Super Nova 2 vs Tukums II Prediction, Tips & Odds

Super Nova 2 vs Tukums II

1. LigaRegular Season - 11
Super Nova 2
#7 · 1. Liga
LDWWL
VS
Sporta centrs Krasts
Tukums II
#11 · 1. Liga
LLDWL

Match Preview

The model favours Super Nova 2 to win against Tukums II, with a projected scoreline of 2-1. Super Nova 2 currently sits in 7th place in the league standings, having accumulated 15 points from their 10 matches. Their season has seen a balanced goal tally, scoring 15 and conceding 15, resulting in a goal difference of zero. Recent form shows some inconsistency, with two wins in their last five outings, but they possess a slight edge in overall performance compared to their opponents. In contrast, Tukums II finds themselves in 11th place, struggling with just 8 points from their 10 matches. Their season has been challenging, highlighted by a goal difference of -11, as they have conceded 26 goals while scoring only 15. Their recent form is also concerning, with only one win and three losses in their last five matches, suggesting difficulties in both defence and attack. The model indicates a win probability favouring Super Nova 2, projecting a score of 2-1. However, a caveat exists: if Tukums II can tighten their defence and find a rhythm in attack, they could pose a threat, especially given their ability to score the same number of goals as Super Nova 2 this season. The full methodology behind this prediction can be found in the "How We Reached This Prediction" section, as the analysis is based on expected goals and actual results throughout the season, conducted by The Daily Punt Analysis Team.

Head to Head

Loading head-to-head data...

1. Liga Standings

#TeamPWDLGFGAGDPtsForm
1
Metta / LU
108113692725
WDWWL
2
Leevon / PPK
107301881024
DWWWW
3
Valmiera / BSS
1072126111523
WDLDW
4
Riga Mariners
106401910922
WDWWD
5
JDFS Alberts
105232114717
DWWLD
6
Mārupe
105142012816
LLWWW
7
Super Nova 2
104331515015
LDWWL
11
Tukums II
102261526-118
LLDWL
12
JFK Ventspils
91351117-66
WLLDL
13
Smiltene
10046927-184
LDLLL
14
Rēzekne FA
10118731-244
LWLLD

Venue Record

Current season at home / on the road
Super Nova 2Home
3W1D2L
6 playedGF 8 · GA 61.67 pts/game
Tukums IIAway
1W1D2L
4 playedGF 8 · GA 131.00 pts/game

Key Statistics

2026 Season
Super Nova 2Tukums II
1.5Goals p.g.1.5
1.5Goals conceded p.g.2.8
30%Clean sheets15%
40%Win rate25%
3Avg goals in match4.3
Super Nova 2
Recent Form

Super Nova 2 have won 3 of their last 6 matches at home, drawing 1 and losing 2. Their recent home fixtures include drew with Super Nova 2 0-0 and beat Super Nova 2 1-0.

Overall, the wider run reads 4W 3D 3L from the last 10 games (40% win rate). The form line is positive, with more wins than defeats across the sample.

Match Results: Super Nova 2All competitions
13 Jun
Metta / LU
7-3
Super Nova 2
1. Liga
26 May
Super Nova 2
0-0
Valmiera / BSS
1. Liga
13 May
Smiltene
0-2
Super Nova 2
1. Liga
09 May
Super Nova 2
1-0
Rēzekne FA
1. Liga
02 May
Super Nova 2
0-1
Mārupe
1. Liga
26 Apr
Super Nova 2
2-3
Leevon / PPK
1. Liga
4
Win
40%
3
Draw
30%
3
Lost
30%
Tukums II
Recent Form

Tukums II have won 3 of their last 9 matches on the road, drawing 1 and losing 5. Their recent away fixtures include lost to JDFS Alberts 6-1 and beat Rēzekne FA 1-4.

Overall, the wider run reads 5W 3D 12L from the last 20 games (25% win rate). The form line has been negative, with defeats outweighing wins across the sample.

Match Results: Tukums IIAll competitions
14 Jun
Tukums II
1-4
Valmiera / BSS
1. Liga
31 May
JDFS Alberts
6-1
Tukums II
1. Liga
24 May
Tukums II
1-1
Smiltene
1. Liga
16 May
Rēzekne FA
1-4
Tukums II
1. Liga
09 May
Tukums II
1-2
Mārupe
1. Liga
02 May
Leevon / PPK
4-1
Tukums II
1. Liga
5
Win
25%
3
Draw
15%
12
Lost
60%

Lineups

📋

Lineups not yet announced

Starting lineups are usually confirmed approximately 1 hour before kick-off.

Unavailable Players

0 players

Super Nova 2

No reported absences

Tukums II

No reported absences

What's Your Prediction?

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The Daily Punt Analysis Team

Data-driven football predictions and betting tips

This forecast was built by the The Daily Punt Analysis Team using our in-house statistical model. We feed the model two layers of data for every fixture: each team's recent expected goals (xG and xGA) and their actual goals scored and conceded, split by home and away venue. The numbers run through a Poisson distribution that produces a probability for every possible scoreline, which we then convert into fair odds for the 1X2, correct score, BTTS, and over/under markets.

Before publishing, we cross-check our fair odds against the prices the major bookmakers are offering. Where a bookmaker is paying out more than our model says is mathematically fair, we flag that market as a value bet on this page.

Super Nova 2 vs Tukums II Predictions, Stats, H2H - 27 Jun 2026 | The Daily Punt