Çorum FK vs Kasımpaşa Prediction, Tips & Odds
Çorum FK vs Kasımpaşa
Match Preview
The model favours Çorum FK to win against Kasımpaşa, predicting a scoreline of 2-1. Çorum FK enters this match in eighth place, having recently demonstrated solid form with three wins, one draw, and one loss in their last five matches. This suggests a competitive edge as they begin the season, even though the current standings show no points yet. Kasımpaşa, positioned in thirteenth place, also starts the season with no matches played, but their recent form is encouraging, featuring three wins and two draws over their last five fixtures. This unbeaten run could provide them with a sense of confidence, but the challenge lies in translating that form into the new season against a determined opponent. The model indicates a win probability of approximately 60% for Çorum FK, with a projected score of 2-1. One caveat to consider is that both teams are starting fresh without any competitive match data from this season, which may introduce unpredictability. The full methodology behind this prediction, developed by The Daily Punt Analysis Team, is detailed in the "How We Reached This Prediction" section, utilizing expected goals and actual results across the season.
Betting Predictions
How the model works, and its full prediction record, are set out on our How It Works and Accuracy pages.
Both attacks have been productive in recent matches, with regular goal-scoring on either side.
Çorum FK manage games at home, conceding just 0.73 goals per match. Kasımpaşa score 1.32 on the road.
The most likely scoreline per our model at 15.6% probability.
Çorum FK have been the stronger side, winning 45% of their matches.
Our model projects a 1-1 draw as the most likely scoreline at 15.6% probability. These six outcomes together cover the bulk of the projected probability for this fixture.
Lines averaged across 6 bookmakers. Çorum FK are the favourites on the spread, so the larger handicaps pay more if they win comfortably while the smaller lines protect the bet on a narrower result.
Best Betting Odds
Çorum FK vs Kasımpaşa| Bookmaker | 1X2 | O/U 2.5 | BTTS | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | X | 2 | Over | Under | Yes | No | |
| 2.28 | 3.45 | 2.92 | 1.83 | 1.95 | 1.65 | 2.10 | |
| 2.27 | 3.36 | 2.99 | 1.87 | 1.90 | 1.66 | 2.06 | |
| 2.30 | 3.50 | 2.88 | — | — | — | — | |
| 2.31 | 3.42 | 3.09 | 1.89 | 1.94 | — | — | |
| 2.25 | 3.20 | 2.90 | — | — | 1.70 | 2.05 | |
| 2.30 | 3.50 | 2.60 | 1.90 | 1.90 | 1.73 | 2.00 | |
| 2.36 | 3.50 | 3.11 | 1.92 | 1.96 | 1.66 | 2.09 | |
| 2.25 | 3.20 | 2.90 | 1.85 | 1.85 | 1.70 | 2.05 | |
Betano | 2.35 | 3.55 | 2.92 | 1.93 | 1.91 | 1.72 | 2.05 |
BetVictor | 2.25 | 3.30 | 2.88 | 1.83 | 1.84 | 1.67 | 2.05 |
Goals Probability
Avg. bookmaker oddsDouble Chance
Bet covers two outcomesHead to Head
Last 1 Meetings (Kasımpaşa leads 1-0)In their only recorded match, Kasımpaşa has won against Çorum FK with a score of 1-0. This narrow victory indicates a tightly contested fixture, with no goals scored by Çorum FK. As it stands, Çorum FK has yet to secure a win in this head-to-head matchup, and the absence of draws suggests that encounters between these two teams may be closely fought. Given the single meeting, it is difficult to draw broader conclusions, but Kasımpaşa currently holds the advantage historically.
Süper Lig Standings
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Amed | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 3 | 3 | W |
| 2 |  Başakşehir | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 3 | W |
| 3 |  Gençlerbirliği S.K. | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 3 | W |
| 4 |  Beşiktaş | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 3 | W |
| 5 |  Rizespor | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 3 | W |
| 6 |  Göztepe | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 1 | D |
| 9 | Çorum FK | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 1 | D |
| 12 | Kasımpaşa | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | D |
| 16 |  Konyaspor | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | -1 | 0 | L |
| 17 |  Kocaelispor | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | -2 | 0 | L |
| 18 |  Erzurumspor FK | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3 | -3 | 0 | L |
Venue Record
Current season at home / on the roadKey Statistics
2026 SeasonÇorum FK have won 3 of their last 6 matches at home, drawing 2 and losing 1. Their recent home fixtures include beat Çorum FK 1-0 and beat Çorum FK 1-0.
Overall, the wider run reads 5W 4D 2L from the last 11 games (45% win rate). The form line is positive, with more wins than defeats across the sample.
Kasımpaşa have won 0 of their last 8 matches on the road, drawing 3 and losing 5. Their recent away fixtures include lost to Gençlerbirliği S.K. 3-2 and lost to Başakşehir 4-0.
Overall, the wider run reads 10W 8D 7L from the last 25 games (40% win rate). The form line is positive, with more wins than defeats across the sample.
Lineups
Lineups not yet announced
Starting lineups are usually confirmed approximately 1 hour before kick-off.
Unavailable Players
0 playersÇorum FK
No reported absences
Kasımpaşa
No reported absences
Betting Strategy
High-probability picks are the most likely outcomes. Value selections are markets where our model's probability sits above the price implied by the odds. They will not always come in, but the odds are in your favour over time.
Yellow Card Prediction
The referee for this fixture has not been confirmed, so we are sitting this card market out.
Corner Prediction
Çorum FK have averaged 8.0 corners per match at home; Kasımpaşa 1.5 on the road. Combined that projects roughly 5.8 corners in this fixture. Our pick is under 9.5 corners at 1.80.
Player Stats Bet
Çorum FK have been the stronger side on attack across the season, winning 45% of their matches and averaging 1.4 goals per game. They put 8.0 shots on target per match, giving their attackers the volume needed to land a goal-involvement bet. Çorum FK player to score at 1.85 looks well supported by the data.
What's Your Prediction?
Pick the result you expect
Do you agree with this prediction?
The Daily Punt Analysis Team
Data-driven football predictions and betting tips
This forecast was built by the The Daily Punt Analysis Team using our in-house statistical model. We feed the model two layers of data for every fixture: each team's recent expected goals (xG and xGA) and their actual goals scored and conceded, split by home and away venue. The numbers run through a Poisson distribution that produces a probability for every possible scoreline, which we then convert into fair odds for the 1X2, correct score, BTTS, and over/under markets.
Before publishing, we cross-check our fair odds against the prices the major bookmakers are offering. Where a bookmaker is paying out more than our model says is mathematically fair, we flag that market as a value bet on this page.
