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Volos NFC vs AEK Athens FC Prediction, Tips & Odds

Volos NFC vs AEK Athens FC

Super League 1Regular Season - 5
Volos NFC
#8 · Super League 1
DDDLW
VS
Panthessaliko Stadium, Volos
Referee: Fotios Polychronis
AEK Athens FC
#1 · Super League 1
WWDWW
★ OUR PICK
Over 2.5 Goals
Both sides average plenty of goals and trend toward open games — the over is the value pick here.
Totals
1.73
BEST ODDS
Our pick: Bookmakers offer average 1.59 (implied 62.8%) for Over 2.5 Goals. Our experts calculate a 65.3% probability (an expert ratio of 1.53). We chose this bet because our experts rate it more likely than the bookmaker price implies (65.3% vs 62.8%), driven by both sides' high goal output and tendency toward open games. That edge makes it our most confident selection for this match.

Match Preview

The model favours AEK Athens FC to win this match, projecting a scoreline of 2-0 against Volos NFC. AEK Athens currently sits at the top of the Super League 1 standings with 7 points from their first three matches, boasting an impressive goal difference of +9, having scored 10 goals while conceding only 1. Their form shows a strong momentum, with four wins and a draw in their last five matches, indicating a solid attack and resilient defense. In contrast, Volos NFC finds themselves in 8th position with just 2 points from their three outings, yet to secure a win this season. They have scored only 2 goals and conceded 4, highlighting their struggles in both attacking and defensive phases. Their recent form of one win, three draws, and one loss suggests they are fighting for consistency but have not yet found their rhythm. The model assesses AEK Athens FC with a high win probability, reflecting their dominant start to the season. However, it is important to note that if Volos NFC can tighten their defense and find a way to convert their chances, they could pose a challenge. For a deeper understanding of this prediction, please refer to the "How We Reached This Prediction" section, where The Daily Punt Analysis Team outlines their in-house model, which evaluates expected goals and actual results throughout the season.

Betting Predictions

How the model works, and its full prediction record, are set out on our How It Works and Accuracy pages.

Match Result
Volos NFC Win19%9.16
Draw17%5.24
AEK Athens FC Win64%1.29
BTTS
Both Teams to Score: No
1.8051.3%

Volos NFC have kept a clean sheet in 4% of matches. AEK Athens FC average 2.1 goals per game.

Over/Under Goals
Over 2.5 Goals
1.5957.2%

Combined goal output is high (3.0 per game). The over has been the right side more often than not.

Correct Score
Volos NFC 0-2 AEK Athens FC
6.5215.4%

The most likely scoreline per our model at 15.4% probability.

Asian Handicap
AEK Athens FC -0.0
1.0758%

AEK Athens FC have been the stronger side, winning 59% of their matches.

CORRECT SCOREMost likely outcomes
0-2
6.52
15.4%
0-1
7.34
13.6%
0-3
8.02
12.5%
1-2
8.27
12.1%
1-1
9.88
10.1%
1-3
10.48
9.6%

Our model projects a 0-2 AEK Athens FC win as the most likely scoreline at 15.4% probability. These six outcomes together cover the bulk of the projected probability for this fixture.

ASIAN HANDICAPLines & prices
Volos NFC
-0.0
6.72
AEK Athens FC
+0.0
1.07

Lines averaged across 3 bookmakers. AEK Athens FC are the favourites on the spread, so the larger handicaps pay more if they win comfortably while the smaller lines protect the bet on a narrower result.

Best Betting Odds

Volos NFC vs AEK Athens FC
Bookmaker1X2O/U 2.5BTTS
1X2OverUnderYesNo
Marathonbet
9.205.301.281.562.331.921.77
Betfair
9.505.001.291.572.382.001.80
Pinnacle
9.495.621.311.592.42
SBO
7.915.031.261.732.12
William Hill
8.505.001.301.851.85
Bet365
10.005.251.301.572.351.951.80
1xBet
9.105.301.301.562.331.921.79
Betano
9.255.401.321.622.371.981.78
BetVictor
9.505.251.291.542.261.911.78

Goals Probability

Avg. bookmaker odds
Over 0.5 Goals
93%
Over 1.5 Goals
80.3%
Over 2.5 Goals
57.2%
Over 3.5 Goals
38.8%

Double Chance

Bet covers two outcomes
1XVolos NFC or Draw
36%3.35
12Volos NFC or AEK Athens FC
83%1.13
X2Draw or AEK Athens FC
81%1.05

Head to Head

Last 10 Meetings (AEK Athens FC leads 9-0)
0 Volos NFC1 Draw9 AEK Athens FC
01 Mar
Volos NFC
2-2
AEK Athens FC
Super League 1
Sept 25
AEK Athens FC
1-0
Volos NFC
Super League 1
Jan 25
Volos NFC
2-4
AEK Athens FC
Super League 1
Sept 24
AEK Athens FC
2-0
Volos NFC
Super League 1
Jan 24
AEK Athens FC
3-0
Volos NFC
Super League 1
Sept 23
Volos NFC
2-3
AEK Athens FC
Super League 1
Jul 23
Volos NFC
0-3
AEK Athens FC
Friendlies Clubs
May 23
AEK Athens FC
4-0
Volos NFC
Super League 1
Apr 23
Volos NFC
0-1
AEK Athens FC
Super League 1
Dec 22
Volos NFC
0-4
AEK Athens FC
Super League 1

In the last 10 matches between Volos NFC and AEK Athens FC, AEK Athens has won 9 times, with 1 match ending in a draw. This record highlights a significant dominance by AEK Athens, particularly reflected in several heavy victories, including a 4-0 win and multiple 3-0 results. The only draw occurred in March 2026, where both teams finished at 2-2, suggesting that when Volos NFC has managed to score, they have found it challenging to secure a win. Volos has not won against AEK in this span, indicating a long-standing struggle to overcome their opponents.

