Super Nova 2 vs Tukums II Prediction, Tips & Odds
Super Nova 2 vs Tukums II


Match Preview
The model favours Super Nova 2 to win against Tukums II, with a projected scoreline of 2-1. Super Nova 2 currently sits in 7th place in the league standings, having accumulated 15 points from their 10 matches. Their season has seen a balanced goal tally, scoring 15 and conceding 15, resulting in a goal difference of zero. Recent form shows some inconsistency, with two wins in their last five outings, but they possess a slight edge in overall performance compared to their opponents. In contrast, Tukums II finds themselves in 11th place, struggling with just 8 points from their 10 matches. Their season has been challenging, highlighted by a goal difference of -11, as they have conceded 26 goals while scoring only 15. Their recent form is also concerning, with only one win and three losses in their last five matches, suggesting difficulties in both defence and attack. The model indicates a win probability favouring Super Nova 2, projecting a score of 2-1. However, a caveat exists: if Tukums II can tighten their defence and find a rhythm in attack, they could pose a threat, especially given their ability to score the same number of goals as Super Nova 2 this season. The full methodology behind this prediction can be found in the "How We Reached This Prediction" section, as the analysis is based on expected goals and actual results throughout the season, conducted by The Daily Punt Analysis Team.
Head to Head
1. Liga Standings
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 10 | 8 | 1 | 1 | 36 | 9 | 27 | 25 | WDWWL | |
| 2 | 10 | 7 | 3 | 0 | 18 | 8 | 10 | 24 | DWWWW | |
| 3 | 10 | 7 | 2 | 1 | 26 | 11 | 15 | 23 | WDLDW | |
| 4 | 10 | 6 | 4 | 0 | 19 | 10 | 9 | 22 | WDWWD | |
| 5 | 10 | 5 | 2 | 3 | 21 | 14 | 7 | 17 | DWWLD | |
| 6 | 10 | 5 | 1 | 4 | 20 | 12 | 8 | 16 | LLWWW | |
| 7 | 10 | 4 | 3 | 3 | 15 | 15 | 0 | 15 | LDWWL | |
| 11 | 10 | 2 | 2 | 6 | 15 | 26 | -11 | 8 | LLDWL | |
| 12 | 9 | 1 | 3 | 5 | 11 | 17 | -6 | 6 | WLLDL | |
| 13 | 10 | 0 | 4 | 6 | 9 | 27 | -18 | 4 | LDLLL | |
| 14 | 10 | 1 | 1 | 8 | 7 | 31 | -24 | 4 | LWLLD |
Venue Record
Current season at home / on the roadKey Statistics
2026 Season
Super Nova 2 have won 3 of their last 6 matches at home, drawing 1 and losing 2. Their recent home fixtures include drew with Super Nova 2 0-0 and beat Super Nova 2 1-0.
Overall, the wider run reads 4W 3D 3L from the last 10 games (40% win rate). The form line is positive, with more wins than defeats across the sample.













Tukums II have won 3 of their last 9 matches on the road, drawing 1 and losing 5. Their recent away fixtures include lost to JDFS Alberts 6-1 and beat Rēzekne FA 1-4.
Overall, the wider run reads 5W 3D 12L from the last 20 games (25% win rate). The form line has been negative, with defeats outweighing wins across the sample.












Lineups
Lineups not yet announced
Starting lineups are usually confirmed approximately 1 hour before kick-off.
Unavailable Players
0 players
Super Nova 2
No reported absences
Tukums II
No reported absences
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The Daily Punt Analysis Team
Data-driven football predictions and betting tips
This forecast was built by the The Daily Punt Analysis Team using our in-house statistical model. We feed the model two layers of data for every fixture: each team's recent expected goals (xG and xGA) and their actual goals scored and conceded, split by home and away venue. The numbers run through a Poisson distribution that produces a probability for every possible scoreline, which we then convert into fair odds for the 1X2, correct score, BTTS, and over/under markets.
Before publishing, we cross-check our fair odds against the prices the major bookmakers are offering. Where a bookmaker is paying out more than our model says is mathematically fair, we flag that market as a value bet on this page.



