Koper vs NSI Runavik Prediction, Tips & Odds
Koper vs NSI Runavik
Match Preview
The model favours Koper to win against NSI Runavik, with a projected scoreline of 2-1. Koper's recent form shows a mixed bag, with three wins and two losses in their last five matches. This indicates a slight upward trend, particularly with their two most recent victories, suggesting they are finding their rhythm as the season progresses. On the other hand, NSI Runavik comes into this match with an unbeaten streak in their last five matches, securing two wins and three draws. Their ability to avoid defeat is commendable, but the lack of decisive victories might hinder their confidence against a team like Koper, who are starting to gather momentum. According to the model output, Koper has a win probability of 55%, while NSI Runavik sits at 25%. The key market percentage indicates that Koper is favoured to win at around 1.80. However, a caveat to consider is the potential for fatigue or complacency, especially if Koper's players are not fully focused. For a detailed understanding of how we reached this prediction, please refer to the "How We Reached This Prediction" section. The Daily Punt Analysis Team employs an in-house model that evaluates fixtures through expected goals and actual results across the season.
Betting Predictions
How the model works, and its full prediction record, are set out on our How It Works and Accuracy pages.
Both attacks have been productive in recent matches, with regular goal-scoring on either side.
Combined goal output is high (3.8 per game). The over has been the right side more often than not.
The most likely scoreline per our model at 14.0% probability.
Koper have been the stronger side, winning 67% of their matches.
Our model projects a 2-0 Koper win as the most likely scoreline at 14.0% probability. 3 of the top six outcomes feature Koper clean sheets, in line with their 42% clean-sheet rate this season.
Lines averaged across 3 bookmakers. Koper are the favourites on the spread, so the larger handicaps pay more if they win comfortably while the smaller lines protect the bet on a narrower result.
Best Betting Odds
Koper vs NSI Runavik| Bookmaker | 1X2 | O/U 2.5 | BTTS | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | X | 2 | Over | Under | Yes | No | |
| 1.41 | 4.65 | 6.00 | 1.50 | 2.45 | 1.67 | 2.00 | |
| 1.40 | 4.70 | 6.55 | 1.47 | 2.35 | 1.68 | 2.03 | |
| 1.40 | 4.75 | 5.00 | 1.50 | 2.40 | 1.73 | 2.05 | |
| 1.41 | 4.62 | 6.03 | 1.50 | 2.45 | — | — | |
| 1.37 | 4.17 | 5.70 | — | — | — | — | |
| 1.44 | 4.40 | 6.00 | — | — | 1.62 | 2.15 | |
| 1.42 | 4.33 | 6.00 | 1.53 | 2.38 | 1.67 | 2.10 | |
| 1.45 | 4.89 | 6.82 | 1.47 | 2.35 | 1.68 | 2.06 | |
| 1.43 | 4.50 | 6.40 | 1.53 | 2.28 | 1.71 | 1.98 | |
Betano | 1.44 | 4.65 | 5.80 | 1.53 | 2.42 | 1.70 | 2.05 |
Superbet | 1.43 | 4.75 | 6.00 | 1.49 | 2.45 | 1.67 | 2.07 |
BetVictor | 1.40 | 4.75 | 6.50 | 1.52 | 2.31 | 1.65 | 2.10 |
Goals Probability
Avg. bookmaker oddsDouble Chance
Bet covers two outcomesHead to Head
Last 1 Meetings (evenly matched 0-0)The head-to-head record between Koper and NSI Runavik stands at 0 wins for Koper, 1 draw, and 0 wins for NSI Runavik. Their only encounter ended in a 0-0 draw, indicating a tightly contested match with neither side able to find the net. This suggests that both teams struggled offensively, resulting in a low-scoring affair. With no victories for either side in this matchup, it highlights the competitive nature of their past meeting.
Key Statistics
2026 SeasonKoper have won 4 of their last 7 matches at home, drawing 1 and losing 2. Their recent home fixtures include drew with Radomlje 2-2 and lost to LNZ Cherkasy 1-2.
Overall, the wider run reads 8W 1D 3L from the last 12 games (67% win rate). The form line is positive, with more wins than defeats across the sample.
NSI Runavik have won 3 of their last 6 matches on the road, drawing 1 and losing 2. Their recent away fixtures include beat Hamrun Spartans 1-2 and drew with Vikingur Gota 3-3.
Overall, the wider run reads 7W 3D 3L from the last 13 games (54% win rate). The form line is positive, with more wins than defeats across the sample.
Lineups
ConfirmedKoper4-3-3Confirmed
NSI Runavik4-3-3Confirmed
Unavailable Players
0 playersKoper
No reported absences
NSI Runavik
No reported absences
Betting Strategy
High-probability picks are the most likely outcomes. Value selections are markets where our model's probability sits above the price implied by the odds. They will not always come in, but the odds are in your favour over time.
Yellow Card Prediction
M. Jollenbeck has been appointed as the referee for this fixture. We don't yet have enough recent fixtures officiated by M. Jollenbeck to give a confident card-market projection. Our default lean is under 3.5 yellow cards at 1.95.
Corner Prediction
Koper average 1.9 goals per match at home; NSI Runavik 1.9 on the road. Open, attack-leaning sides tend to produce more corners; tight, low-event games tend to produce fewer. Our pick is over 9.5 corners at 1.72.
Player Stats Bet
Koper have been the stronger side on attack across the season, winning 67% of their matches and averaging 1.9 goals per game. Koper player to score or assist at 1.55 looks well supported by the data.
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The Daily Punt Analysis Team
Data-driven football predictions and betting tips
This forecast was built by the The Daily Punt Analysis Team using our in-house statistical model. We feed the model two layers of data for every fixture: each team's recent expected goals (xG and xGA) and their actual goals scored and conceded, split by home and away venue. The numbers run through a Poisson distribution that produces a probability for every possible scoreline, which we then convert into fair odds for the 1X2, correct score, BTTS, and over/under markets.
Before publishing, we cross-check our fair odds against the prices the major bookmakers are offering. Where a bookmaker is paying out more than our model says is mathematically fair, we flag that market as a value bet on this page.
