Today's top picks and bookie offers, free on TelegramToday's top picks, free on TelegramJoin

Newells Old Boys vs Talleres Cordoba Prediction, Tips & Odds

Newells Old Boys vs Talleres Cordoba

Liga Profesional ArgentinaClausura - 1
Newells Old Boys
#14 · Liga Profesional Argentina
WDDWD
1 - 0
Estadio Marcelo Bielsa, Rosario
Referee: J. Balino
Talleres Cordoba
#4 · Liga Profesional Argentina
LLLDD
★ OUR PICK
Under 2.5 Goals
Tight defensive records and low-scoring recent form make the under the value pick here.
Totals
1.50
BEST ODDS
Our pick: Bookmakers offer average 1.46 (implied 68.5%) for Under 2.5 Goals. Our experts calculate a 71.0% probability (an expert ratio of 1.41). We chose this bet because our experts rate it more likely than the bookmaker price implies (71.0% vs 68.5%), driven by both sides' tight defensive records and low-scoring recent form. That edge makes it our most confident selection for this match.

Match Preview

The model favours Talleres Cordoba to win this match against Newells Old Boys, projecting a scoreline of 2-0. Talleres currently sits in a strong fourth position in the league, with 26 points from 16 matches. Their season has been defined by a solid defensive record, conceding only 13 goals, which highlights their ability to maintain stability at the back. Additionally, they have managed seven wins, showcasing their capacity to secure points consistently. In contrast, Newells Old Boys are struggling in fourteenth place, with only 15 points from their 16 matches. Their season has been characterized by a lack of offensive firepower, scoring just 15 goals, which places them among the lower-scoring teams in the league. Despite a recent upturn in form with two wins and three draws in their last five matches, they have not been able to translate this into a significant climb up the standings. The model output indicates a win probability of approximately 60% for Talleres Cordoba, suggesting they are favoured to take all three points. However, a potential caveat is Newells' recent improvement in form, which could pose a challenge. For a detailed understanding of the prediction, please refer to the "How We Reached This Prediction" section. The Daily Punt Analysis Team employs an in-house model that evaluates fixtures using expected goals and actual results across the season.

Betting Predictions

How the model works, and its full prediction record, are set out on our How It Works and Accuracy pages.

Match Result
Newells Old Boys Win41%2.76
Draw27%2.87
Talleres Cordoba Win32%2.84
BTTS
Both Teams to Score: No
1.6656.9%

Newells Old Boys have kept a clean sheet in 16% of matches. Talleres Cordoba average 0.9 goals per game.

Over/Under Goals
Under 2.5 Goals
1.4664.1%

Newells Old Boys manage games at home, conceding just 1.58 goals per match. Talleres Cordoba score 0.95 on the road.

Correct Score
Newells Old Boys 1-1 Talleres Cordoba
5.5518.1%

The most likely scoreline per our model at 18.1% probability.

Asian Handicap
Newells Old Boys -0.5
2.5835%

Newells Old Boys have been the stronger side, winning 21% of their matches.

CORRECT SCOREMost likely outcomes
1-1
5.55
18.1%
0-0
6.02
16.7%
1-0
6.26
16.1%
0-1
6.34
15.8%
2-1
10.30
9.8%
1-2
10.64
9.5%

Our model projects a 1-1 draw as the most likely scoreline at 18.1% probability. These six outcomes together cover the bulk of the projected probability for this fixture.

ASIAN HANDICAPLines & prices
Newells Old Boys
-0.0
1.85
Talleres Cordoba
+0.0
1.92
Newells Old Boys
-0.3
2.37
Talleres Cordoba
+0.3
2.42
Newells Old Boys
-0.5
2.58
Talleres Cordoba
+0.5
2.65
Newells Old Boys
-1.5
6.00
Talleres Cordoba
+1.5
6.00

Lines averaged across 6 bookmakers. Newells Old Boys are the favourites on the spread, so the larger handicaps pay more if they win comfortably while the smaller lines protect the bet on a narrower result.

