Nashville SC vs Inter Miami Prediction, Tips & Odds
Nashville SC vs Inter Miami
Match Preview
The model favours Nashville SC to win this match against Inter Miami, projecting a scoreline of 2-1. Currently sitting at the top of the league, Nashville SC has performed consistently well this season with a record of 12 wins, 4 draws, and 2 losses, accumulating 40 points. Their strong goal difference of +21 highlights their defensive solidity, allowing just 14 goals this season. Nashville's recent form includes three wins from their last five matches, indicating they are in good shape heading into this fixture. On the other hand, Inter Miami is not far behind in the standings, positioned second with 38 points from 18 matches. They have scored a total of 45 goals this season, showcasing their attacking prowess, but they have also conceded 32, resulting in a goal difference of +13. Miami has been in excellent form recently, winning their last four matches, which suggests they will be a formidable opponent for Nashville. According to the model, Nashville SC has a 44.6% chance of winning, while Inter Miami's chances stand at 31.5%. There is also a notable probability of over 2.5 goals being scored in the match at 64.6%, and both teams to score at 65.6%. One potential caveat for Nashville is that if their defense falters, they could be vulnerable to Miami's high-scoring attack. The full methodology behind this prediction is detailed in the "How We Reached This Prediction" section, provided by The Daily Punt Analysis Team, which uses an in-house model analyzing expected goals and actual results throughout the season.
Betting Predictions
How the model works, and its full prediction record, are set out on our How It Works and Accuracy pages.
Both attacks have been productive in recent matches, with regular goal-scoring on either side.
Combined goal output is high (4.0 per game). The over has been the right side more often than not.
The most likely scoreline per our model at 13.8% probability.
Nashville SC have been the stronger side, winning 53% of their matches.
Our model projects a 1-1 draw as the most likely scoreline at 13.8% probability. These six outcomes together cover the bulk of the projected probability for this fixture.
Lines averaged across 5 bookmakers. Nashville SC are the favourites on the spread, so the larger handicaps pay more if they win comfortably while the smaller lines protect the bet on a narrower result.
Best Betting Odds
Nashville SC vs Inter Miami| Bookmaker | 1X2 | O/U 2.5 | BTTS | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | X | 2 | Over | Under | Yes | No | |
| 2.22 | 3.90 | 2.76 | 1.44 | 2.70 | 1.38 | 2.80 | |
| 2.26 | 3.58 | 2.86 | 1.46 | 2.39 | 1.47 | 2.46 | |
| 2.15 | 3.90 | 2.80 | 1.44 | 2.70 | 1.40 | 2.88 | |
| 2.33 | 3.62 | 2.90 | 1.50 | 2.60 | — | — | |
| 2.20 | 3.43 | 2.61 | — | — | — | — | |
| 2.20 | 3.75 | 2.70 | — | — | 1.40 | 2.70 | |
| 2.25 | 3.70 | 3.00 | 1.48 | 2.60 | 1.40 | 2.75 | |
| 2.14 | 3.65 | 3.00 | 1.44 | 2.65 | 1.38 | 2.80 | |
| 2.20 | 3.75 | 2.70 | 1.44 | 2.60 | 1.40 | 2.70 | |
Betano | 2.30 | 3.60 | 2.95 | 1.52 | 2.62 | 1.42 | 2.75 |
BetVictor | 2.25 | 3.80 | 2.75 | 1.45 | 2.63 | 1.40 | 2.75 |
Goals Probability
Avg. bookmaker oddsDouble Chance
Bet covers two outcomesHead to Head
Last 10 Meetings (Inter Miami leads 7-1)In the last 10 matches between Nashville SC and Inter Miami, Inter Miami has won 7 times, Nashville SC has won once, and there have been 2 draws. This record illustrates a significant advantage for Inter Miami, particularly highlighted by their multiple heavy victories, including a 4-0 win and a 5-2 win. Nashville SC's lone victory came in a narrow 2-1 match, indicating that when they lose, it is often by a larger margin. The frequency of draws is low, suggesting that matches tend to be decisive rather than closely contested. Nashville SC last won against Inter Miami in November 2025.
Major League Soccer Standings
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Nashville SC | 18 | 12 | 4 | 2 | 35 | 14 | 21 | 40 | DLWWW |
| 1 |  Vancouver Whitecaps | 17 | 10 | 4 | 3 | 38 | 17 | 21 | 34 | DDLWL |
| 2 |  Los Angeles FC | 19 | 10 | 4 | 5 | 35 | 19 | 16 | 34 | DWWWW |
| 2 | Inter Miami | 18 | 11 | 5 | 2 | 45 | 32 | 13 | 38 | DWWWW |
| 3 |  San Jose Earthquakes | 18 | 10 | 3 | 5 | 37 | 24 | 13 | 33 | LDLWL |
| 3 |  New England Revolution | 18 | 9 | 3 | 6 | 28 | 23 | 5 | 30 | LDWDL |
| 14 |  CF Montreal | 18 | 4 | 4 | 10 | 24 | 35 | -11 | 16 | DLLDD |
| 15 |  Sporting Kansas City | 18 | 4 | 2 | 12 | 18 | 46 | -28 | 14 | LLWLL |
| 15 |  Atlanta United FC | 18 | 3 | 3 | 12 | 19 | 33 | -14 | 12 | LLDLL |
Venue Record
Current season at home / on the roadKey Statistics
2026 SeasonNashville SC have won 10 of their last 16 matches at home, drawing 3 and losing 3. Their recent home fixtures include lost to Leon 0-1 and beat CF Montreal 1-0.
Overall, the wider run reads 16W 8D 6L from the last 30 games (53% win rate). The form line is positive, with more wins than defeats across the sample.
Inter Miami have won 10 of their last 15 matches on the road, drawing 3 and losing 2. Their recent away fixtures include beat CF Montreal 0-1 and beat FC Cincinnati 3-5.
Overall, the wider run reads 16W 8D 3L from the last 27 games (59% win rate). The form line is positive, with more wins than defeats across the sample.
Lineups
Lineups not yet announced
Starting lineups are usually confirmed approximately 1 hour before kick-off.
Unavailable Players
0 playersNashville SC
No reported absences
Inter Miami
No reported absences
Betting Strategy
High-probability picks are the most likely outcomes. Value selections are markets where our model's probability sits above the price implied by the odds. They will not always come in, but the odds are in your favour over time.
Yellow Card Prediction
The referee for this fixture has not been confirmed, so we are sitting this card market out.
Corner Prediction
Nashville SC have averaged 4.6 corners per match at home; Inter Miami 6.0 on the road. Combined that projects roughly 6.3 corners in this fixture. Our pick is under 9.5 corners at 1.80.
Player Stats Bet
Nashville SC have generated 0.96 xG per game across their recent matches, winning 53% of them. They put 3.0 shots on target per match, giving their attackers the volume needed to land a goal-involvement bet. Nashville SC player to score or assist at 1.55 looks well supported by the data.
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The Daily Punt Analysis Team
Data-driven football predictions and betting tips
This forecast was built by the The Daily Punt Analysis Team using our in-house statistical model. We feed the model two layers of data for every fixture: each team's recent expected goals (xG and xGA) and their actual goals scored and conceded, split by home and away venue. The numbers run through a Poisson distribution that produces a probability for every possible scoreline, which we then convert into fair odds for the 1X2, correct score, BTTS, and over/under markets.
Before publishing, we cross-check our fair odds against the prices the major bookmakers are offering. Where a bookmaker is paying out more than our model says is mathematically fair, we flag that market as a value bet on this page.
