Fenerbahçe vs Konyaspor Prediction, Tips & Odds
Fenerbahçe vs Konyaspor
Match Preview
The model favours Fenerbahçe to win against Konyaspor, projecting a scoreline of 2-1. Fenerbahçe enters this match with a solid recent form, having secured four victories and one draw in their last five matches. This momentum from the previous season could provide an essential psychological edge as they aim to kick off the new campaign positively. Their current league position, though not reflective due to no matches played this season, indicates a potential for a strong showing based on their recent performances. On the other hand, Konyaspor has struggled with consistency, managing only two wins in their last five matches, along with three losses. This inconsistency may affect their confidence and ability to maintain pressure against a team like Fenerbahçe, which has demonstrated a more robust form leading into this matchup. With both teams starting on even ground in the standings, Konyaspor will need to overcome their recent form to challenge effectively. The model's output suggests a win probability favouring Fenerbahçe, with a projected score of 2-1 and a key market percentage reflecting this expectation. However, a caveat to consider is the unpredictability of early-season matches, where both teams are looking to establish their identity. The full method of our prediction is detailed in the "How We Reached This Prediction" section, as our in-house model analyses expected goals and actual results across the season. The Daily Punt Analysis Team aims to provide insightful, data-driven predictions for this exciting fixture.
Betting Predictions
How the model works, and its full prediction record, are set out on our How It Works and Accuracy pages.
Both attacks have been productive in recent matches, with regular goal-scoring on either side.
Combined goal output is high (3.5 per game). The over has been the right side more often than not.
The most likely scoreline per our model at 16.0% probability.
Fenerbahçe have been the stronger side, winning 64% of their matches.
Our model projects a 2-0 Fenerbahçe win as the most likely scoreline at 16.0% probability. 3 of the top six outcomes feature Fenerbahçe clean sheets, in line with their 33% clean-sheet rate this season.
Lines averaged across 2 bookmakers. Fenerbahçe are the favourites on the spread, so the larger handicaps pay more if they win comfortably while the smaller lines protect the bet on a narrower result.
Best Betting Odds
Fenerbahçe vs Konyaspor| Bookmaker | 1X2 | O/U 2.5 | BTTS | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | X | 2 | Over | Under | Yes | No | |
| 1.28 | 5.50 | 9.20 | 1.50 | 2.55 | 1.85 | 1.85 | |
| 1.25 | 5.50 | 10.25 | 1.50 | 2.28 | 1.97 | 1.73 | |
| 1.22 | 5.50 | 10.50 | 1.50 | 2.40 | 1.95 | 1.75 | |
| 1.29 | 5.90 | 10.78 | 1.59 | 2.45 | — | — | |
| 1.28 | 5.13 | 8.10 | — | — | — | — | |
| 1.25 | 5.00 | 9.50 | — | — | 1.95 | 1.75 | |
| 1.27 | 5.25 | 10.00 | 1.57 | 2.35 | 1.91 | 1.80 | |
| 1.27 | 6.23 | 11.60 | 1.62 | 2.42 | 1.97 | 1.75 | |
| 1.26 | 5.40 | 9.50 | 1.48 | 2.40 | 1.87 | 1.80 | |
| 1.25 | 5.00 | 9.50 | 1.44 | 2.50 | 1.85 | 1.85 | |
Betano | 1.32 | 5.80 | 10.75 | 1.60 | 2.42 | 1.95 | 1.78 |
Superbet | 1.28 | 5.75 | 9.20 | 1.59 | 2.37 | 2.05 | 1.72 |
BetVictor | 1.25 | 5.50 | 10.50 | 1.54 | 2.26 | 1.95 | 1.75 |
Goals Probability
Avg. bookmaker oddsDouble Chance
Bet covers two outcomesHead to Head
Last 10 Meetings (Fenerbahçe leads 7-2)In the last 10 matches between Fenerbahçe and Konyaspor, Fenerbahçe has won 7 times, Konyaspor has won 2, and there has been 1 draw. The scorelines indicate a generally dominant performance by Fenerbahçe, with four matches ending in heavy wins, including a notable 7-1 victory. Konyaspor's victories have been narrow, with only one match being won by a single goal margin. The draw frequency is low, and Konyaspor has not won against Fenerbahçe in the last six encounters, highlighting a significant advantage for Fenerbahçe in this head-to-head record.
Süper Lig Standings
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Galatasaray | 4 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 12 | 6 | 6 | 10 | WWWD |
| 2 |  Beşiktaş | 4 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 9 | 4 | 5 | 9 | WWLW |
| 3 |  Kocaelispor | 4 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 3 | 2 | 9 | WWWL |
| 4 |  Trabzonspor | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 9 | 4 | 5 | 7 | WLWD |
| 5 |  Amed | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 7 | 5 | 2 | 7 | DWLW |
| 6 |  Gençlerbirliği S.K. | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 7 | -3 | 7 | LDWW |
| 7 | Fenerbahçe | 4 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 8 | 6 | 2 | 6 | LWWL |
| 16 |  Eyüpspor | 4 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 2 | 6 | -4 | 3 | LWLL |
| 17 |  Göztepe | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 5 | 7 | -2 | 1 | LLD |
| 18 | Konyaspor | 4 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 3 | 8 | -5 | 0 | LLLL |
Venue Record
Current season at home / on the roadKey Statistics
2026 SeasonFenerbahçe have won 10 of their last 16 matches at home, drawing 4 and losing 2. Their recent home fixtures include lost to Beşiktaş 1-2 and beat Konyaspor 4-2.
Overall, the wider run reads 21W 6D 6L from the last 33 games (64% win rate). The form line is positive, with more wins than defeats across the sample.
Konyaspor have won 5 of their last 14 matches on the road, drawing 2 and losing 7. Their recent away fixtures include lost to Fenerbahçe 4-2 and beat Zorya Luhansk 1-2.
Overall, the wider run reads 12W 5D 12L from the last 29 games (41% win rate). The form line is positive, with more wins than defeats across the sample.
Lineups
ConfirmedFenerbahçe4-2-3-1Confirmed
Konyaspor4-2-3-1Confirmed
Unavailable Players
5 playersFenerbahçe4
Konyaspor1
Betting Strategy
High-probability picks are the most likely outcomes. Value selections are markets where our model's probability sits above the price implied by the odds. They will not always come in, but the odds are in your favour over time.
Yellow Card Prediction
A. Karaoglan has averaged 7.0 yellow cards per match across 1 recent fixtures we have data for. Our pick is over 4.5 yellow cards at 1.85.
Corner Prediction
Fenerbahçe have averaged 7.0 corners per match at home; Konyaspor 3.7 on the road. Combined that projects roughly 6.3 corners in this fixture. Our pick is under 9.5 corners at 1.80.
Player Stats Bet
Fenerbahçe have generated 2.14 xG per game across their recent matches, winning 64% of them. They put 6.9 shots on target per match, giving their attackers the volume needed to land a goal-involvement bet. Fenerbahçe player to score or assist at 1.55 looks well supported by the data.
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The Daily Punt Analysis Team
Data-driven football predictions and betting tips
This forecast was built by the The Daily Punt Analysis Team using our in-house statistical model. We feed the model two layers of data for every fixture: each team's recent expected goals (xG and xGA) and their actual goals scored and conceded, split by home and away venue. The numbers run through a Poisson distribution that produces a probability for every possible scoreline, which we then convert into fair odds for the 1X2, correct score, BTTS, and over/under markets.
Before publishing, we cross-check our fair odds against the prices the major bookmakers are offering. Where a bookmaker is paying out more than our model says is mathematically fair, we flag that market as a value bet on this page.
