL
VS
Skanste
#8 · 1. Liga
LLLWW

Match Preview

The model favours Skanste to win against Smiltene, projecting a scoreline of 2-0. Skanste currently sits in 8th place, having played 9 matches this season with a record of 3 wins, 1 draw, and 5 losses. Their goal difference of -1 reflects a competitive nature, having scored 15 goals while conceding 16. Recent form shows a slight improvement, with two wins in their last five matches, indicating they are finding some rhythm. In contrast, Smiltene is struggling at 13th place with no wins from their 10 matches so far, managing only 4 draws and 6 losses. Their goal tally of 9 goals scored against 27 conceded highlights significant defensive issues, resulting in a goal difference of -18. With just 4 points on the board, they have struggled to convert draws into victories, which adds to their woes. The model suggests a win probability of 60% for Skanste, while Smiltene's chances sit at 20%. One important market to watch is the goal line, as the projected score suggests a focus on Skanste's attacking capabilities. However, an unexpected defensive lapse or a sudden resurgence from Smiltene could alter the outcome. For a detailed breakdown of how we reached this prediction, please refer to the "How We Reached This Prediction" section. This analysis is brought to you by The Daily Punt Analysis Team, using an in-house model that evaluates expected goals and actual results throughout the season.

Head to Head

Loading head-to-head data...

1. Liga Standings

#TeamPWDLGFGAGDPtsForm
1
Metta / LU
108113692725
WDWWL
2
Leevon / PPK
107301881024
DWWWW
3
Valmiera / BSS
1072126111523
WDLDW
4
Riga Mariners
106401910922
WDWWD
5
JDFS Alberts
105232114717
DWWLD
6
Mārupe
105142012816
LLWWW
8
Skanste
93151516-110
LLWWL
12
JFK Ventspils
91351117-66
WLLDL
13
Smiltene
10046927-184
LDLLL
14
Rēzekne FA
10118731-244
LWLLD

Venue Record

Current season at home / on the road
SmilteneHome
0W2D2L
4 playedGF 5 · GA 80.50 pts/game
SkansteAway
1W0D3L
4 playedGF 7 · GA 110.75 pts/game

Key Statistics

2026 Season
SmilteneSkanste
1.33Goals p.g.1.55
2.33Goals conceded p.g.1.55
5%Clean sheets25%
10%Win rate40%
3.67Avg goals in match3.1
Smiltene
Recent Form

Smiltene have won 0 of their last 9 matches at home, drawing 5 and losing 4. Their recent home fixtures include lost to Smiltene 0-2 and lost to Smiltene 2-3.

Overall, the wider run reads 2W 7D 12L from the last 21 games (10% win rate). The form line has been negative, with defeats outweighing wins across the sample.

Match Results: SmilteneAll competitions
14 Jun
Riga FC II
2-0
Smiltene
1. Liga
30 May
Parks
1-5
Smiltene
Cup
24 May
Tukums II
1-1
Smiltene
1. Liga
13 May
Smiltene
0-2
Super Nova 2
1. Liga
09 May
Riga Mariners
1-0
Smiltene
1. Liga
03 May
Smiltene
2-3
JDFS Alberts
1. Liga
2
Win
10%
7
Draw
33%
12
Lost
57%
Skanste
Recent Form

Skanste have won 4 of their last 11 matches on the road, drawing 1 and losing 6. Their recent away fixtures include lost to Valmiera / BSS 2-0 and lost to JDFS Alberts 4-1.

Overall, the wider run reads 8W 4D 8L from the last 20 games (40% win rate). The form line is positive, with more wins than defeats across the sample.

Match Results: SkansteAll competitions
14 Jun
Skanste
0-2
Riga Mariners
1. Liga
30 May
Valmiera / BSS
2-0
Skanste
Cup
24 May
JDFS Alberts
4-1
Skanste
1. Liga
10 May
Skanste
4-0
Rīgas FS II
1. Liga
04 May
Skanste
2-0
Riga FC II
1. Liga
27 Apr
Tukums II
2-0
Skanste
1. Liga
8
Win
40%
4
Draw
20%
8
Lost
40%

Lineups

📋

Lineups not yet announced

Starting lineups are usually confirmed approximately 1 hour before kick-off.

Unavailable Players

0 players

Smiltene

No reported absences

Skanste

No reported absences

What's Your Prediction?

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The Daily Punt Analysis Team

Data-driven football predictions and betting tips

This forecast was built by the The Daily Punt Analysis Team using our in-house statistical model. We feed the model two layers of data for every fixture: each team's recent expected goals (xG and xGA) and their actual goals scored and conceded, split by home and away venue. The numbers run through a Poisson distribution that produces a probability for every possible scoreline, which we then convert into fair odds for the 1X2, correct score, BTTS, and over/under markets.

Before publishing, we cross-check our fair odds against the prices the major bookmakers are offering. Where a bookmaker is paying out more than our model says is mathematically fair, we flag that market as a value bet on this page.

Smiltene vs Skanste Predictions, Stats, H2H - 28 Jun 2026 | The Daily Punt