Best Betting Odds

Newells Old Boys vs Talleres Cordoba
Bookmaker1X2O/U 2.5BTTS
1X2OverUnderYesNo
10Bet
2.782.852.782.601.482.051.70
Marathonbet
2.752.782.882.481.432.061.66
Betfair
2.703.002.702.631.472.151.67
Pinnacle
2.882.862.982.801.47
SBO
2.632.862.63
William Hill
2.702.752.802.101.67
Bet365
2.752.882.902.601.482.201.62
1xBet
2.822.832.892.481.432.061.68
Unibet
2.752.902.852.751.422.181.61
Betano
2.852.802.922.671.502.051.72
Superbet
2.752.922.902.751.462.201.63
BetVictor
2.703.002.802.471.462.101.65

Goals Probability

Avg. bookmaker odds
Over 0.5 Goals
84.9%
Over 1.5 Goals
61.5%
Over 2.5 Goals
35.9%
Over 3.5 Goals
17.7%

Double Chance

Bet covers two outcomes
1XNewells Old Boys or Draw
68%1.41
12Newells Old Boys or Talleres Cordoba
73%1.39
X2Draw or Talleres Cordoba
59%1.42

Head to Head

Last 10 Meetings (Newells Old Boys leads 4-3)
4 Newells Old Boys3 Draw3 Talleres Cordoba
24 Jan
Talleres Cordoba
2-1
Newells Old Boys
Liga Profesional Argentina
Dec 24
Talleres Cordoba
1-3
Newells Old Boys
Liga Profesional Argentina
Jul 23
Newells Old Boys
1-1
Talleres Cordoba
Liga Profesional Argentina
Sept 22
Talleres Cordoba
2-1
Newells Old Boys
Copa Argentina
Jun 22
Talleres Cordoba
0-1
Newells Old Boys
Liga Profesional Argentina
Feb 22
Talleres Cordoba
1-2
Newells Old Boys
Liga Profesional Argentina
Jul 21
Newells Old Boys
3-2
Talleres Cordoba
Liga Profesional Argentina
Feb 21
Talleres Cordoba
2-2
Newells Old Boys
Liga Profesional Argentina
Nov 20
Newells Old Boys
1-1
Talleres Cordoba
Liga Profesional Argentina
Oct 20
Talleres Cordoba
3-1
Newells Old Boys
Liga Profesional Argentina

The head-to-head record between Newells Old Boys and Talleres Cordoba stands at 4 wins for Newells, 3 draws, and 3 wins for Talleres. This indicates a fairly balanced rivalry, with both teams having their share of victories. The scorelines suggest a mix of competitive encounters, with several matches ending in narrow margins, such as the 2-1 and 1-1 results. There has been a total of three draws in the last ten matches, highlighting that these teams often contest tightly fought games. The last time Talleres won against Newells was in January 2026, suggesting a recent edge for Newells in this fixture.

Liga Profesional Argentina Standings

#TeamPWDLGFGAGDPtsForm
1
Independ. Rivadavia
16104229151434
DLDWD
1
Estudiantes L.P.
169431971231
LLWDW
2
River Plate
1692522121029
LLLWW
2
Boca Juniors
168622291330
LLWWW
3
Velez Sarsfield
167721812628
WLDDD
3
Argentinos JRS
168531713429
WWLWW
4
Talleres Cordoba
167541713426
LLDDW
14
Newells Old Boys
163671527-1215
WDDWD
14
Aldosivi
16088619-138
LDDLD
15
Deportivo Riestra
16187512-711
LWDWL
15
Estudiantes de Rio Cuarto
161213524-195
LWLLL

Venue Record

Current season at home / on the road
Newells Old BoysHome
1W4D3L
8 playedGF 6 · GA 100.88 pts/game
Talleres CordobaAway
3W4D2L
9 playedGF 8 · GA 81.44 pts/game

Key Statistics

2026 Season
Newells Old BoysTalleres Cordoba
0.84Goals p.g.0.95
1.58Goals conceded p.g.0.9
16%Clean sheets35%
21%Win rate40%
2.42Avg goals in match1.85
1.31xG per game0.91
0.27xGA per game0.39
43%Possession %51%
3.6Shots on target / game3.5
3.7Corners per game3.9
Newells Old Boys
Recent Form

Newells Old Boys have won 2 of their last 11 matches at home, drawing 4 and losing 5. Their recent home fixtures include beat Talleres Cordoba 1-0 and drew with Instituto Cordoba 1-1.

