Nõmme United vs Laagri Prediction, Tips & Odds
Nõmme United vs Laagri
Match Preview
The model favours Nõmme United to win against Laagri, projecting a scoreline of 2-1. Nõmme United currently sits in 7th place with 25 points from 23 matches, having scored 40 goals and conceded 54, resulting in a goal difference of -14. Their recent form shows a slight improvement, with two wins in their last five matches, suggesting they may be finding their rhythm as the season progresses. On the other hand, Laagri is positioned just below in 8th place, also with 25 points but having played one match less. They have a goal difference of -6, having scored 32 and conceded 38. Their form has been mixed, with three wins and two losses in their last five, indicating they can compete but also struggle defensively at times. The model indicates a win probability of 55% for Nõmme United, with a projected score of 2-1. One caveat to consider is that if Laagri can exploit any defensive weaknesses in Nõmme United, they could upset the prediction. For a deeper understanding of how these predictions are made, please refer to the "How We Reached This Prediction" section, as this analysis is based on an in-house model that evaluates expected goals and actual results throughout the season.
Head to Head
Last 7 Meetings (Laagri leads 4-3)The head-to-head record between Nõmme United and Laagri stands at 3 wins for Nõmme United and 4 wins for Laagri, with no draws over the last 7 matches. The scorelines indicate a competitive rivalry, but Laagri has secured more victories, including some heavy wins like a 5-1 and a 4-0. Nõmme United, however, has also achieved notable results, such as a 4-1 win against Laagri. The matches have featured a mix of narrow and wider margins, suggesting that while Laagri edges the overall record, the encounters can be closely contested at times.
Meistriliiga Standings
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  FC Levadia Tallinn | 23 | 17 | 5 | 1 | 61 | 18 | 43 | 56 | WWWDW |
| 2 |  Kalju Nomme | 24 | 13 | 5 | 6 | 43 | 19 | 24 | 44 | LWWWD |
| 3 |  Flora Tallinn | 21 | 13 | 0 | 8 | 42 | 24 | 18 | 39 | LWLWW |
| 4 |  Paide | 22 | 10 | 6 | 6 | 34 | 29 | 5 | 36 | DWLWD |
| 5 |  Tammeka | 21 | 10 | 2 | 9 | 24 | 31 | -7 | 32 | WWLLW |
| 6 | Laagri | 24 | 9 | 1 | 14 | 34 | 40 | -6 | 28 | WLLLW |
| 8 | Nõmme United | 23 | 8 | 1 | 14 | 40 | 54 | -14 | 25 | LLLWW |
| 9 |  Kuressaare | 24 | 7 | 3 | 14 | 25 | 39 | -14 | 24 | LWWLD |
| 10 |  Trans Narva | 24 | 5 | 2 | 17 | 18 | 55 | -37 | 17 | LDLWW |
Venue Record
Current season at home / on the roadKey Statistics
2026 SeasonNõmme United have won 7 of their last 17 matches at home, drawing 0 and losing 10. Their recent home fixtures include lost to Nõmme United 0-1 and lost to Nõmme United 1-2.
Overall, the wider run reads 15W 2D 17L from the last 34 games (44% win rate). The form line has been negative, with defeats outweighing wins across the sample.
Laagri have won 3 of their last 13 matches on the road, drawing 1 and losing 9. Their recent away fixtures include lost to Kuressaare 3-2 and lost to Flora Tallinn 1-0.
Overall, the wider run reads 14W 4D 14L from the last 32 games (44% win rate). The form line is positive, with more wins than defeats across the sample.
Lineups
Lineups not yet announced
Starting lineups are usually confirmed approximately 1 hour before kick-off.
Unavailable Players
0 playersNõmme United
No reported absences
Laagri
No reported absences
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The Daily Punt Analysis Team
Data-driven football predictions and betting tips
This forecast was built by the The Daily Punt Analysis Team using our in-house statistical model. We feed the model two layers of data for every fixture: each team's recent expected goals (xG and xGA) and their actual goals scored and conceded, split by home and away venue. The numbers run through a Poisson distribution that produces a probability for every possible scoreline, which we then convert into fair odds for the 1X2, correct score, BTTS, and over/under markets.
Before publishing, we cross-check our fair odds against the prices the major bookmakers are offering. Where a bookmaker is paying out more than our model says is mathematically fair, we flag that market as a value bet on this page.
