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Tammeka vs Flora Tallinn Prediction, Tips & Odds

Tammeka vs Flora Tallinn

MeistriliigaRegular Season - 13
Tammeka
#5 · Meistriliiga
WWLWL
VS
Tamme Stadium, Tartu (14,405)
Flora Tallinn
#3 · Meistriliiga
LLLWL

Match Preview

The model favours Flora Tallinn to win, with a projected scoreline of 2-1. Flora currently sits in third place in the Meistriliiga, having accumulated 39 points from 20 matches with a strong record of 13 wins and just 7 losses. Their goal-scoring ability has been impressive, netting 40 goals while conceding only 21, resulting in a positive goal difference of 19. This season, Flora's ability to dominate possession and create scoring opportunities has been evident, making them a formidable opponent. On the other hand, Tammeka is positioned sixth in the league with 26 points, having played 19 matches. Their record stands at 8 wins, 2 draws, and 9 losses. While Tammeka has shown some resilience with three wins in their last five matches, their overall goal difference of -9 indicates struggles defensively, having conceded 31 goals. To challenge Flora, Tammeka will need to maintain a solid defensive structure and capitalize on any scoring opportunities they create. The model indicates a win probability of approximately 65% for Flora Tallinn, with the potential for Tammeka to score, reflected in the projected scoreline. However, a caveat exists; if Tammeka can convert their chances effectively and exploit any defensive lapses from Flora, they could pose a significant threat. The full methodology is detailed in the "How We Reached This Prediction" section, where our in-house model analyzes expected goals and actual results throughout the season.

Head to Head

Last 10 Meetings (Flora Tallinn leads 7-2)
2 Tammeka1 Draw7 Flora Tallinn
03 Apr
Tammeka
3-1
Flora Tallinn
Meistriliiga
Sept 25
Flora Tallinn
2-1
Tammeka
Meistriliiga
Jul 25
Tammeka
1-2
Flora Tallinn
Meistriliiga
May 25
Flora Tallinn
3-1
Tammeka
Meistriliiga
Apr 25
Tammeka
1-2
Flora Tallinn
Meistriliiga
Feb 25
Flora Tallinn
2-1
Tammeka
Friendlies Clubs
Sept 24
Flora Tallinn
2-1
Tammeka
Meistriliiga
Jul 24
Tammeka
2-0
Flora Tallinn
Meistriliiga
Jun 24
Flora Tallinn
3-1
Tammeka
Meistriliiga
Mar 24
Tammeka
0-0
Flora Tallinn
Meistriliiga

In the last 10 matches between Tammeka and Flora Tallinn, Flora Tallinn has won 7 times, Tammeka has won 2 times, and there has been 1 draw. This record indicates a strong advantage for Flora Tallinn, with a notable frequency of victories. The scorelines reflect a mix of narrow wins, such as several 2-1 results, and a few more decisive victories, including a 3-1 win. Tammeka's most recent win was a 3-1 victory in April 2026, while Flora Tallinn has consistently prevailed in many recent encounters, suggesting a historical dominance in this matchup.

Meistriliiga Standings

#TeamPWDLGFGAGDPtsForm
1
FC Levadia Tallinn
22165157183953
WWDWL
2
Kalju Nomme
23135543182544
WWWDW
3
Flora Tallinn
21130842241839
LWLWW
4
Paide
2210663429536
DWLWD
5
Tammeka
209292331-829
WLLWW
6
Vaprus
2283113042-1227
LDLWL
8
Laagri
2381143340-725
LLLWW
9
Kuressaare
2373132538-1324
WWLDL
10
Trans Narva
2352161851-3317
DLWWL

Venue Record

Current season at home / on the road
TammekaHome
5W1D4L
10 playedGF 12 · GA 111.60 pts/game
Flora TallinnAway
7W0D3L
10 playedGF 18 · GA 122.10 pts/game

Key Statistics

2026 Season
TammekaFlora Tallinn
1.9Goals p.g.1.84
1.45Goals conceded p.g.1.18
35%Clean sheets39%
48%Win rate58%
3.35Avg goals in match3.03
Possession %49%
Shots on target / game4.0
Corners per game6.5
Tammeka
Recent Form

Tammeka have won 8 of their last 14 matches at home, drawing 1 and losing 5. Their recent home fixtures include beat Tammeka 19-0 and beat Tammeka 2-1.

Overall, the wider run reads 15W 3D 13L from the last 31 games (48% win rate). The form line is positive, with more wins than defeats across the sample.

Match Results: TammekaAll competitions
14 Aug
Nõmme United
0-1
Tammeka
Meistriliiga
05 Aug
Rumori Calcio
0-1
Tammeka
Cup
02 Aug
Kalju Nomme
5-1
Tammeka
Meistriliiga
24 Jul
Tammeka
19-0
Zealot Sporting
Cup
11 Jul
Vaprus
5-1
Tammeka
Meistriliiga
05 Jul
Tammeka
2-1
Laagri
Meistriliiga
15
Win
48%
3
Draw
10%
13
Lost
42%
Flora Tallinn
Recent Form

Flora Tallinn have won 10 of their last 18 matches on the road, drawing 2 and losing 6. Their recent away fixtures include lost to Inter Club d'Escaldes 2-0 and lost to The New Saints 1-0.

Overall, the wider run reads 22W 2D 14L from the last 38 games (58% win rate). The form line is positive, with more wins than defeats across the sample.

Match Results: Flora TallinnAll competitions
16 Aug
Flora Tallinn
2-3
Kuressaare
Meistriliiga
13 Aug
Flora Tallinn
0-4
Inter Club d'Escaldes
UEFA Europa Conference League
06 Aug
Inter Club d'Escaldes
2-0
Flora Tallinn
UEFA Europa Conference League
02 Aug
Flora Tallinn
1-0
Laagri
Meistriliiga
30 Jul
The New Saints
1-0
Flora Tallinn
UEFA Europa Conference League
23 Jul
Flora Tallinn
1-0
The New Saints
UEFA Europa Conference League
22
Win
58%
2
Draw
5%
14
Lost
37%

Lineups

📋

Lineups not yet announced

Starting lineups are usually confirmed approximately 1 hour before kick-off.

Unavailable Players

0 players

Tammeka

No reported absences

Flora Tallinn

No reported absences

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The Daily Punt Analysis Team

Data-driven football predictions and betting tips

This forecast was built by the The Daily Punt Analysis Team using our in-house statistical model. We feed the model two layers of data for every fixture: each team's recent expected goals (xG and xGA) and their actual goals scored and conceded, split by home and away venue. The numbers run through a Poisson distribution that produces a probability for every possible scoreline, which we then convert into fair odds for the 1X2, correct score, BTTS, and over/under markets.

Before publishing, we cross-check our fair odds against the prices the major bookmakers are offering. Where a bookmaker is paying out more than our model says is mathematically fair, we flag that market as a value bet on this page.