Overall, the wider run reads 4W 6D 9L from the last 19 games (21% win rate). The form line has been negative, with defeats outweighing wins across the sample.

Match Results: Newells Old BoysAll competitions
25 Jul
Newells Old Boys
1-0
Talleres Cordoba
Liga Profesional Argentina
04 May
Velez Sarsfield
1-1
Newells Old Boys
Liga Profesional Argentina
26 Apr
Newells Old Boys
1-1
Instituto Cordoba
Liga Profesional Argentina
17 Apr
Union Santa Fe
2-3
Newells Old Boys
Liga Profesional Argentina
12 Apr
Newells Old Boys
0-0
San Lorenzo
Liga Profesional Argentina
05 Apr
Central Cordoba de Santiago
1-3
Newells Old Boys
Liga Profesional Argentina
4
Win
21%
6
Draw
32%
9
Lost
47%
Talleres Cordoba
Recent Form

Talleres Cordoba have won 3 of their last 10 matches on the road, drawing 4 and losing 3. Their recent away fixtures include lost to Talleres Cordoba 1-0 and drew with Union Santa Fe 1-1.

Overall, the wider run reads 8W 5D 7L from the last 20 games (40% win rate). The form line is positive, with more wins than defeats across the sample.

Match Results: Talleres CordobaAll competitions
25 Jul
Newells Old Boys
1-0
Talleres Cordoba
Liga Profesional Argentina
20 May
Talleres Cordoba
0-3
Atletico Tucuman
Copa Argentina
09 May
Talleres Cordoba
0-1
Belgrano Cordoba
Liga Profesional Argentina
02 May
Union Santa Fe
1-1
Talleres Cordoba
Liga Profesional Argentina
25 Apr
Estudiantes L.P.
0-0
Talleres Cordoba
Liga Profesional Argentina
19 Apr
Talleres Cordoba
2-0
Deportivo Riestra
Liga Profesional Argentina
8
Win
40%
5
Draw
25%
7
Lost
35%

Lineups

📋

Lineups not yet announced

Starting lineups are usually confirmed approximately 1 hour before kick-off.

Unavailable Players

0 players

Newells Old Boys

No reported absences

Talleres Cordoba

No reported absences

Betting Strategy

High-probability picks are the most likely outcomes. Value selections are markets where our model's probability sits above the price implied by the odds. They will not always come in, but the odds are in your favour over time.

High Probability
Under 2.5 Goals1.46 (64.1%)
BTTS No1.66 (56.9%)
Value Bets
Newells Old Boys Win2.76 (41.2%)
Draw2.87 (27%)
Talleres Cordoba Win2.84 (31.8%)
Over 2.5 Goals2.62 (35.9%)
Both Teams Score2.11 (43.1%)

Yellow Card Prediction

J. Balino has averaged 3.0 yellow cards per match across 1 recent fixtures we have data for. Our pick is under 3.5 yellow cards at 1.95.

Corner Prediction

Newells Old Boys have averaged 3.7 corners per match at home; Talleres Cordoba 3.9 on the road. Combined that projects roughly 4.8 corners in this fixture. Our pick is under 9.5 corners at 1.80.

Player Stats Bet

Newells Old Boys have generated 1.31 xG per game across their recent matches, winning 21% of them. They put 3.6 shots on target per match, giving their attackers the volume needed to land a goal-involvement bet. Newells Old Boys player to score at 1.85 looks well supported by the data.

What's Your Prediction?

Pick the result you expect

OUR PREDICTION
2.5 Goals Under

Do you agree with this prediction?

The Daily Punt Analysis Team

Data-driven football predictions and betting tips

This forecast was built by the The Daily Punt Analysis Team using our in-house statistical model. We feed the model two layers of data for every fixture: each team's recent expected goals (xG and xGA) and their actual goals scored and conceded, split by home and away venue. The numbers run through a Poisson distribution that produces a probability for every possible scoreline, which we then convert into fair odds for the 1X2, correct score, BTTS, and over/under markets.

Before publishing, we cross-check our fair odds against the prices the major bookmakers are offering. Where a bookmaker is paying out more than our model says is mathematically fair, we flag that market as a value bet on this page.