Levadiakos vs Olympiakos Piraeus Prediction, Tips & Odds
Levadiakos vs Olympiakos Piraeus
Match Preview
The model favours Olympiakos Piraeus to win against Levadiakos, with a projected scoreline of 2-0. Olympiakos currently sits in second place in the Super League 1 standings, having played three matches this season. Their form has been strong, with two wins and a draw, resulting in a total of seven points. Key statistics highlight their defensive solidity, having conceded only one goal, while scoring three times, which underscores their balanced approach. On the other hand, Levadiakos is struggling at the bottom of the table in fourteenth position, without a point from their two matches played. Their goal difference of -6 reflects a challenging start to the season, having failed to score any goals while conceding six. The team has won only two of their last five matches, indicating a lack of consistent performance that could be a concern moving forward. The model indicates a high probability of an Olympiakos win, with a projected score of 2-0 in favour of the visitors. However, a possible caveat is that if Levadiakos can find their scoring touch, they could pose an unexpected challenge. The full method used for this prediction is detailed in the "How We Reached This Prediction" section, developed by The Daily Punt Analysis Team, which employs an in-house model assessing expected goals and actual results across the season.
Betting Predictions
How the model works, and its full prediction record, are set out on our How It Works and Accuracy pages.
Levadiakos have kept a clean sheet in 19% of matches. Olympiakos Piraeus average 1.2 goals per game.
Levadiakos manage games at home, conceding just 1.76 goals per match. Olympiakos Piraeus score 1.17 on the road.
The most likely scoreline per our model at 18.3% probability.
Olympiakos Piraeus have been the stronger side, winning 41% of their matches.
Our model projects a 0-1 Olympiakos Piraeus win as the most likely scoreline at 18.3% probability. These six outcomes together cover the bulk of the projected probability for this fixture.
Lines averaged across 3 bookmakers. Olympiakos Piraeus are the favourites on the spread, so the larger handicaps pay more if they win comfortably while the smaller lines protect the bet on a narrower result.
Best Betting Odds
Levadiakos vs Olympiakos Piraeus| Bookmaker | 1X2 | O/U 2.5 | BTTS | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | X | 2 | Over | Under | Yes | No | |
| 9.40 | 5.00 | 1.30 | 1.86 | 1.88 | 2.30 | 1.53 | |
| 10.50 | 5.00 | 1.29 | 1.87 | 1.90 | 2.38 | 1.57 | |
| 11.22 | 5.45 | 1.30 | 1.93 | 1.94 | — | — | |
| 8.10 | 4.39 | 1.30 | 1.88 | 1.96 | — | — | |
| 8.50 | 4.50 | 1.35 | — | — | 2.15 | 1.62 | |
| 9.00 | 5.00 | 1.33 | 1.90 | 1.90 | 2.25 | 1.57 | |
| 9.35 | 5.00 | 1.31 | 1.86 | 1.88 | 2.30 | 1.55 | |
Betano | 10.25 | 4.85 | 1.34 | 1.93 | 1.91 | 2.35 | 1.55 |
BetVictor | 10.50 | 4.80 | 1.30 | 1.83 | 1.84 | 2.30 | 1.53 |
Goals Probability
Avg. bookmaker oddsDouble Chance
Bet covers two outcomesHead to Head
Last 10 Meetings (Olympiakos Piraeus leads 7-1)In the last 10 matches between Levadiakos and Olympiakos Piraeus, Olympiakos has won 7 times, Levadiakos has won once, and there have been 2 draws. The scorelines indicate a lopsided rivalry, with Olympiakos often securing narrow victories, though they also recorded a significant 6-0 win in March 2023. Levadiakos' sole win came in a cup match in December 2021, while their last league victory over Olympiakos dates back to that same year. The frequent close contests highlight Levadiakos' ability to compete, yet Olympiakos has largely dominated this matchup historically.
Super League 1 Standings
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  AEK Athens FC | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 10 | 1 | 9 | 7 | WDW |
| 2 | Olympiakos Piraeus | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 7 | DWW |
| 3 |  PAOK | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 1 | 5 | 6 | WW |
| 4 |  Panetolikos | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 1 | 4 | 6 | WW |
| 5 |  Aris Thessalonikis | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 8 | -3 | 6 | LWW |
| 6 |  Panathinaikos | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 3 | W |
| 12 |  Kalamata | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 5 | -3 | 0 | LL |
| 13 |  Asteras Tripolis | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 4 | -3 | 0 | LL |
| 14 | Levadiakos | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 6 | -6 | 0 | LL |
Venue Record
Current season at home / on the roadKey Statistics
2026 SeasonLevadiakos have won 5 of their last 10 matches at home, drawing 2 and losing 3. Their recent home fixtures include lost to Panathinaikos 0-2 and beat Asteras Tripolis 2-0.
Overall, the wider run reads 7W 4D 10L from the last 21 games (33% win rate). The form line has been negative, with defeats outweighing wins across the sample.
Olympiakos Piraeus have won 7 of their last 16 matches on the road, drawing 5 and losing 4. Their recent away fixtures include drew with Olympiakos Piraeus 1-1 and beat Larisa 0-4.
Overall, the wider run reads 12W 10D 7L from the last 29 games (41% win rate). The form line is positive, with more wins than defeats across the sample.
Lineups
Lineups not yet announced
Starting lineups are usually confirmed approximately 1 hour before kick-off.
Unavailable Players
0 playersLevadiakos
No reported absences
Olympiakos Piraeus
No reported absences
Betting Strategy
High-probability picks are the most likely outcomes. Value selections are markets where our model's probability sits above the price implied by the odds. They will not always come in, but the odds are in your favour over time.
Yellow Card Prediction
Stavros Tsimenteridis has been appointed as the referee for this fixture. We don't yet have enough recent fixtures officiated by Stavros Tsimenteridis to give a confident card-market projection. Our default lean is under 3.5 yellow cards at 1.95.
Corner Prediction
Levadiakos have averaged 2.7 corners per match at home; Olympiakos Piraeus 6.3 on the road. Combined that projects roughly 5.5 corners in this fixture. Our pick is under 9.5 corners at 1.80.
Player Stats Bet
Olympiakos Piraeus have generated 1.87 xG per game across their recent matches, winning 41% of them. They put 5.5 shots on target per match, giving their attackers the volume needed to land a goal-involvement bet. Olympiakos Piraeus player to score at 1.85 looks well supported by the data.
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The Daily Punt Analysis Team
Data-driven football predictions and betting tips
This forecast was built by the The Daily Punt Analysis Team using our in-house statistical model. We feed the model two layers of data for every fixture: each team's recent expected goals (xG and xGA) and their actual goals scored and conceded, split by home and away venue. The numbers run through a Poisson distribution that produces a probability for every possible scoreline, which we then convert into fair odds for the 1X2, correct score, BTTS, and over/under markets.
Before publishing, we cross-check our fair odds against the prices the major bookmakers are offering. Where a bookmaker is paying out more than our model says is mathematically fair, we flag that market as a value bet on this page.