Today's top picks and bookie offers, free on TelegramToday's top picks, free on TelegramJoin

Nasarawa United vs Enyimba Prediction, Tips & Odds

Nasarawa United vs Enyimba

NPFLRegular Season - 10
Nasarawa United
#6 ยท NPFL
WWDWL
VS
Lafia Township Stadium, Lafia
Enyimba
#18 ยท NPFL
DLWWD

Match Preview

The model favours Nasarawa United to win this match against Enyimba, projecting a scoreline of 2-1. Nasarawa United sits in 11th place in the league, having played eight matches with a record of three wins, two draws, and three losses. They have scored eight goals and conceded eight, resulting in a goal difference of zero. Recent form shows they have secured two wins, two draws, and only one loss in their last five matches, indicating a slight upward trend. In contrast, Enyimba is currently languishing in 19th place, with only two wins from their eight matches, alongside one draw and five losses. They have a total of 11 goals scored but have conceded 14, leading to a negative goal difference of three. Their last five matches have brought two wins, one draw, and two losses, suggesting inconsistency as they struggle to find their footing in the league. The model output indicates a win probability of 55% for Nasarawa United, with a projected score of 2-1. However, a potential caveat is that if Enyimba can improve their defensive stability, they may pose a significant challenge. The full methodology behind this prediction is detailed in the "How We Reached This Prediction" section, developed by The Daily Punt Analysis Team using an in-house model that evaluates expected goals and actual results throughout the season.

Head to Head

Last 10 Meetings (Enyimba leads 4-2)
2 Nasarawa United4 Draw4 Enyimba
28 Jan
Nasarawa United
1-1
Enyimba
NPFL
Sept 25
Enyimba
0-0
Nasarawa United
NPFL
May 25
Nasarawa United
3-2
Enyimba
NPFL
Jan 25
Enyimba
2-1
Nasarawa United
NPFL
Mar 23
Enyimba
1-1
Nasarawa United
NPFL
Jan 23
Nasarawa United
1-2
Enyimba
NPFL
May 22
Enyimba
3-2
Nasarawa United
NPFL
Feb 22
Nasarawa United
2-1
Enyimba
NPFL
Jun 21
Enyimba
0-0
Nasarawa United
NPFL
Feb 21
Nasarawa United
1-2
Enyimba
NPFL

In their last 10 matches, Nasarawa United has won 2, drawn 4, and lost 4 to Enyimba. The scorelines indicate a competitive rivalry, with a notable number of draws and closely contested games. Four of the matches ended in draws, including two recent encounters, suggesting a tendency for tight fixtures. The victories have been shared, with Enyimba securing four wins, two of which were by a single goal margin, while Nasarawa United's wins were also narrow. The last time Nasarawa United defeated Enyimba was in February 2022, indicating that Enyimba has had the upper hand more recently in this matchup.

NPFL Standings

#TeamPWDLGFGAGDPtsForm
1
Rivers United
94501321117
DDWDD
2
Enugu Rangers
8521149517
DWWLW
3
Sporting Lagos
94321311215
WWDDD
4
Plateau United
94231511414
LWLWD
5
Barau FC
9351129314
DDLDW
6
Nasarawa United
9423108214
WWDWL
18
Enyimba
92251114-38
DLWWD
19
Ranchers Bees
92251013-38
LDLDL
20
Inter Lagos
9126518-132
LLDLD

Venue Record

Current season at home / on the road
Nasarawa UnitedHome
3W1D0L
4 playedGF 5 ยท GA 12.50 pts/game
EnyimbaAway
0W1D3L
4 playedGF 3 ยท GA 80.25 pts/game

Key Statistics

2027 Season
Nasarawa UnitedEnyimba
1.13Goals p.g.1.1
1.06Goals conceded p.g.1.27
29%Clean sheets30%
39%Win rate30%
2.19Avg goals in match2.37
Nasarawa United
Recent Form

Nasarawa United have won 10 of their last 16 matches at home, drawing 4 and losing 2. Their recent home fixtures include beat Nasarawa United 2-0 and beat Nasarawa United 1-0.

Overall, the wider run reads 12W 7D 12L from the last 31 games (39% win rate). The form line is positive, with more wins than defeats across the sample.

Match Results: Nasarawa UnitedAll competitions
18 Oct
Inter Lagos
0-2
Nasarawa United
NPFL
11 Oct
Nasarawa United
2-0
Doma United
NPFL
04 Oct
Shooting Stars
0-0
Nasarawa United
NPFL
27 Sept
Nasarawa United
1-0
Niger Tornadoes
NPFL
23 Sept
Kwara United
2-1
Nasarawa United
NPFL
20 Sept
Nasarawa United
1-1
Rivers United
NPFL
12
Win
39%
7
Draw
23%
12
Lost
39%
Enyimba
Recent Form

Enyimba have won 0 of their last 15 matches on the road, drawing 5 and losing 10. Their recent away fixtures include lost to Katsina United 4-2 and drew with Kano Pillars 0-0.

Overall, the wider run reads 9W 8D 13L from the last 30 games (30% win rate). The form line has been negative, with defeats outweighing wins across the sample.

Match Results: EnyimbaAll competitions
18 Oct
Enyimba
0-0
Warri Wolves
NPFL
09 Oct
Katsina United
4-2
Enyimba
NPFL
04 Oct
Enyimba
2-0
Plateau United
NPFL
30 Sept
Enyimba
4-2
Shooting Stars
NPFL
27 Sept
Kano Pillars
0-0
Enyimba
NPFL
23 Sept
Enyimba
2-3
Sporting Lagos
NPFL
9
Win
30%
8
Draw
27%
13
Lost
43%

Lineups

๐Ÿ“‹

Lineups not yet announced

Starting lineups are usually confirmed approximately 1 hour before kick-off.

Unavailable Players

0 players

Nasarawa United

No reported absences

Enyimba

No reported absences

What's Your Prediction?

Pick the result you expect

The Daily Punt Analysis Team

Data-driven football predictions and betting tips

This forecast was built by the The Daily Punt Analysis Team using our in-house statistical model. We feed the model two layers of data for every fixture: each team's recent expected goals (xG and xGA) and their actual goals scored and conceded, split by home and away venue. The numbers run through a Poisson distribution that produces a probability for every possible scoreline, which we then convert into fair odds for the 1X2, correct score, BTTS, and over/under markets.

Before publishing, we cross-check our fair odds against the prices the major bookmakers are offering. Where a bookmaker is paying out more than our model says is mathematically fair, we flag that market as a value bet on this page.