Kalju Nomme vs FC Levadia Tallinn Prediction, Tips & Odds
Kalju Nomme vs FC Levadia Tallinn
Match Preview
The model favours FC Levadia Tallinn to win this match, projecting a scoreline of 2-1. Currently sitting at the top of the Meistriliiga standings, FC Levadia Tallinn has demonstrated exceptional form this season with 16 wins from 22 matches, showcasing a strong offensive presence with 57 goals scored. The team has a solid goal difference of 39, indicating their ability to both score and defend effectively, limiting opponents to just 18 goals against. Kalju Nomme, positioned in second place, is not far behind with 44 points from 23 matches. Their recent form has been impressive, winning their last five matches. However, they face a significant challenge in overcoming FC Levadia Tallinn's strong record. While Kalju Nomme has shown resilience, their overall goal tally of 43 suggests they may struggle to keep pace with Levadia's prolific scoring. The model indicates a win probability of 55% for FC Levadia Tallinn, with a projected score of 2-1. One potential caveat is that if Kalju Nomme can maintain their current winning streak and capitalise on any defensive lapses from Levadia, they could pull off an upset. The full methodology of our prediction is detailed in the "How We Reached This Prediction" section. This analysis is brought to you by The Daily Punt Analysis Team, employing an in-house model that evaluates expected goals and actual results throughout the season.
Head to Head
Last 10 Meetings (FC Levadia Tallinn leads 5-2)In the last 10 matches between Kalju Nomme and FC Levadia Tallinn, FC Levadia Tallinn has the upper hand with 5 wins, while Kalju Nomme has secured 2 victories and there have been 3 draws. The scorelines suggest a tendency towards higher-scoring games, with FC Levadia Tallinn achieving several comfortable wins, including a 4-0 and a 5-1 victory. The matches have also seen a mix of close contests, like the 1-1 and 3-3 draws, indicating that while FC Levadia Tallinn has been more successful overall, Kalju Nomme has managed to compete effectively in some fixtures.
Meistriliiga Standings
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | FC Levadia Tallinn | 23 | 17 | 5 | 1 | 61 | 18 | 43 | 56 | WWWDW |
| 2 | Kalju Nomme | 24 | 13 | 5 | 6 | 43 | 19 | 24 | 44 | LWWWD |
| 3 |  Flora Tallinn | 21 | 13 | 0 | 8 | 42 | 24 | 18 | 39 | LWLWW |
| 4 |  Paide | 22 | 10 | 6 | 6 | 34 | 29 | 5 | 36 | DWLWD |
| 5 |  Tammeka | 21 | 10 | 2 | 9 | 24 | 31 | -7 | 32 | WWLLW |
| 6 |  Laagri | 24 | 9 | 1 | 14 | 34 | 40 | -6 | 28 | WLLLW |
| 8 |  Nõmme United | 23 | 8 | 1 | 14 | 40 | 54 | -14 | 25 | LLLWW |
| 9 |  Kuressaare | 24 | 7 | 3 | 14 | 25 | 39 | -14 | 24 | LWWLD |
| 10 |  Trans Narva | 24 | 5 | 2 | 17 | 18 | 55 | -37 | 17 | LDLWW |
Venue Record
Current season at home / on the roadKey Statistics
2026 SeasonKalju Nomme have won 8 of their last 18 matches at home, drawing 6 and losing 4. Their recent home fixtures include beat Kalju Nomme 3-1 and beat Kalju Nomme 5-1.
Overall, the wider run reads 19W 9D 9L from the last 37 games (51% win rate). The form line is positive, with more wins than defeats across the sample.
FC Levadia Tallinn have won 13 of their last 18 matches on the road, drawing 3 and losing 2. Their recent away fixtures include beat FC Levadia Tallinn 1-2 and drew with Vaprus 1-1.
Overall, the wider run reads 22W 7D 5L from the last 34 games (65% win rate). The form line is positive, with more wins than defeats across the sample.
Lineups
Lineups not yet announced
Starting lineups are usually confirmed approximately 1 hour before kick-off.
Unavailable Players
0 playersKalju Nomme
No reported absences
FC Levadia Tallinn
No reported absences
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The Daily Punt Analysis Team
Data-driven football predictions and betting tips
This forecast was built by the The Daily Punt Analysis Team using our in-house statistical model. We feed the model two layers of data for every fixture: each team's recent expected goals (xG and xGA) and their actual goals scored and conceded, split by home and away venue. The numbers run through a Poisson distribution that produces a probability for every possible scoreline, which we then convert into fair odds for the 1X2, correct score, BTTS, and over/under markets.
Before publishing, we cross-check our fair odds against the prices the major bookmakers are offering. Where a bookmaker is paying out more than our model says is mathematically fair, we flag that market as a value bet on this page.