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Kauno Žalgiris vs KI Klaksvik Prediction, Tips & Odds

Kauno Žalgiris vs KI Klaksvik

UEFA Champions League2nd Qualifying Round
Kauno Žalgiris
WDWWW
1 - 0
Jonavos centrinis stadionas, Jonava
Referee: D. Smajc
KI Klaksvik
LDWWD
★ OUR PICK
Kauno Žalgiris to Win
Solid home form and superior underlying numbers over KI Klaksvik make Kauno Žalgiris the value pick here.
Moneyline
1.81
BEST ODDS
Our pick: Bookmakers offer average 1.75 (implied 57.0%) for Kauno Žalgiris to Win. Our experts calculate a 59.5% probability (an expert ratio of 1.68). We chose this bet because our experts rate it more likely than the bookmaker price implies (59.5% vs 57.0%), driven by Kauno Žalgiris's stronger form and superior underlying numbers. That edge makes it our most confident selection for this match.

Match Preview

The model favours Kauno Žalgiris to win against KI Klaksvik, projecting a scoreline of 2-1. Kauno Žalgiris has shown solid form recently, going unbeaten in their last five matches with three wins and two draws. This consistency positions them well as they head into this crucial UEFA Champions League qualifier, indicating a team that is not only finding ways to win but also maintaining resilience when faced with challenges. In contrast, KI Klaksvik has had a mixed bag of results in their recent matches, with two wins, one draw, and two losses. This inconsistency may hinder their confidence as they approach this fixture. While they have shown the ability to compete, their recent form suggests they may struggle against a Kauno Žalgiris side that is currently in better shape. The model indicates a win probability of approximately 60% for Kauno Žalgiris, reinforcing their status as the favourite. However, one caveat is that if KI Klaksvik manages to capitalize on any defensive lapses from the home side, they could turn the tide in their favour. For a deeper understanding of how these predictions are formulated, please refer to the "How We Reached This Prediction" section, where The Daily Punt Analysis Team employs an in-house model based on expected goals and actual results throughout the season.

Betting Predictions

How the model works, and its full prediction record, are set out on our How It Works and Accuracy pages.

Match Result
Kauno Žalgiris Win54%1.75
Draw23%3.44
KI Klaksvik Win23%4.61
BTTS
Both Teams to Score: No
1.8050.1%

Kauno Žalgiris have kept a clean sheet in 51% of matches. KI Klaksvik average 1.6 goals per game.

Over/Under Goals
Under 2.5 Goals
1.7453.2%

Kauno Žalgiris manage games at home, conceding just 0.66 goals per match. KI Klaksvik score 1.65 on the road.

Correct Score
Kauno Žalgiris 1-0 KI Klaksvik
5.9117.1%

The most likely scoreline per our model at 17.1% probability.

Asian Handicap
Kauno Žalgiris -0.5
1.7248%

Kauno Žalgiris have been the stronger side, winning 60% of their matches.

CORRECT SCOREMost likely outcomes
1-0
5.91
17.1%
1-1
6.13
16.4%
2-0
7.39
13.6%
2-1
7.55
13.4%
0-0
8.60
11.7%
0-1
10.60
9.6%

Our model projects a 1-0 Kauno Žalgiris win as the most likely scoreline at 17.1% probability. 3 of the top six outcomes feature Kauno Žalgiris clean sheets, in line with their 51% clean-sheet rate this season.

ASIAN HANDICAPLines & prices
Kauno Žalgiris
-0.0
1.26
KI Klaksvik
+0.0
3.43
Kauno Žalgiris
-0.3
1.57
KI Klaksvik
+0.3
3.40
Kauno Žalgiris
-0.5
1.72
KI Klaksvik
+0.5
4.17
Kauno Žalgiris
-1.5
3.20
KI Klaksvik
+1.5
10.00

Lines averaged across 5 bookmakers. Kauno Žalgiris are the favourites on the spread, so the larger handicaps pay more if they win comfortably while the smaller lines protect the bet on a narrower result.

