Rizespor vs Samsunspor Prediction, Tips & Odds
Rizespor vs Samsunspor
Match Preview
The model favours Rizespor to win against Samsunspor with a projected scoreline of 2-1. Rizespor enters this match in a stronger position, having secured two wins and two draws in their last five matches, indicating a more stable form as they prepare for the season. With a positive recent trend, they will look to carry this momentum into their opening game. On the other hand, Samsunspor has shown mixed results in their last five matches, with two wins, one draw, and two losses. This inconsistency may affect their confidence as they start the new season. Both teams begin the campaign with no points, but Samsunspor's recent form suggests they may struggle to find their footing early on. The model output indicates a win probability in favour of Rizespor, reflecting their recent form and potential for success. However, it is important to note that a lack of match data for the current season introduces uncertainty, and unexpected outcomes can always arise in football. For a detailed explanation of the prediction process, please refer to the "How We Reached This Prediction" section, where the in-house model evaluates expected goals and actual results throughout the season.
Betting Predictions
How the model works, and its full prediction record, are set out on our How It Works and Accuracy pages.
Both attacks have been productive in recent matches, with regular goal-scoring on either side.
Combined goal output is high (2.9 per game). The over has been the right side more often than not.
The most likely scoreline per our model at 16.4% probability.
Rizespor have been the stronger side, winning 39% of their matches.
Our model projects a 1-1 draw as the most likely scoreline at 16.4% probability. 3 of the top six outcomes feature Rizespor clean sheets, in line with their 25% clean-sheet rate this season.
Lines averaged across 6 bookmakers. Rizespor are the favourites on the spread, so the larger handicaps pay more if they win comfortably while the smaller lines protect the bet on a narrower result.
Best Betting Odds
Rizespor vs Samsunspor| Bookmaker | 1X2 | O/U 2.5 | BTTS | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | X | 2 | Over | Under | Yes | No | |
| 2.28 | 3.35 | 2.98 | 1.83 | 1.95 | 1.62 | 2.15 | |
| 2.02 | 3.30 | 3.64 | 1.81 | 1.97 | 1.64 | 2.10 | |
| 2.00 | 3.30 | 3.70 | 1.80 | 2.00 | 1.62 | 2.25 | |
| 2.07 | 3.42 | 3.86 | 1.85 | 2.05 | — | — | |
| 2.02 | 3.21 | 3.30 | 1.84 | 2.00 | — | — | |
| 2.05 | 3.40 | 3.30 | — | — | 1.65 | 2.15 | |
| 2.00 | 3.50 | 3.60 | 1.80 | 2.00 | 1.67 | 2.10 | |
| 2.10 | 3.43 | 3.78 | 1.86 | 2.03 | 1.64 | 2.13 | |
| 2.02 | 3.35 | 3.40 | 1.81 | 1.86 | 1.67 | 2.02 | |
| 2.30 | 3.10 | 3.00 | 1.85 | 1.85 | 1.65 | 2.15 | |
Betano | 2.07 | 3.30 | 3.55 | 1.87 | 1.98 | 1.65 | 2.15 |
Superbet | 2.10 | 3.40 | 3.45 | 1.85 | 1.97 | 1.66 | 2.12 |
BetVictor | 2.00 | 3.50 | 3.50 | 1.77 | 1.91 | 1.65 | 2.10 |
Goals Probability
Avg. bookmaker oddsDouble Chance
Bet covers two outcomesHead to Head
Last 10 Meetings (Rizespor leads 4-3)In the last 10 matches between Rizespor and Samsunspor, Rizespor has won 4 times, there have been 3 draws, and Samsunspor has also won 3 times. The scorelines indicate a relatively balanced rivalry, with a mix of narrow and moderate victories. Rizespor's wins include a notable 4-1 result, while Samsunspor's heaviest victory is a 3-0 win. Draws have occurred frequently, reflecting tightly contested matches. The last time Samsunspor secured a win against Rizespor was in September 2024, suggesting a competitive dynamic with no clear dominance from either side in recent encounters.
Süper Lig Standings
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Galatasaray | 4 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 12 | 6 | 6 | 10 | WWWD |
| 2 |  Beşiktaş | 4 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 9 | 4 | 5 | 9 | WWLW |
| 3 |  Gençlerbirliği S.K. | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 7 | DWW |
| 4 |  Fenerbahçe | 4 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 8 | 6 | 2 | 6 | LWWL |
| 5 |  Amed | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 3 | 2 | 6 | WLW |
| 6 |  Kocaelispor | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 3 | 1 | 6 | WWL |
| 7 | Rizespor | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 6 | WLW |
| 10 | Samsunspor | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 5 | 5 | 0 | 4 | LWD |
| 16 |  Göztepe | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 5 | 7 | -2 | 1 | LLD |
| 17 |  Çorum FK | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 4 | 9 | -5 | 1 | LLD |
| 18 |  Konyaspor | 4 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 3 | 8 | -5 | 0 | LLLL |
Venue Record
Current season at home / on the roadKey Statistics
2026 SeasonRizespor have won 7 of their last 14 matches at home, drawing 4 and losing 3. Their recent home fixtures include lost to Rizespor 0-2 and beat Rizespor 2-1.
Overall, the wider run reads 11W 8D 9L from the last 28 games (39% win rate). The form line is positive, with more wins than defeats across the sample.
Samsunspor have won 9 of their last 17 matches on the road, drawing 2 and losing 6. Their recent away fixtures include beat Rizespor 0-2 and lost to Kasımpaşa 3-0.
Overall, the wider run reads 15W 6D 9L from the last 30 games (50% win rate). The form line is positive, with more wins than defeats across the sample.
Lineups
ConfirmedRizespor4-2-3-1Confirmed
Samsunspor4-3-3Confirmed
Unavailable Players
11 playersRizespor3
Samsunspor8
Betting Strategy
High-probability picks are the most likely outcomes. Value selections are markets where our model's probability sits above the price implied by the odds. They will not always come in, but the odds are in your favour over time.
Yellow Card Prediction
O. Turtay has been appointed as the referee for this fixture. We don't yet have enough recent fixtures officiated by O. Turtay to give a confident card-market projection. Our default lean is under 3.5 yellow cards at 1.95.
Corner Prediction
Rizespor have averaged 5.3 corners per match at home; Samsunspor 3.8 on the road. Combined that projects roughly 5.5 corners in this fixture. Our pick is under 9.5 corners at 1.80.
Player Stats Bet
Rizespor have generated 1.00 xG per game across their recent matches, winning 39% of them. They put 4.0 shots on target per match, giving their attackers the volume needed to land a goal-involvement bet. Rizespor player to score at 1.85 looks well supported by the data.
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The Daily Punt Analysis Team
Data-driven football predictions and betting tips
This forecast was built by the The Daily Punt Analysis Team using our in-house statistical model. We feed the model two layers of data for every fixture: each team's recent expected goals (xG and xGA) and their actual goals scored and conceded, split by home and away venue. The numbers run through a Poisson distribution that produces a probability for every possible scoreline, which we then convert into fair odds for the 1X2, correct score, BTTS, and over/under markets.
Before publishing, we cross-check our fair odds against the prices the major bookmakers are offering. Where a bookmaker is paying out more than our model says is mathematically fair, we flag that market as a value bet on this page.
