OFI vs Asteras Tripolis Prediction, Tips & Odds
OFI vs Asteras Tripolis
Match Preview
The model favours OFI to win against Asteras Tripolis, projecting a scoreline of 2-0. OFI currently sits in 7th place in the Super League 1 standings, having earned 3 points from their first two matches of the season. Their recent form has been promising, with three wins in their last five matches, highlighting their ability to find the back of the net, having scored 3 goals so far while conceding just 2. In contrast, Asteras Tripolis is struggling at 13th place, with no points from their opening two games. Their season has been marked by difficulties, as they have failed to secure a win and have only managed to score 1 goal while conceding 4. Their recent form, which includes three losses and two draws in the last five matches, suggests they are facing challenges both in attack and defense. According to the model, OFI has a win probability of approximately 65%, with the projected score of 2-0. A key market percentage to note is that the odds reflect a strong belief in OFI's capability to secure a victory. However, a caveat is that if Asteras Tripolis can improve their defensive performance and find a way to capitalize on scoring opportunities, they could challenge OFI more than expected. The full method used by The Daily Punt Analysis Team is detailed in the "How We Reached This Prediction" section, utilizing an in-house model that assesses expected goals and actual results throughout the season.
Betting Predictions
How the model works, and its full prediction record, are set out on our How It Works and Accuracy pages.
Both attacks have been productive in recent matches, with regular goal-scoring on either side.
OFI manage games at home, conceding just 1.52 goals per match. Asteras Tripolis score 0.85 on the road.
The most likely scoreline per our model at 17.1% probability.
OFI have been the stronger side, winning 41% of their matches.
Our model projects a 1-1 draw as the most likely scoreline at 17.1% probability. 3 of the top six outcomes feature OFI clean sheets, in line with their 30% clean-sheet rate this season.
Lines averaged across 5 bookmakers. OFI are the favourites on the spread, so the larger handicaps pay more if they win comfortably while the smaller lines protect the bet on a narrower result.
Best Betting Odds
OFI vs Asteras Tripolis| Bookmaker | 1X2 | O/U 2.5 | BTTS | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | X | 2 | Over | Under | Yes | No | |
| 2.19 | 3.10 | 3.38 | 2.27 | 1.59 | 1.94 | 1.75 | |
| 2.15 | 3.25 | 3.30 | 2.30 | 1.60 | 2.00 | 1.80 | |
| 2.25 | 3.17 | 3.57 | 2.37 | 1.62 | — | — | |
| 2.20 | 2.92 | 3.02 | — | — | — | — | |
| 2.20 | 2.90 | 3.30 | — | — | 1.85 | 1.83 | |
| 2.20 | 3.20 | 3.50 | 2.25 | 1.62 | 1.95 | 1.80 | |
| 2.21 | 3.10 | 3.39 | 2.27 | 1.59 | 1.94 | 1.77 | |
Betano | 2.25 | 3.15 | 3.50 | 2.35 | 1.62 | 1.95 | 1.80 |
BetVictor | 2.20 | 3.13 | 3.40 | 2.17 | 1.59 | 1.93 | 1.78 |
Goals Probability
Avg. bookmaker oddsDouble Chance
Bet covers two outcomesHead to Head
Last 10 Meetings (evenly matched 4-4)The head-to-head record between OFI and Asteras Tripolis stands at 4 wins for each side, with 2 draws in their last 10 encounters. This indicates a balanced rivalry, with no team dominating the other. However, the scorelines suggest some variation in match outcomes, with OFI achieving two heavy wins of 4-0 and 2-0, while Asteras Tripolis also secured a notable 3-0 victory. The matches have featured a mix of narrow victories and draws, revealing competitive contests. The last win for Asteras Tripolis came in April 2025, indicating that both teams have enjoyed periods of success against each other.
Super League 1 Standings
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  AEK Athens FC | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 10 | 1 | 9 | 7 | WDW |
| 2 |  Olympiakos Piraeus | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 7 | DWW |
| 3 |  PAOK | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 1 | 5 | 6 | WW |
| 4 |  Panetolikos | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 1 | 4 | 6 | WW |
| 5 |  Aris Thessalonikis | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 8 | -3 | 6 | LWW |
| 6 |  Panathinaikos | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 3 | W |
| 7 | OFI | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 3 | LW |
| 12 |  Kalamata | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 5 | -3 | 0 | LL |
| 13 | Asteras Tripolis | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 4 | -3 | 0 | LL |
| 14 |  Levadiakos | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 6 | -6 | 0 | LL |
Venue Record
Current season at home / on the roadKey Statistics
2026 SeasonOFI have won 6 of their last 10 matches at home, drawing 1 and losing 3. Their recent home fixtures include beat OFI 2-0 and beat OFI 3-1.
Overall, the wider run reads 11W 6D 10L from the last 27 games (41% win rate). The form line is positive, with more wins than defeats across the sample.
Asteras Tripolis have won 1 of their last 15 matches on the road, drawing 6 and losing 8. Their recent away fixtures include lost to Panetolikos 3-1 and lost to Levadiakos 2-0.
Overall, the wider run reads 6W 7D 14L from the last 27 games (22% win rate). The form line has been negative, with defeats outweighing wins across the sample.
Lineups
Lineups not yet announced
Starting lineups are usually confirmed approximately 1 hour before kick-off.
Unavailable Players
0 playersOFI
No reported absences
Asteras Tripolis
No reported absences
Betting Strategy
High-probability picks are the most likely outcomes. Value selections are markets where our model's probability sits above the price implied by the odds. They will not always come in, but the odds are in your favour over time.
Yellow Card Prediction
Alexandros Tsakalidis has been appointed as the referee for this fixture. We don't yet have enough recent fixtures officiated by Alexandros Tsakalidis to give a confident card-market projection. Our default lean is under 3.5 yellow cards at 1.95.
Corner Prediction
OFI have averaged 1.4 corners per match at home; Asteras Tripolis 5.5 on the road. Combined that projects roughly 4.5 corners in this fixture. Our pick is under 9.5 corners at 1.80.
Player Stats Bet
OFI have generated 0.88 xG per game across their recent matches, winning 41% of them. They put 3.1 shots on target per match, giving their attackers the volume needed to land a goal-involvement bet. OFI player to score at 1.85 looks well supported by the data.
What's Your Prediction?
Pick the result you expect
Do you agree with this prediction?
The Daily Punt Analysis Team
Data-driven football predictions and betting tips
This forecast was built by the The Daily Punt Analysis Team using our in-house statistical model. We feed the model two layers of data for every fixture: each team's recent expected goals (xG and xGA) and their actual goals scored and conceded, split by home and away venue. The numbers run through a Poisson distribution that produces a probability for every possible scoreline, which we then convert into fair odds for the 1X2, correct score, BTTS, and over/under markets.
Before publishing, we cross-check our fair odds against the prices the major bookmakers are offering. Where a bookmaker is paying out more than our model says is mathematically fair, we flag that market as a value bet on this page.