Best Betting Odds

Kauno Žalgiris vs KI Klaksvik
Bookmaker1X2O/U 2.5BTTS
1X2OverUnderYesNo
10Bet
1.813.554.302.001.801.831.85
Marathonbet
1.743.484.752.071.731.931.76
Betfair
1.703.304.601.951.751.871.87
Pinnacle
1.753.484.572.081.72
SBO
1.723.193.961.981.80
William Hill
1.733.304.601.911.83
Bet365
1.703.405.002.051.751.911.80
1xBet
1.773.544.842.091.741.921.79
Unibet
1.793.304.502.181.582.001.68
Betano
1.803.554.702.101.781.911.82
Superbet
1.783.604.702.051.781.951.80
BetVictor
1.753.604.801.981.711.911.78

Goals Probability

Avg. bookmaker odds
Over 0.5 Goals
89.3%
Over 1.5 Goals
70.1%
Over 2.5 Goals
46.8%
Over 3.5 Goals
25.8%

Double Chance

Bet covers two outcomes
1XKauno Žalgiris or Draw
77%1.17
12Kauno Žalgiris or KI Klaksvik
77%1.26
X2Draw or KI Klaksvik
46%2.01

Head to Head

Last 1 Meetings (evenly matched 0-0)
0 Kauno Žalgiris1 Draw0 KI Klaksvik
21 Jul
KI Klaksvik
0-0
Kauno Žalgiris
UEFA Champions League

The head-to-head record between Kauno Žalgiris and KI Klaksvik shows 0 wins for either team, with 1 draw. Their only encounter ended in a 0-0 stalemate, indicating a tightly contested match with both sides unable to find the back of the net. This lack of scoring suggests that neither team has had a dominant performance in their history against the other, and it remains to be seen how they may fare in future meetings.

Key Statistics

2026 Season
Kauno ŽalgirisKI Klaksvik
2Goals p.g.1.65
0.66Goals conceded p.g.0.88
51%Clean sheets29%
60%Win rate53%
2.66Avg goals in match2.53
63%Possession %
9.0Shots on target / game
7.0Corners per game
Kauno Žalgiris
Recent Form

Kauno Žalgiris have won 9 of their last 17 matches at home, drawing 4 and losing 4. Their recent home fixtures include beat KI Klaksvik 1-0 and beat Šiauliai 4-0.

Overall, the wider run reads 21W 9D 5L from the last 35 games (60% win rate). The form line is positive, with more wins than defeats across the sample.

Match Results: Kauno ŽalgirisAll competitions
29 Jul
Kauno Žalgiris
1-0
KI Klaksvik
UEFA Champions League
21 Jul
KI Klaksvik
0-0
Kauno Žalgiris
UEFA Champions League
18 Jul
Kauno Žalgiris
4-0
Šiauliai
A Lyga
14 Jul
Drita
2-3
Kauno Žalgiris
UEFA Champions League
11 Jul
Kauno Žalgiris
3-0
Panevėžys
A Lyga
07 Jul
Kauno Žalgiris
1-1
Drita
UEFA Champions League
21
Win
60%
9
Draw
26%
5
Lost
14%
KI Klaksvik
Recent Form

KI Klaksvik have won 5 of their last 10 matches on the road, drawing 3 and losing 2. Their recent away fixtures include lost to KI Klaksvik 1-0 and beat Atert Bissen 1-2.

Overall, the wider run reads 9W 5D 3L from the last 17 games (53% win rate). The form line is positive, with more wins than defeats across the sample.