Super League 1 Standings

#TeamPWDLGFGAGDPtsForm
1
AEK Athens FC
321010197
WDW
2
Olympiakos Piraeus
32103127
DWW
3
PAOK
22006156
WW
4
Panetolikos
22005146
WW
5
Aris Thessalonikis
320158-36
LWW
6
Panathinaikos
11002023
W
8
Volos NFC
302124-22
DDL
12
Kalamata
200225-30
LL
13
Asteras Tripolis
200214-30
LL
14
Levadiakos
200206-60
LL

Venue Record

Current season at home / on the road
Volos NFCHome
0W2D0L
2 playedGF 2 · GA 21.00 pts/game
AEK Athens FCAway
0W1D0L
1 playedGF 1 · GA 11.00 pts/game

Key Statistics

2026 Season
Volos NFCAEK Athens FC
0.96Goals p.g.2.09
1.89Goals conceded p.g.0.74
4%Clean sheets50%
11%Win rate59%
2.85Avg goals in match2.82
1.03xG per game1.53
-0.14xGA per game-0.22
49%Possession %54%
3.0Shots on target / game5.4
3.8Corners per game5.0
Volos NFC
Recent Form

Volos NFC have won 1 of their last 14 matches at home, drawing 7 and losing 6. Their recent home fixtures include drew with Olympiakos Piraeus 1-1 and drew with Kalamata 2-2.

Overall, the wider run reads 3W 8D 16L from the last 27 games (11% win rate). The form line has been negative, with defeats outweighing wins across the sample.

Match Results: Volos NFCAll competitions
05 Sept
Volos NFC
1-1
Olympiakos Piraeus
Super League 1
01 Sept
Volos NFC
2-2
Kalamata
Cup
29 Aug
Volos NFC
1-1
Iraklis 1908
Super League 1
23 Aug
OFI
2-0
Volos NFC
Super League 1
17 Aug
Iraklis 1908
1-3
Volos NFC
Cup
10 Aug
Volos NFC
0-2
Kalamata
Friendlies Clubs
3
Win
11%
8
Draw
30%
16
Lost
59%
AEK Athens FC
Recent Form

AEK Athens FC have won 8 of their last 16 matches on the road, drawing 7 and losing 1. Their recent away fixtures include beat Nestos Chrisoupolis 0-2 and drew with Kifisia 1-1.

Overall, the wider run reads 20W 10D 4L from the last 34 games (59% win rate). The form line is positive, with more wins than defeats across the sample.

Match Results: AEK Athens FCAll competitions
05 Sept
AEK Athens FC
5-0
Aris Thessalonikis
Super League 1
02 Sept
Nestos Chrisoupolis
0-2
AEK Athens FC
Cup
30 Aug
Kifisia
1-1
AEK Athens FC
Super League 1
26 Aug
AEK Athens FC
4-0
Levski Sofia
UEFA Champions League
22 Aug
AEK Athens FC
4-0
Iraklis 1908
Super League 1
12 Aug
AEK Athens FC
2-2
OFI
Super Cup
20
Win
59%
10
Draw
29%
4
Lost
12%

Lineups

📋

Lineups not yet announced

Starting lineups are usually confirmed approximately 1 hour before kick-off.

Unavailable Players

0 players

Volos NFC

No reported absences

AEK Athens FC

No reported absences

Betting Strategy

High-probability picks are the most likely outcomes. Value selections are markets where our model's probability sits above the price implied by the odds. They will not always come in, but the odds are in your favour over time.

High Probability
AEK Athens FC Win1.29 (64%)
Over 2.5 Goals1.59 (57.2%)
Value Bets
Under 2.5 Goals2.32 (42.8%)
Both Teams Score1.93 (48.7%)
BTTS No1.80 (51.3%)
Speculative
Volos NFC Win9.16 (19.2%)
Draw5.24 (16.8%)

Yellow Card Prediction

Fotios Polychronis has been appointed as the referee for this fixture. We don't yet have enough recent fixtures officiated by Fotios Polychronis to give a confident card-market projection. Our default lean is under 3.5 yellow cards at 1.95.

Corner Prediction

Volos NFC have averaged 3.8 corners per match at home; AEK Athens FC 5.0 on the road. Combined that projects roughly 5.4 corners in this fixture. Our pick is under 9.5 corners at 1.80.

Player Stats Bet

AEK Athens FC have generated 1.53 xG per game across their recent matches, winning 59% of them. They put 5.4 shots on target per match, giving their attackers the volume needed to land a goal-involvement bet. AEK Athens FC player to score or assist at 1.55 looks well supported by the data.

What's Your Prediction?

Pick the result you expect

OUR PREDICTION
2.5 Goals Over

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The Daily Punt Analysis Team

Data-driven football predictions and betting tips

This forecast was built by the The Daily Punt Analysis Team using our in-house statistical model. We feed the model two layers of data for every fixture: each team's recent expected goals (xG and xGA) and their actual goals scored and conceded, split by home and away venue. The numbers run through a Poisson distribution that produces a probability for every possible scoreline, which we then convert into fair odds for the 1X2, correct score, BTTS, and over/under markets.

Before publishing, we cross-check our fair odds against the prices the major bookmakers are offering. Where a bookmaker is paying out more than our model says is mathematically fair, we flag that market as a value bet on this page.