Tammeka vs Flora Tallinn Prediction, Tips & Odds
Tammeka vs Flora Tallinn


Match Preview
The model favours Flora Tallinn to win, with a projected scoreline of 2-1. Flora currently sits in third place in the Meistriliiga, having accumulated 39 points from 20 matches with a strong record of 13 wins and just 7 losses. Their goal-scoring ability has been impressive, netting 40 goals while conceding only 21, resulting in a positive goal difference of 19. This season, Flora's ability to dominate possession and create scoring opportunities has been evident, making them a formidable opponent. On the other hand, Tammeka is positioned sixth in the league with 26 points, having played 19 matches. Their record stands at 8 wins, 2 draws, and 9 losses. While Tammeka has shown some resilience with three wins in their last five matches, their overall goal difference of -9 indicates struggles defensively, having conceded 31 goals. To challenge Flora, Tammeka will need to maintain a solid defensive structure and capitalize on any scoring opportunities they create. The model indicates a win probability of approximately 65% for Flora Tallinn, with the potential for Tammeka to score, reflected in the projected scoreline. However, a caveat exists; if Tammeka can convert their chances effectively and exploit any defensive lapses from Flora, they could pose a significant threat. The full methodology is detailed in the "How We Reached This Prediction" section, where our in-house model analyzes expected goals and actual results throughout the season.
Head to Head
Last 10 Meetings (Flora Tallinn leads 7-2)



















In the last 10 matches between Tammeka and Flora Tallinn, Flora Tallinn has won 7 times, Tammeka has won 2 times, and there has been 1 draw. This record indicates a strong advantage for Flora Tallinn, with a notable frequency of victories. The scorelines reflect a mix of narrow wins, such as several 2-1 results, and a few more decisive victories, including a 3-1 win. Tammeka's most recent win was a 3-1 victory in April 2026, while Flora Tallinn has consistently prevailed in many recent encounters, suggesting a historical dominance in this matchup.
Meistriliiga Standings
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 22 | 16 | 5 | 1 | 57 | 18 | 39 | 53 | WWDWL | |
| 2 | 23 | 13 | 5 | 5 | 43 | 18 | 25 | 44 | WWWDW | |
| 3 | 21 | 13 | 0 | 8 | 42 | 24 | 18 | 39 | LWLWW | |
| 4 | 22 | 10 | 6 | 6 | 34 | 29 | 5 | 36 | DWLWD | |
| 5 | 20 | 9 | 2 | 9 | 23 | 31 | -8 | 29 | WLLWW | |
| 6 | 22 | 8 | 3 | 11 | 30 | 42 | -12 | 27 | LDLWL | |
| 8 | 23 | 8 | 1 | 14 | 33 | 40 | -7 | 25 | LLLWW | |
| 9 | 23 | 7 | 3 | 13 | 25 | 38 | -13 | 24 | WWLDL | |
| 10 | 23 | 5 | 2 | 16 | 18 | 51 | -33 | 17 | DLWWL |
Venue Record
Current season at home / on the roadKey Statistics
2026 Season
Tammeka have won 8 of their last 14 matches at home, drawing 1 and losing 5. Their recent home fixtures include beat Tammeka 19-0 and beat Tammeka 2-1.
Overall, the wider run reads 15W 3D 13L from the last 31 games (48% win rate). The form line is positive, with more wins than defeats across the sample.













Flora Tallinn have won 10 of their last 18 matches on the road, drawing 2 and losing 6. Their recent away fixtures include lost to Inter Club d'Escaldes 2-0 and lost to The New Saints 1-0.
Overall, the wider run reads 22W 2D 14L from the last 38 games (58% win rate). The form line is positive, with more wins than defeats across the sample.












Lineups
Lineups not yet announced
Starting lineups are usually confirmed approximately 1 hour before kick-off.
Unavailable Players
0 players
Tammeka
No reported absences
Flora Tallinn
No reported absences
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The Daily Punt Analysis Team
Data-driven football predictions and betting tips
This forecast was built by the The Daily Punt Analysis Team using our in-house statistical model. We feed the model two layers of data for every fixture: each team's recent expected goals (xG and xGA) and their actual goals scored and conceded, split by home and away venue. The numbers run through a Poisson distribution that produces a probability for every possible scoreline, which we then convert into fair odds for the 1X2, correct score, BTTS, and over/under markets.
Before publishing, we cross-check our fair odds against the prices the major bookmakers are offering. Where a bookmaker is paying out more than our model says is mathematically fair, we flag that market as a value bet on this page.


