Rēzekne FA vs JDFS Alberts Prediction, Tips & Odds
Rēzekne FA vs JDFS Alberts
Match Preview
The model favours JDFS Alberts to win this match against Rēzekne FA, projecting a scoreline of 3-0. JDFS Alberts currently sits in 5th place in the league standings with a solid season record of five wins and two draws from ten matches. They have scored 21 goals while conceding 14, resulting in a positive goal difference of 7. Their recent form shows three wins and one draw in the last five matches, indicating a team that is building momentum. In contrast, Rēzekne FA is struggling at the bottom of the table in 14th place, with just one win, one draw, and eight losses from their ten fixtures. Their goal-scoring woes are evident, having netted only 7 goals while conceding a staggering 31, leading to a goal difference of -24. Their recent form reflects their difficulties, with just one win in the last five matches and four losses, suggesting they may continue to face challenges against stronger opponents. The model gives JDFS Alberts a high win probability, reflecting their superior form and league position. However, a potential caveat is Rēzekne FA's ability to pull off an upset at home, which they may strive for despite their current struggles. For a detailed breakdown of how we reached this prediction, please refer to the "How We Reached This Prediction" section, which utilizes an in-house model analyzing expected goals and actual results throughout the season. The Daily Punt Analysis Team is dedicated to providing data-driven insights to enhance your match predictions.
Betting Predictions
How the model works, and its full prediction record, are set out on our How It Works and Accuracy pages.
Both attacks have been productive in recent matches, with regular goal-scoring on either side.
Combined goal output is high (3.3 per game). The over has been the right side more often than not.
The most likely scoreline per our model at 14.7% probability.
JDFS Alberts have been the stronger side, winning 54% of their matches.
Our model projects a 0-3 JDFS Alberts win as the most likely scoreline at 14.7% probability. These six outcomes together cover the bulk of the projected probability for this fixture.
Lines averaged across 2 bookmakers. JDFS Alberts are the favourites on the spread, so the larger handicaps pay more if they win comfortably while the smaller lines protect the bet on a narrower result.
Best Betting Odds
Rēzekne FA vs JDFS Alberts| Bookmaker | 1X2 | O/U 2.5 | BTTS | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | X | 2 | Over | Under | Yes | No | |
| 13.00 | 6.40 | 1.12 | — | — | — | — | |
| 12.50 | 7.00 | 1.12 | 1.27 | 3.14 | 1.91 | 1.74 | |
| 13.00 | 7.50 | 1.10 | 1.29 | 3.30 | 1.91 | 1.80 | |
| 10.33 | 6.85 | 1.13 | — | — | — | — | |
| 12.00 | 6.00 | 1.17 | — | — | 1.83 | 1.85 | |
| 12.00 | 7.50 | 1.14 | 1.36 | 3.00 | — | — | |
| 12.50 | 7.00 | 1.12 | 1.27 | 3.14 | 1.91 | 1.77 | |
Betano | 10.75 | 6.50 | 1.16 | — | — | — | — |
Goals Probability
Avg. bookmaker oddsDouble Chance
Bet covers two outcomesHead to Head
Last 10 Meetings (JDFS Alberts leads 7-1)In the last 10 matches between Rēzekne FA and JDFS Alberts, JDFS Alberts has won 7 times, with Rēzekne FA securing just 1 victory and 2 matches ending in draws. The scorelines indicate a significant advantage for JDFS Alberts, highlighted by several heavy defeats for Rēzekne FA, including an 8-1 loss and a 0-7 loss. The overall pattern suggests a one-sided rivalry, with Rēzekne FA's last win occurring over two years ago in October 2021. This history points to a challenging matchup for Rēzekne FA against a dominant JDFS Alberts side.
1. Liga Standings
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Metta / LU | 12 | 10 | 1 | 1 | 42 | 11 | 31 | 31 | WWWDW |
| 2 |  Valmiera / BSS | 12 | 9 | 2 | 1 | 32 | 12 | 20 | 29 | WWWDL |
| 3 |  Riga Mariners | 12 | 8 | 4 | 0 | 25 | 10 | 15 | 28 | WWWDW |
| 4 |  Leevon / PPK | 12 | 7 | 3 | 2 | 20 | 15 | 5 | 24 | LLDWW |
| 5 | JDFS Alberts | 12 | 6 | 2 | 4 | 25 | 20 | 5 | 20 | LWDWW |
| 6 |  Mārupe | 12 | 6 | 1 | 5 | 22 | 15 | 7 | 19 | WLLLW |
| 12 |  JFK Ventspils | 11 | 1 | 4 | 6 | 12 | 20 | -8 | 7 | DLWLL |
| 13 | Rēzekne FA | 12 | 1 | 2 | 9 | 10 | 36 | -26 | 5 | DLLWL |
| 14 |  Smiltene | 12 | 0 | 4 | 8 | 12 | 33 | -21 | 4 | LLLDL |
Venue Record
Current season at home / on the roadKey Statistics
2026 SeasonRēzekne FA have won 3 of their last 12 matches at home, drawing 2 and losing 7. Their recent home fixtures include drew with JFK Ventspils 1-1 and lost to JDFS Alberts 2-4.
Overall, the wider run reads 5W 3D 15L from the last 23 games (22% win rate). The form line has been negative, with defeats outweighing wins across the sample.
JDFS Alberts have won 5 of their last 13 matches on the road, drawing 3 and losing 5. Their recent away fixtures include beat Rēzekne FA 2-4 and lost to Riga Mariners 1-0.
Overall, the wider run reads 13W 4D 7L from the last 24 games (54% win rate). The form line is positive, with more wins than defeats across the sample.
Lineups
Lineups not yet announced
Starting lineups are usually confirmed approximately 1 hour before kick-off.
Unavailable Players
0 playersRēzekne FA
No reported absences
JDFS Alberts
No reported absences
Betting Strategy
High-probability picks are the most likely outcomes. Value selections are markets where our model's probability sits above the price implied by the odds. They will not always come in, but the odds are in your favour over time.
Yellow Card Prediction
The referee for this fixture has not been confirmed, so we are sitting this card market out.
Corner Prediction
Rēzekne FA average 1.3 goals per match at home; JDFS Alberts 2.0 on the road. Open, attack-leaning sides tend to produce more corners; tight, low-event games tend to produce fewer. Our pick is over 9.5 corners at 1.72.
Player Stats Bet
JDFS Alberts have been the stronger side on attack across the season, winning 54% of their matches and averaging 2.0 goals per game. JDFS Alberts player to score or assist at 1.55 looks well supported by the data.
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The Daily Punt Analysis Team
Data-driven football predictions and betting tips
This forecast was built by the The Daily Punt Analysis Team using our in-house statistical model. We feed the model two layers of data for every fixture: each team's recent expected goals (xG and xGA) and their actual goals scored and conceded, split by home and away venue. The numbers run through a Poisson distribution that produces a probability for every possible scoreline, which we then convert into fair odds for the 1X2, correct score, BTTS, and over/under markets.
Before publishing, we cross-check our fair odds against the prices the major bookmakers are offering. Where a bookmaker is paying out more than our model says is mathematically fair, we flag that market as a value bet on this page.
