Levski Sofia vs Universitatea Craiova Prediction, Tips & Odds
Levski Sofia vs Universitatea Craiova
Match Preview
The model favours Levski Sofia to win this match against Universitatea Craiova, projecting a scoreline of 2-1. Levski Sofia has demonstrated solid form with three wins and two draws in their last five matches, showcasing their ability to secure points consistently. This unbeaten streak reflects a resilient side capable of competing at a higher level, particularly at home. On the other hand, Universitatea Craiova also arrives with an identical unbeaten record in their last five matches, with three wins and two draws. Their performance indicates a strong attacking unit and a solid defence, making them a formidable opponent. However, the pressure of playing away could be a challenge, especially in a high-stakes competition like the UEFA Champions League. The model suggests a win probability of 55% for Levski Sofia, with a projected score of 2-1. One caveat to consider is the potential for an unpredictable performance from Universitatea Craiova, which could disrupt Levski's plans. For a detailed explanation of how we reached this prediction, please refer to the "How We Reached This Prediction" section. This analysis is brought to you by The Daily Punt Analysis Team, which utilises an in-house model that evaluates expected goals and actual results throughout the season.
Betting Predictions
How the model works, and its full prediction record, are set out on our How It Works and Accuracy pages.
Levski Sofia have kept a clean sheet in 57% of matches. Universitatea Craiova average 1.5 goals per game.
Levski Sofia manage games at home, conceding just 0.43 goals per match. Universitatea Craiova score 1.54 on the road.
The most likely scoreline per our model at 17.7% probability.
Levski Sofia have been the stronger side, winning 57% of their matches.
Our model projects a 1-1 draw as the most likely scoreline at 17.7% probability. 3 of the top six outcomes feature Levski Sofia clean sheets, in line with their 57% clean-sheet rate this season.
Lines averaged across 6 bookmakers. Levski Sofia are the favourites on the spread, so the larger handicaps pay more if they win comfortably while the smaller lines protect the bet on a narrower result.
Best Betting Odds
Levski Sofia vs Universitatea Craiova| Bookmaker | 1X2 | O/U 2.5 | BTTS | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | X | 2 | Over | Under | Yes | No | |
| 1.97 | 3.35 | 3.80 | 2.10 | 1.70 | 1.85 | 1.83 | |
| 1.91 | 3.32 | 4.05 | 2.10 | 1.71 | 1.88 | 1.80 | |
| 1.95 | 3.10 | 3.70 | 2.10 | 1.65 | 1.87 | 1.87 | |
| 1.93 | 3.21 | 3.62 | 2.06 | 1.68 | — | — | |
| 1.96 | 2.96 | 3.32 | 2.13 | 1.66 | — | — | |
| 1.91 | 3.10 | 3.80 | — | — | 1.91 | 1.80 | |
| 1.90 | 3.20 | 3.80 | 2.20 | 1.65 | 2.00 | 1.73 | |
| 1.92 | 3.34 | 4.08 | 2.08 | 1.72 | 1.87 | 1.83 | |
| 1.98 | 3.25 | 3.70 | 2.07 | 1.64 | 1.85 | 1.82 | |
Betano | 2.05 | 3.35 | 3.85 | 2.18 | 1.72 | 1.88 | 1.85 |
Superbet | 2.15 | 3.15 | 3.50 | 2.15 | 1.66 | 1.88 | 1.83 |
BetVictor | 2.00 | 3.30 | 3.90 | 2.05 | 1.66 | 1.90 | 1.80 |
Goals Probability
Avg. bookmaker oddsDouble Chance
Bet covers two outcomesHead to Head
Last 1 Meetings (Levski Sofia leads 1-0)In their only head-to-head encounter, Levski Sofia has a record of 1 win and Universitatea Craiova has none, with no draws recorded. The match ended with a narrow scoreline of 1-0 in favor of Levski Sofia, indicating a tightly contested game. Since this was their only meeting, it shows that Universitatea Craiova has not yet managed to secure a victory against Levski Sofia. The low score suggests a defensively solid performance from both sides, but particularly highlights Levski Sofia's ability to edge out a win in this matchup.
Key Statistics
2026 SeasonLevski Sofia have won 7 of their last 9 matches at home, drawing 1 and losing 1. Their recent home fixtures include beat Borac Banja Luka 4-0 and beat Radnik Surdulica 5-0.
Overall, the wider run reads 8W 5D 1L from the last 14 games (57% win rate). The form line is positive, with more wins than defeats across the sample.
Universitatea Craiova have won 2 of their last 6 matches on the road, drawing 4 and losing 0. Their recent away fixtures include beat ML Vitebsk 1-4 and drew with Rapid 0-0.
Overall, the wider run reads 7W 6D 0L from the last 13 games (54% win rate). The form line is positive, with more wins than defeats across the sample.
Lineups
ConfirmedLevski Sofia4-4-2Confirmed
Universitatea Craiova3-4-3Confirmed
Unavailable Players
0 playersLevski Sofia
No reported absences
Universitatea Craiova
No reported absences
Betting Strategy
High-probability picks are the most likely outcomes. Value selections are markets where our model's probability sits above the price implied by the odds. They will not always come in, but the odds are in your favour over time.
Yellow Card Prediction
A. Ladeback has been appointed as the referee for this fixture. We don't yet have enough recent fixtures officiated by A. Ladeback to give a confident card-market projection. Our default lean is under 3.5 yellow cards at 1.95.
Corner Prediction
Levski Sofia average 2.1 goals per match at home; Universitatea Craiova 1.5 on the road. Open, attack-leaning sides tend to produce more corners; tight, low-event games tend to produce fewer. Our pick is over 9.5 corners at 1.72.
Player Stats Bet
Levski Sofia have been the stronger side on attack across the season, winning 57% of their matches and averaging 2.1 goals per game. Levski Sofia player to score or assist at 1.55 looks well supported by the data.
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The Daily Punt Analysis Team
Data-driven football predictions and betting tips
This forecast was built by the The Daily Punt Analysis Team using our in-house statistical model. We feed the model two layers of data for every fixture: each team's recent expected goals (xG and xGA) and their actual goals scored and conceded, split by home and away venue. The numbers run through a Poisson distribution that produces a probability for every possible scoreline, which we then convert into fair odds for the 1X2, correct score, BTTS, and over/under markets.
Before publishing, we cross-check our fair odds against the prices the major bookmakers are offering. Where a bookmaker is paying out more than our model says is mathematically fair, we flag that market as a value bet on this page.
