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Newells Old Boys vs Talleres Cordoba Prediction, Tips & Odds

Newells Old Boys vs Talleres Cordoba

Liga Profesional ArgentinaClausura - 1
Newells Old Boys
#14 · Liga Profesional Argentina
DLWDD
1 - 0
Estadio Marcelo Bielsa, Rosario
Referee: J. Balino
Talleres Cordoba
#4 · Liga Profesional Argentina
LLLLD
★ OUR PICK
Under 2.5 Goals
Tight defensive records and low-scoring recent form make the under the value pick here.
Totals
1.50
BEST ODDS
Our pick: Bookmakers offer average 1.46 (implied 68.5%) for Under 2.5 Goals. Our experts calculate a 71.0% probability (an expert ratio of 1.41). We chose this bet because our experts rate it more likely than the bookmaker price implies (71.0% vs 68.5%), driven by both sides' tight defensive records and low-scoring recent form. That edge makes it our most confident selection for this match.

Match Preview

The model favours Talleres Cordoba to win this match against Newells Old Boys, projecting a scoreline of 2-0. Talleres currently sits in a strong fourth position in the league, with 26 points from 16 matches. Their season has been defined by a solid defensive record, conceding only 13 goals, which highlights their ability to maintain stability at the back. Additionally, they have managed seven wins, showcasing their capacity to secure points consistently. In contrast, Newells Old Boys are struggling in fourteenth place, with only 15 points from their 16 matches. Their season has been characterized by a lack of offensive firepower, scoring just 15 goals, which places them among the lower-scoring teams in the league. Despite a recent upturn in form with two wins and three draws in their last five matches, they have not been able to translate this into a significant climb up the standings. The model output indicates a win probability of approximately 60% for Talleres Cordoba, suggesting they are favoured to take all three points. However, a potential caveat is Newells' recent improvement in form, which could pose a challenge. For a detailed understanding of the prediction, please refer to the "How We Reached This Prediction" section. The Daily Punt Analysis Team employs an in-house model that evaluates fixtures using expected goals and actual results across the season.

Betting Predictions

How the model works, and its full prediction record, are set out on our How It Works and Accuracy pages.

Match Result
Newells Old Boys Win42%2.76
Draw27%2.87
Talleres Cordoba Win31%2.84
BTTS
Both Teams to Score: No
1.6656.3%

Newells Old Boys have kept a clean sheet in 14% of matches. Talleres Cordoba average 0.9 goals per game.

Over/Under Goals
Under 2.5 Goals
1.4663.5%

Newells Old Boys manage games at home, conceding just 1.57 goals per match. Talleres Cordoba score 0.95 on the road.

Correct Score
Newells Old Boys 1-1 Talleres Cordoba
5.5518.1%

The most likely scoreline per our model at 18.1% probability.

Asian Handicap
Newells Old Boys -0.5
2.5836%

Newells Old Boys have been the stronger side, winning 19% of their matches.

CORRECT SCOREMost likely outcomes
1-1
5.55
18.1%
0-0
6.02
16.7%
1-0
6.26
16.1%
0-1
6.34
15.8%
2-1
10.30
9.8%
1-2
10.64
9.5%

Our model projects a 1-1 draw as the most likely scoreline at 18.1% probability. These six outcomes together cover the bulk of the projected probability for this fixture.

ASIAN HANDICAPLines & prices
Newells Old Boys
-0.0
1.85
Talleres Cordoba
+0.0
1.92
Newells Old Boys
-0.3
2.37
Talleres Cordoba
+0.3
2.42
Newells Old Boys
-0.5
2.58
Talleres Cordoba
+0.5
2.65
Newells Old Boys
-1.5
6.00
Talleres Cordoba
+1.5
6.00

Lines averaged across 6 bookmakers. Newells Old Boys are the favourites on the spread, so the larger handicaps pay more if they win comfortably while the smaller lines protect the bet on a narrower result.

