Mirassol vs Remo Prediction, Tips & Odds
Mirassol vs Remo
Match Preview
The model favours Remo to win this match against Mirassol, projecting a scoreline of 2-1. Remo currently sits just above Mirassol in the standings at 18th place, having played one more match. Their season has seen a mixed bag of results, but they have recently shown improved form, with three wins and a draw in their last five matches. Key stats include their goal-scoring ability, with 21 goals scored this season, which provides a slight edge over Mirassol's 18. On the other hand, Mirassol finds itself in a precarious position at 19th in the league, struggling with only four wins from 17 matches. Their form has been inconsistent, reflected in their last five fixtures where they managed just two wins and are coming off a loss. Defensively, they have conceded 24 goals, which highlights their struggles in both attack and defence compared to Remo. The model indicates a win probability of approximately 45% for Remo, suggesting they are more likely to secure the three points in this matchup. However, a potential caveat is that if Mirassol can capitalize on any defensive lapses from Remo, they could snatch a point or even a win. For a detailed explanation of how we reached this prediction, please refer to the "How We Reached This Prediction" section. This analysis is brought to you by The Daily Punt Analysis Team, which utilizes an in-house model that evaluates fixtures through expected goals and actual results across the season.
Betting Predictions
How the model works, and its full prediction record, are set out on our How It Works and Accuracy pages.
Both attacks have been productive in recent matches, with regular goal-scoring on either side.
Mirassol manage games at home, conceding just 1.12 goals per match. Remo score 1.22 on the road.
The most likely scoreline per our model at 15.8% probability.
Mirassol have been the stronger side, winning 35% of their matches.
Our model projects a 1-0 Mirassol win as the most likely scoreline at 15.8% probability. 4 of the top six outcomes feature Mirassol clean sheets, in line with their 18% clean-sheet rate this season.
Lines averaged across 4 bookmakers. Mirassol are the favourites on the spread, so the larger handicaps pay more if they win comfortably while the smaller lines protect the bet on a narrower result.
Best Betting Odds
Mirassol vs Remo| Bookmaker | 1X2 | O/U 2.5 | BTTS | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | X | 2 | Over | Under | Yes | No | |
| 1.69 | 3.65 | 4.85 | 1.85 | 1.90 | 1.80 | 1.91 | |
| 1.66 | 3.70 | 5.00 | 1.87 | 1.90 | 1.81 | 1.87 | |
| 1.67 | 3.75 | 5.00 | 1.85 | 1.85 | 1.80 | 1.91 | |
| 1.69 | 3.83 | 5.43 | 1.92 | 1.97 | — | — | |
| 1.69 | 3.42 | 4.50 | 2.02 | 1.84 | — | — | |
| 1.67 | 3.50 | 4.80 | — | — | 1.75 | 1.95 | |
| 1.67 | 3.80 | 5.25 | 1.85 | 1.95 | 1.91 | 1.91 | |
| 1.71 | 3.81 | 5.14 | 1.90 | 1.94 | 1.81 | 1.90 | |
| 1.65 | 3.75 | 5.20 | 2.00 | 1.78 | 1.93 | 1.78 | |
Betano | 1.75 | 3.85 | 5.20 | 1.90 | 1.95 | 1.80 | 1.93 |
Superbet | 1.69 | 3.80 | 5.00 | 1.90 | 1.92 | 1.85 | 1.88 |
BetVictor | 1.65 | 3.90 | 5.00 | 1.81 | 1.86 | 1.80 | 1.90 |
Goals Probability
Avg. bookmaker oddsDouble Chance
Bet covers two outcomesHead to Head
Last 2 Meetings (Remo leads 1-0)In the last two encounters between Mirassol and Remo, the record stands at one win for Remo and one draw, with Mirassol yet to secure a victory. The matches have shown a mix of scoring, with a 2-2 draw indicating a competitive contest, while Remo's 3-1 win suggests a more decisive outcome. This indicates that while the teams have had close matchups, Remo has managed to come out on top in their most recent meeting. Mirassol has not won against Remo in these two fixtures, highlighting a slight edge for Remo historically.
Serie A Standings
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Palmeiras | 21 | 14 | 5 | 2 | 38 | 16 | 22 | 47 | WLWWW |
| 2 |  Flamengo | 20 | 11 | 6 | 3 | 37 | 18 | 19 | 39 | DDWWL |
| 3 |  Atletico Paranaense | 21 | 11 | 4 | 6 | 28 | 19 | 9 | 37 | DWWWW |
| 4 |  Fluminense | 21 | 9 | 7 | 5 | 30 | 25 | 5 | 34 | DDDDL |
| 5 |  Bahia | 21 | 8 | 8 | 5 | 29 | 25 | 4 | 32 | DDDWW |
| 6 |  RB Bragantino | 20 | 9 | 4 | 7 | 26 | 20 | 6 | 31 | DDWWW |
| 15 | Mirassol | 20 | 6 | 5 | 9 | 23 | 27 | -4 | 23 | WDWLW |
| 19 | Remo | 21 | 5 | 6 | 10 | 24 | 34 | -10 | 21 | LWLWL |
| 20 |  Chapecoense-sc | 20 | 1 | 7 | 12 | 19 | 41 | -22 | 10 | DLLLL |
| 20 |  Chapecoense B | 20 | 1 | 7 | 12 | 19 | 41 | -22 | 10 |
Venue Record
Current season at home / on the roadKey Statistics
2026 SeasonMirassol have won 9 of their last 19 matches at home, drawing 6 and losing 4. Their recent home fixtures include drew with Gremio 1-1 and beat Remo 2-1.
Overall, the wider run reads 12W 9D 13L from the last 34 games (35% win rate). The form line has been negative, with defeats outweighing wins across the sample.
Remo have won 4 of their last 19 matches on the road, drawing 7 and losing 8. Their recent away fixtures include drew with Santos 0-0 and lost to Mirassol 2-1.
Overall, the wider run reads 10W 13D 13L from the last 36 games (28% win rate). The form line has been negative, with defeats outweighing wins across the sample.
Lineups
ConfirmedMirassol4-3-3Confirmed
Remo4-2-3-1Confirmed
Unavailable Players
9 playersMirassol5
Remo4
Betting Strategy
High-probability picks are the most likely outcomes. Value selections are markets where our model's probability sits above the price implied by the odds. They will not always come in, but the odds are in your favour over time.
Yellow Card Prediction
The referee for this fixture has not been confirmed, so we are sitting this card market out.
Corner Prediction
Mirassol have averaged 4.1 corners per match at home; Remo 4.6 on the road. Combined that projects roughly 5.3 corners in this fixture. Our pick is under 9.5 corners at 1.80.
Player Stats Bet
Mirassol have generated 1.01 xG per game across their recent matches, winning 35% of them. They put 4.1 shots on target per match, giving their attackers the volume needed to land a goal-involvement bet. Mirassol player to score at 1.85 looks well supported by the data.
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The Daily Punt Analysis Team
Data-driven football predictions and betting tips
This forecast was built by the The Daily Punt Analysis Team using our in-house statistical model. We feed the model two layers of data for every fixture: each team's recent expected goals (xG and xGA) and their actual goals scored and conceded, split by home and away venue. The numbers run through a Poisson distribution that produces a probability for every possible scoreline, which we then convert into fair odds for the 1X2, correct score, BTTS, and over/under markets.
Before publishing, we cross-check our fair odds against the prices the major bookmakers are offering. Where a bookmaker is paying out more than our model says is mathematically fair, we flag that market as a value bet on this page.
