Laagri vs Kalju Nomme Prediction, Tips & Odds
Laagri vs Kalju Nomme
Match Preview
The model favours Kalju Nomme to win this match, projecting a scoreline of 2-1. Currently sitting in second place, Kalju Nomme has demonstrated strong form throughout the season, recording 12 wins and only 5 losses from 22 matches. Their goal difference of +23 highlights a solid defensive record, having conceded just 17 goals, which is significantly lower than Laagri's -6 goal difference. In contrast, Laagri finds itself in eighth place with a record of 8 wins and 13 losses. While they have shown some improvement recently with three wins in their last five matches, their overall season performance has been inconsistent. With 32 goals scored and 38 conceded, Laagri’s defensive struggles could be a critical factor in this matchup against a more formidable opponent. The model output indicates a win probability of approximately 65% for Kalju Nomme, with a projected score of 2-1. However, one potential caveat is Laagri's recent form, which could provide them with a confidence boost as they aim to upset the higher-ranked team. For a deeper understanding of our prediction, please refer to the "How We Reached This Prediction" section, where The Daily Punt Analysis Team outlines our in-house model that evaluates fixtures based on expected goals and actual results across the season.
Head to Head
Last 10 Meetings (Kalju Nomme leads 8-1)In the last 10 matches between Laagri and Kalju Nomme, Kalju Nomme has won 8 times, with Laagri securing just 1 win and 1 match ending in a draw. This record indicates a dominant performance by Kalju Nomme, who have frequently won by comfortable margins, including three 3-0 victories. The tightest match was a 1-0 win for Kalju Nomme, but overall, Laagri has struggled, with their only victory occurring recently in September 2023. The historical data suggests a clear advantage for Kalju Nomme in this matchup.
Meistriliiga Standings
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  FC Levadia Tallinn | 22 | 16 | 5 | 1 | 57 | 18 | 39 | 53 | WWDWL |
| 2 | Kalju Nomme | 23 | 13 | 5 | 5 | 43 | 18 | 25 | 44 | WWWDW |
| 3 |  Flora Tallinn | 21 | 13 | 0 | 8 | 42 | 24 | 18 | 39 | LWLWW |
| 4 |  Paide | 22 | 10 | 6 | 6 | 34 | 29 | 5 | 36 | DWLWD |
| 5 |  Tammeka | 20 | 9 | 2 | 9 | 23 | 31 | -8 | 29 | WLLWW |
| 6 |  Vaprus | 22 | 8 | 3 | 11 | 30 | 42 | -12 | 27 | LDLWL |
| 8 | Laagri | 23 | 8 | 1 | 14 | 33 | 40 | -7 | 25 | LLLWW |
| 9 |  Kuressaare | 23 | 7 | 3 | 13 | 25 | 38 | -13 | 24 | WWLDL |
| 10 |  Trans Narva | 23 | 5 | 2 | 16 | 18 | 51 | -33 | 17 | DLWWL |
Venue Record
Current season at home / on the roadKey Statistics
2026 SeasonLaagri have won 12 of their last 20 matches at home, drawing 3 and losing 5. Their recent home fixtures include beat Tamper 3-1 and beat Rae Spordikool 8-0.
Overall, the wider run reads 15W 4D 14L from the last 33 games (45% win rate). The form line is positive, with more wins than defeats across the sample.
Kalju Nomme have won 11 of their last 18 matches on the road, drawing 3 and losing 4. Their recent away fixtures include beat Poseidon 0-12 and beat Trans Narva 0-2.
Overall, the wider run reads 19W 9D 8L from the last 36 games (53% win rate). The form line is positive, with more wins than defeats across the sample.
Lineups
Lineups not yet announced
Starting lineups are usually confirmed approximately 1 hour before kick-off.
Unavailable Players
0 playersLaagri
No reported absences
Kalju Nomme
No reported absences
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The Daily Punt Analysis Team
Data-driven football predictions and betting tips
This forecast was built by the The Daily Punt Analysis Team using our in-house statistical model. We feed the model two layers of data for every fixture: each team's recent expected goals (xG and xGA) and their actual goals scored and conceded, split by home and away venue. The numbers run through a Poisson distribution that produces a probability for every possible scoreline, which we then convert into fair odds for the 1X2, correct score, BTTS, and over/under markets.
Before publishing, we cross-check our fair odds against the prices the major bookmakers are offering. Where a bookmaker is paying out more than our model says is mathematically fair, we flag that market as a value bet on this page.
