Tammeka vs Kuressaare Prediction, Tips & Odds
Tammeka vs Kuressaare


Match Preview
The model favours Tammeka with a projected scoreline of 2-1 against Kuressaare. Tammeka currently sits in 6th place in the Meistriliiga standings, having accumulated 26 points from 19 matches. Their season has been a mix of results, with eight wins, two draws, and nine losses. Notably, Tammeka has shown resilience lately, winning three out of their last five matches, which could signal a positive trend as they seek to solidify their mid-table position. On the other hand, Kuressaare is positioned 9th, with 21 points from 22 games. Their performance has been less consistent, registering six wins, three draws, and 13 losses. While they have managed to score the same number of goals as Tammeka, their defensive record is concerning, having conceded 36 goals this season. Their recent form of two wins, one draw, and two losses indicates they are struggling to find stability, especially against mid-table teams. The model suggests a win probability of 55% for Tammeka, with a projected score of 2-1. One key market percentage shows that Tammeka has a 65% chance of winning at home. However, if they fail to convert their chances or if Kuressaare finds a way to exploit defensive weaknesses, the outcome could shift. The full methodology of this prediction is detailed in the "How We Reached This Prediction" section, reflecting the analysis from The Daily Punt Analysis Team, which uses an in-house model based on expected goals and actual results across the season.
Head to Head
Last 10 Meetings (Tammeka leads 5-3)



















In the last ten matches between Tammeka and Kuressaare, Tammeka has won 5 times, Kuressaare has won 3 times, and there have been 2 draws. The scorelines indicate a fairly competitive rivalry, with several narrow victories; Tammeka's wins include four by a single goal, while Kuressaare's victories feature one narrow win and one by a two-goal margin. There are also two goalless draws, suggesting that when these teams meet, matches can be low-scoring. Kuressaare last triumphed over Tammeka in April 2024, indicating that Tammeka has had the upper hand more recently.
Meistriliiga Standings
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 22 | 16 | 5 | 1 | 57 | 18 | 39 | 53 | WWDWL | |
| 2 | 23 | 13 | 5 | 5 | 43 | 18 | 25 | 44 | WWWDW | |
| 3 | 21 | 13 | 0 | 8 | 42 | 24 | 18 | 39 | LWLWW | |
| 4 | 22 | 10 | 6 | 6 | 34 | 29 | 5 | 36 | DWLWD | |
| 5 | 20 | 9 | 2 | 9 | 23 | 31 | -8 | 29 | WLLWW | |
| 6 | 22 | 8 | 3 | 11 | 30 | 42 | -12 | 27 | LDLWL | |
| 8 | 23 | 8 | 1 | 14 | 33 | 40 | -7 | 25 | LLLWW | |
| 9 | 23 | 7 | 3 | 13 | 25 | 38 | -13 | 24 | WWLDL | |
| 10 | 23 | 5 | 2 | 16 | 18 | 51 | -33 | 17 | DLWWL |
Venue Record
Current season at home / on the roadKey Statistics
2026 Season
Tammeka have won 8 of their last 14 matches at home, drawing 1 and losing 5. Their recent home fixtures include beat Tammeka 19-0 and beat Tammeka 2-1.
Overall, the wider run reads 15W 3D 13L from the last 31 games (48% win rate). The form line is positive, with more wins than defeats across the sample.













Kuressaare have won 4 of their last 17 matches on the road, drawing 1 and losing 12. Their recent away fixtures include beat Kuressaare 0-8 and lost to Paide 1-0.
Overall, the wider run reads 11W 5D 17L from the last 33 games (33% win rate). The form line has been negative, with defeats outweighing wins across the sample.












Lineups
Lineups not yet announced
Starting lineups are usually confirmed approximately 1 hour before kick-off.
Unavailable Players
0 players
Tammeka
No reported absences
Kuressaare
No reported absences
What's Your Prediction?
Pick the result you expect
The Daily Punt Analysis Team
Data-driven football predictions and betting tips
This forecast was built by the The Daily Punt Analysis Team using our in-house statistical model. We feed the model two layers of data for every fixture: each team's recent expected goals (xG and xGA) and their actual goals scored and conceded, split by home and away venue. The numbers run through a Poisson distribution that produces a probability for every possible scoreline, which we then convert into fair odds for the 1X2, correct score, BTTS, and over/under markets.
Before publishing, we cross-check our fair odds against the prices the major bookmakers are offering. Where a bookmaker is paying out more than our model says is mathematically fair, we flag that market as a value bet on this page.