Match Results: KI KlaksvikAll competitions
29 Jul
Kauno Žalgiris
1-0
KI Klaksvik
UEFA Champions League
21 Jul
KI Klaksvik
0-0
Kauno Žalgiris
UEFA Champions League
15 Jul
Atert Bissen
1-2
KI Klaksvik
UEFA Champions League
07 Jul
KI Klaksvik
2-1
Atert Bissen
UEFA Champions League
03 Jul
NSI Runavik
0-0
KI Klaksvik
Meistaradeildin
28 Jun
KI Klaksvik
0-1
07 Vestur
Meistaradeildin
9
Win
53%
5
Draw
29%
3
Lost
18%

Lineups

Confirmed

Kauno Žalgiris4-1-4-1Confirmed

3Anton TolordavaDEF
37Nosa Iyobosa EdokpolorDEF
77Rokas LekiatasDEF
45Joris MoutachyDEF
24Motiejus BurbaFWD
7Amine BenchaibFWD
19Renan OliveiraFWD
55Tomas ŠvedkauskasGK
70Fabien OuregaMID
14Vykintas SlivkaMID
32Franco BaldassarraMID
4Luka RacicDEF
2Tautvydas BurdzilauskasDEF
33Marko KonatarDEF
23Aldayr HernándezDEF
99Haris KadrićFWD
22Deividas MikelionisGK
15Léo RibeiroMID
10Gratas SirgėdasMID
17Ivan FiolićMID
9Leon KrekovićMID
8Yukiyoshi KarashimaMID

KI Klaksvik3-4-3Confirmed

36Jean CarlosDEF
23Jóannes Kalsø DanielsenDEF
2Gastón TellecheaDEF
26Gilli RólantssonDEF
9Páll KlettskarðFWD
96Mark JensenGK
10Hallur HanssonMID
17Filip BrattbakkMID
28Oussama AliMID
5Deni PavlovićMID
4Mansour SinyanMID
6Daniel JohansenDEF
29Símun KalsøDEF
20Erlend HustadFWD
27David ReynheimFWD
12Nicolai ChristensenGK
14René Shaki JoensenMID
7Árni FrederiksbergMID
11Jonn JohannesenMID
25Hampus NässtromMID
24Martin GonzalezMID

Unavailable Players

0 players

Kauno Žalgiris

No reported absences

KI Klaksvik

No reported absences

Betting Strategy

High-probability picks are the most likely outcomes. Value selections are markets where our model's probability sits above the price implied by the odds. They will not always come in, but the odds are in your favour over time.

Value Bets
Kauno Žalgiris Win1.75 (54%)
Over 2.5 Goals2.05 (46.8%)
Under 2.5 Goals1.74 (53.2%)
Both Teams Score1.91 (49.9%)
BTTS No1.80 (50.1%)
Speculative
Draw3.44 (23.1%)
KI Klaksvik Win4.61 (22.9%)

Yellow Card Prediction

D. Smajc has been appointed as the referee for this fixture. We don't yet have enough recent fixtures officiated by D. Smajc to give a confident card-market projection. Our default lean is under 3.5 yellow cards at 1.95.

Corner Prediction

Kauno Žalgiris average 2.0 goals per match at home; KI Klaksvik 1.6 on the road. Open, attack-leaning sides tend to produce more corners; tight, low-event games tend to produce fewer. Our pick is over 9.5 corners at 1.72.

Player Stats Bet

Kauno Žalgiris have been the stronger side on attack across the season, winning 60% of their matches and averaging 2.0 goals per game. They put 9.0 shots on target per match, giving their attackers the volume needed to land a goal-involvement bet. Kauno Žalgiris player to score or assist at 1.55 looks well supported by the data.

What's Your Prediction?

Pick the result you expect

OUR PREDICTION
Kauno Žalgiris to Win

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The Daily Punt Analysis Team

Data-driven football predictions and betting tips

This forecast was built by the The Daily Punt Analysis Team using our in-house statistical model. We feed the model two layers of data for every fixture: each team's recent expected goals (xG and xGA) and their actual goals scored and conceded, split by home and away venue. The numbers run through a Poisson distribution that produces a probability for every possible scoreline, which we then convert into fair odds for the 1X2, correct score, BTTS, and over/under markets.

Before publishing, we cross-check our fair odds against the prices the major bookmakers are offering. Where a bookmaker is paying out more than our model says is mathematically fair, we flag that market as a value bet on this page.