Best Betting Odds

Newells Old Boys vs Talleres Cordoba
Bookmaker1X2O/U 2.5BTTS
1X2OverUnderYesNo
10Bet
2.782.852.782.601.482.051.70
Marathonbet
2.752.782.882.481.432.061.66
Betfair
2.703.002.702.631.472.151.67
Pinnacle
2.882.862.982.801.47
SBO
2.632.862.63
William Hill
2.702.752.802.101.67
Bet365
2.752.882.902.601.482.201.62
1xBet
2.822.832.892.481.432.061.68
Unibet
2.752.902.852.751.422.181.61
Betano
2.852.802.922.671.502.051.72
Superbet
2.752.922.902.751.462.201.63
BetVictor
2.703.002.802.471.462.101.65

Goals Probability

Avg. bookmaker odds
Over 0.5 Goals
84.9%
Over 1.5 Goals
61.5%
Over 2.5 Goals
36.5%
Over 3.5 Goals
17.7%

Double Chance

Bet covers two outcomes
1XNewells Old Boys or Draw
69%1.41
12Newells Old Boys or Talleres Cordoba
73%1.39
X2Draw or Talleres Cordoba
58%1.42

Head to Head

Last 10 Meetings (Newells Old Boys leads 4-3)
4 Newells Old Boys3 Draw3 Talleres Cordoba
24 Jan
Talleres Cordoba
2-1
Newells Old Boys
Liga Profesional Argentina
Dec 24
Talleres Cordoba
1-3
Newells Old Boys
Liga Profesional Argentina
Jul 23
Newells Old Boys
1-1
Talleres Cordoba
Liga Profesional Argentina
Sept 22
Talleres Cordoba
2-1
Newells Old Boys
Copa Argentina
Jun 22
Talleres Cordoba
0-1
Newells Old Boys
Liga Profesional Argentina
Feb 22
Talleres Cordoba
1-2
Newells Old Boys
Liga Profesional Argentina
Jul 21
Newells Old Boys
3-2
Talleres Cordoba
Liga Profesional Argentina
Feb 21
Talleres Cordoba
2-2
Newells Old Boys
Liga Profesional Argentina
Nov 20
Newells Old Boys
1-1
Talleres Cordoba
Liga Profesional Argentina
Oct 20
Talleres Cordoba
3-1
Newells Old Boys
Liga Profesional Argentina

The head-to-head record between Newells Old Boys and Talleres Cordoba stands at 4 wins for Newells, 3 draws, and 3 wins for Talleres. This indicates a fairly balanced rivalry, with both teams having their share of victories. The scorelines suggest a mix of competitive encounters, with several matches ending in narrow margins, such as the 2-1 and 1-1 results. There has been a total of three draws in the last ten matches, highlighting that these teams often contest tightly fought games. The last time Talleres won against Newells was in January 2026, suggesting a recent edge for Newells in this fixture.

Liga Profesional Argentina Standings

#TeamPWDLGFGAGDPtsForm
1
Independ. Rivadavia
16104229151434
LWDLD
1
Estudiantes L.P.
169431971231
LWLLW
2
Boca Juniors
168622291330
WDLLW
2
River Plate
1692522121029
LLLLW
3
Velez Sarsfield
167721812628
WWWLD
3
Argentinos JRS
168531713429
WWWLW
4
Talleres Cordoba
167541713426
WLLLD
14
Newells Old Boys
163671527-1215
DLWDD
15
Deportivo Riestra
16187512-711
LLWDW
15
Estudiantes de Rio Cuarto
161213524-195
DLWLL

Venue Record

Current season at home / on the road
Newells Old BoysHome
1W4D3L
8 playedGF 6 · GA 100.88 pts/game
Talleres CordobaAway
3W4D2L
9 playedGF 8 · GA 81.44 pts/game

Key Statistics

2026 Season
Newells Old BoysTalleres Cordoba
0.86Goals p.g.0.95
1.57Goals conceded p.g.1
14%Clean sheets33%
19%Win rate38%
2.43Avg goals in match1.95
0.65xG per game1.20
-0.06xGA per game0.34
44%Possession %54%
3.4Shots on target / game3.8
3.8Corners per game4.6
Newells Old Boys
Recent Form

Newells Old Boys have won 2 of their last 12 matches at home, drawing 5 and losing 5. Their recent home fixtures include drew with Boca Juniors 2-2 and beat Talleres Cordoba 1-0.

