Trabzonspor vs Başakşehir Prediction, Tips & Odds
Trabzonspor vs Başakşehir
Match Preview
The model favours Başakşehir to win against Trabzonspor, projecting a scoreline of 2-1. As the third-placed team in the league, Başakşehir enters the match with a solid foundation, having finished the previous season well. Their recent form, with two wins and two draws in their last five matches, indicates a team capable of securing points consistently. This momentum could prove beneficial as they begin the new season. Trabzonspor, on the other hand, finds themselves in a challenging position, ranked 14th and having won only two of their last five matches. Their recent form shows inconsistency, with two wins and three losses. This instability could hinder their ability to start the season strong, especially against a more stable opponent like Başakşehir. The model indicates a win probability of 60% for Başakşehir, reflecting their stronger league position and recent form. However, a potential caveat for this prediction is Trabzonspor's home advantage, which can sometimes lead to unexpected results. For a detailed breakdown of how we reached this prediction, please refer to the "How We Reached This Prediction" section. The Daily Punt Analysis Team uses an in-house model that evaluates expected goals and actual results throughout the season to provide insights.
Betting Predictions
How the model works, and its full prediction record, are set out on our How It Works and Accuracy pages.
Both attacks have been productive in recent matches, with regular goal-scoring on either side.
Combined goal output is high (3.2 per game). The over has been the right side more often than not.
The most likely scoreline per our model at 14.9% probability.
Trabzonspor have been the stronger side, winning 52% of their matches.
Our model projects a 1-1 draw as the most likely scoreline at 14.9% probability. These six outcomes together cover the bulk of the projected probability for this fixture.
Lines averaged across 6 bookmakers. Trabzonspor are the favourites on the spread, so the larger handicaps pay more if they win comfortably while the smaller lines protect the bet on a narrower result.
Best Betting Odds
Trabzonspor vs Başakşehir| Bookmaker | 1X2 | O/U 2.5 | BTTS | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | X | 2 | Over | Under | Yes | No | |
| 2.12 | 3.65 | 3.10 | 1.65 | 2.20 | 1.55 | 2.30 | |
| 1.93 | 3.60 | 3.62 | 1.60 | 2.29 | 1.51 | 2.35 | |
| 1.95 | 3.50 | 3.70 | 1.57 | 2.25 | 1.50 | 2.40 | |
| 1.99 | 3.76 | 3.77 | 1.64 | 2.34 | — | — | |
| 1.94 | 3.42 | 3.33 | 1.72 | 2.13 | — | — | |
| 1.95 | 3.40 | 3.50 | — | — | 1.57 | 2.30 | |
| 1.90 | 3.75 | 3.60 | 1.62 | 2.25 | 1.53 | 2.38 | |
| 2.01 | 3.74 | 3.76 | 1.65 | 2.36 | 1.51 | 2.39 | |
| 2.02 | 3.50 | 3.25 | 1.64 | 2.08 | 1.54 | 2.25 | |
| 2.05 | 3.30 | 3.20 | 1.67 | 2.10 | 1.57 | 2.30 | |
Betano | 1.95 | 3.60 | 3.60 | 1.65 | 2.30 | 1.55 | 2.37 |
Superbet | 1.97 | 3.65 | 3.55 | 1.61 | 2.32 | 1.55 | 2.35 |
BetVictor | 1.91 | 3.75 | 3.50 | 1.57 | 2.21 | 1.50 | 2.40 |
Goals Probability
Avg. bookmaker oddsDouble Chance
Bet covers two outcomesHead to Head
Last 10 Meetings (Trabzonspor leads 7-1)In their last 10 encounters, Trabzonspor has won 7 times, there have been 2 draws, and Başakşehir has secured just 1 victory. The scorelines indicate a strong advantage for Trabzonspor, with several narrow wins such as 1-0 and 1-1, but also a few higher-scoring matches like 4-2 and 4-3. Başakşehir's lone win came in a 3-1 match, suggesting they can be competitive, but overall, Trabzonspor has shown significant dominance in this fixture. It has been some time since Başakşehir last claimed victory against Trabzonspor, which adds to the latter's historical edge.
Süper Lig Standings
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Galatasaray | 4 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 12 | 6 | 6 | 10 | WWWD |
| 2 |  Beşiktaş | 4 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 9 | 4 | 5 | 9 | WWLW |
| 3 |  Kocaelispor | 4 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 3 | 2 | 9 | WWWL |
| 4 | Trabzonspor | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 9 | 4 | 5 | 7 | WLWD |
| 5 |  Amed | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 7 | 5 | 2 | 7 | DWLW |
| 6 |  Gençlerbirliği S.K. | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 7 | -3 | 7 | LDWW |
| 10 | Başakşehir | 4 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 6 | 6 | 0 | 4 | LDLW |
| 16 |  Eyüpspor | 4 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 2 | 6 | -4 | 3 | LWLL |
| 17 |  Göztepe | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 5 | 7 | -2 | 1 | LLD |
| 18 |  Konyaspor | 4 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 3 | 8 | -5 | 0 | LLLL |
Venue Record
Current season at home / on the roadKey Statistics
2026 SeasonTrabzonspor have won 8 of their last 15 matches at home, drawing 2 and losing 5. Their recent home fixtures include beat Trabzonspor 2-1 and lost to Trabzonspor 0-1.
Overall, the wider run reads 16W 6D 9L from the last 31 games (52% win rate). The form line is positive, with more wins than defeats across the sample.
Başakşehir have won 7 of their last 15 matches on the road, drawing 3 and losing 5. Their recent away fixtures include lost to Trabzonspor 2-1 and lost to Inter Turku 2-0.
Overall, the wider run reads 14W 7D 8L from the last 29 games (48% win rate). The form line is positive, with more wins than defeats across the sample.
Lineups
ConfirmedTrabzonspor4-2-3-1Confirmed
Başakşehir4-2-3-1Confirmed
Unavailable Players
3 playersTrabzonspor3
Başakşehir
No reported absences
Betting Strategy
High-probability picks are the most likely outcomes. Value selections are markets where our model's probability sits above the price implied by the odds. They will not always come in, but the odds are in your favour over time.
Yellow Card Prediction
A. Karaoglan has averaged 5.0 yellow cards per match across 2 recent fixtures we have data for. Our pick is over 4.5 yellow cards at 1.85.
Corner Prediction
Trabzonspor have averaged 6.1 corners per match at home; Başakşehir 5.1 on the road. Combined that projects roughly 6.6 corners in this fixture. Our pick is under 9.5 corners at 1.80.
Player Stats Bet
Trabzonspor have generated 1.25 xG per game across their recent matches, winning 52% of them. They put 4.5 shots on target per match, giving their attackers the volume needed to land a goal-involvement bet. Trabzonspor player to score or assist at 1.55 looks well supported by the data.
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The Daily Punt Analysis Team
Data-driven football predictions and betting tips
This forecast was built by the The Daily Punt Analysis Team using our in-house statistical model. We feed the model two layers of data for every fixture: each team's recent expected goals (xG and xGA) and their actual goals scored and conceded, split by home and away venue. The numbers run through a Poisson distribution that produces a probability for every possible scoreline, which we then convert into fair odds for the 1X2, correct score, BTTS, and over/under markets.
Before publishing, we cross-check our fair odds against the prices the major bookmakers are offering. Where a bookmaker is paying out more than our model says is mathematically fair, we flag that market as a value bet on this page.