Overall, the wider run reads 4W 7D 10L from the last 21 games (19% win rate). The form line has been negative, with defeats outweighing wins across the sample.

Match Results: Newells Old BoysAll competitions
02 Aug
Newells Old Boys
2-2
Boca Juniors
Liga Profesional Argentina
31 Jul
Independiente
1-0
Newells Old Boys
Liga Profesional Argentina
25 Jul
Newells Old Boys
1-0
Talleres Cordoba
Liga Profesional Argentina
04 May
Velez Sarsfield
1-1
Newells Old Boys
Liga Profesional Argentina
26 Apr
Newells Old Boys
1-1
Instituto Cordoba
Liga Profesional Argentina
17 Apr
Union Santa Fe
2-3
Newells Old Boys
Liga Profesional Argentina
4
Win
19%
7
Draw
33%
10
Lost
48%
Talleres Cordoba
Recent Form

Talleres Cordoba have won 3 of their last 10 matches on the road, drawing 4 and losing 3. Their recent away fixtures include lost to Newells Old Boys 1-0 and drew with Union Santa Fe 1-1.

Overall, the wider run reads 8W 5D 8L from the last 21 games (38% win rate). The form line is positive, with more wins than defeats across the sample.

Match Results: Talleres CordobaAll competitions
30 Jul
Talleres Cordoba
1-3
Velez Sarsfield
Liga Profesional Argentina
25 Jul
Newells Old Boys
1-0
Talleres Cordoba
Liga Profesional Argentina
20 May
Talleres Cordoba
0-3
Atletico Tucuman
Copa Argentina
09 May
Talleres Cordoba
0-1
Belgrano Cordoba
Liga Profesional Argentina
02 May
Union Santa Fe
1-1
Talleres Cordoba
Liga Profesional Argentina
25 Apr
Estudiantes L.P.
0-0
Talleres Cordoba
Liga Profesional Argentina
8
Win
38%
5
Draw
24%
8
Lost
38%

Lineups

📋

Lineups not yet announced

Starting lineups are usually confirmed approximately 1 hour before kick-off.

Unavailable Players

0 players

Newells Old Boys

No reported absences

Talleres Cordoba

No reported absences

Betting Strategy

High-probability picks are the most likely outcomes. Value selections are markets where our model's probability sits above the price implied by the odds. They will not always come in, but the odds are in your favour over time.

High Probability
Under 2.5 Goals1.46 (63.5%)
BTTS No1.66 (56.3%)
Value Bets
Newells Old Boys Win2.76 (42%)
Draw2.87 (27%)
Talleres Cordoba Win2.84 (31%)
Over 2.5 Goals2.62 (36.5%)
Both Teams Score2.11 (43.7%)

Yellow Card Prediction

J. Balino has averaged 3.0 yellow cards per match across 1 recent fixtures we have data for. Our pick is under 3.5 yellow cards at 1.95.

Corner Prediction

Newells Old Boys have averaged 3.8 corners per match at home; Talleres Cordoba 4.6 on the road. Combined that projects roughly 5.2 corners in this fixture. Our pick is under 9.5 corners at 1.80.

Player Stats Bet

Newells Old Boys have generated 0.65 xG per game across their recent matches, winning 19% of them. They put 3.4 shots on target per match, giving their attackers the volume needed to land a goal-involvement bet. Newells Old Boys player to score at 1.85 looks well supported by the data.

What's Your Prediction?

Pick the result you expect

OUR PREDICTION
2.5 Goals Under

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The Daily Punt Analysis Team

Data-driven football predictions and betting tips

This forecast was built by the The Daily Punt Analysis Team using our in-house statistical model. We feed the model two layers of data for every fixture: each team's recent expected goals (xG and xGA) and their actual goals scored and conceded, split by home and away venue. The numbers run through a Poisson distribution that produces a probability for every possible scoreline, which we then convert into fair odds for the 1X2, correct score, BTTS, and over/under markets.

Before publishing, we cross-check our fair odds against the prices the major bookmakers are offering. Where a bookmaker is paying out more than our model says is mathematically fair, we flag that market as a value bet on this page.