Rīgas FS II vs Rēzekne FA Prediction, Tips & Odds
Rīgas FS II vs Rēzekne FA
Match Preview
The model favours Rīgas FS II to win against Rēzekne FA, projecting a scoreline of 2-1. Rīgas FS II is currently positioned 11th in the league and has accumulated 5 points from their nine matches, with a record of one win, two draws, and six losses. Despite their struggles this season, they have managed to score 10 goals, although they have conceded 22, resulting in a goal difference of -12. Their recent form shows a slight improvement, with one win, one draw, and three losses in their last five matches. On the other hand, Rēzekne FA sits at the bottom of the standings in 13th place, having earned just 4 points from nine matches. Their record of one win, one draw, and seven losses highlights their difficulties this season, particularly in defence, where they have conceded 28 goals, leading to a goal difference of -21. Their recent form is similar to Rīgas FS II, with one win, one draw, and three losses in their last five matches, indicating they are also struggling to find consistency. The model suggests a win probability of 55% for Rīgas FS II, with a projected score of 2-1. A key market percentage indicates that Rīgas FS II is favoured to win at around 60%. However, the caveat is that both teams are near the bottom of the standings, and either could struggle to convert chances on the day. The full method used for this prediction is detailed in the "How We Reached This Prediction" section. This analysis is provided by the SureTipsPro Analysis Team, which employs an in-house model that evaluates fixtures based on expected goals and actual results throughout the season.
Betting Predictions
How the model works, and its full prediction record, are set out on our How It Works and Accuracy pages.
Both attacks have been productive in recent matches, with regular goal-scoring on either side.
Combined goal output is high (2.9 per game). The over has been the right side more often than not.
The most likely scoreline per our model at 12.9% probability.
Rīgas FS II have been the stronger side, winning 30% of their matches.
Our model projects a 2-1 Rīgas FS II win as the most likely scoreline at 12.9% probability. These six outcomes together cover the bulk of the projected probability for this fixture.
Lines averaged across 3 bookmakers. Rīgas FS II are the favourites on the spread, so the larger handicaps pay more if they win comfortably while the smaller lines protect the bet on a narrower result.
Best Betting Odds
Rīgas FS II vs Rēzekne FA| Bookmaker | 1X2 | O/U 2.5 | BTTS | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | X | 2 | Over | Under | Yes | No | |
| 1.55 | 4.10 | 4.33 | — | — | — | — | |
| 1.52 | 4.33 | 4.45 | 1.31 | 2.92 | 1.40 | 2.60 | |
| 1.53 | 4.40 | 4.60 | 1.30 | 3.20 | 1.40 | 2.75 | |
| 1.57 | 4.20 | 4.10 | 1.36 | 3.00 | — | — | |
| 1.54 | 4.33 | 4.51 | 1.31 | 2.92 | 1.40 | 2.66 | |
Betano | 1.57 | 4.35 | 4.15 | — | — | — | — |
Superbet | 1.58 | 4.30 | 4.10 | 1.31 | 2.92 | 1.41 | 2.70 |
Goals Probability
Avg. bookmaker oddsDouble Chance
Bet covers two outcomesHead to Head
1. Liga Standings
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Metta / LU | 10 | 8 | 1 | 1 | 36 | 9 | 27 | 25 | WDWWL |
| 2 |  Leevon / PPK | 10 | 7 | 3 | 0 | 18 | 8 | 10 | 24 | DWWWW |
| 3 |  Valmiera / BSS | 10 | 7 | 2 | 1 | 26 | 11 | 15 | 23 | WDLDW |
| 4 |  Riga Mariners | 10 | 6 | 4 | 0 | 19 | 10 | 9 | 22 | WDWWD |
| 5 |  JDFS Alberts | 10 | 5 | 2 | 3 | 21 | 14 | 7 | 17 | DWWLD |
| 6 |  Mārupe | 10 | 5 | 1 | 4 | 20 | 12 | 8 | 16 | LLWWW |
| 10 | Rīgas FS II | 10 | 2 | 2 | 6 | 13 | 22 | -9 | 8 | WWLLD |
| 12 |  JFK Ventspils | 9 | 1 | 3 | 5 | 11 | 17 | -6 | 6 | WLLDL |
| 13 |  Smiltene | 10 | 0 | 4 | 6 | 9 | 27 | -18 | 4 | LDLLL |
| 14 | Rēzekne FA | 10 | 1 | 1 | 8 | 7 | 31 | -24 | 4 | LWLLD |
Venue Record
Current season at home / on the roadKey Statistics
2026 SeasonRīgas FS II have won 3 of their last 9 matches at home, drawing 1 and losing 5. Their recent home fixtures include beat Rēzekne FA 3-0 and lost to Leevon / PPK 1-2.
Overall, the wider run reads 6W 5D 9L from the last 20 games (30% win rate). The form line has been negative, with defeats outweighing wins across the sample.
Rēzekne FA have won 2 of their last 11 matches on the road, drawing 1 and losing 8. Their recent away fixtures include lost to Rēzekne FA 3-0 and lost to Ķekava / Auda 2-1.
Overall, the wider run reads 5W 2D 14L from the last 21 games (24% win rate). The form line has been negative, with defeats outweighing wins across the sample.
Lineups
Lineups not yet announced
Starting lineups are usually confirmed approximately 1 hour before kick-off.
Unavailable Players
0 playersRīgas FS II
No reported absences
Rēzekne FA
No reported absences
Betting Strategy
High-probability picks are the most likely outcomes. Value selections are markets where our model's probability sits above the price implied by the odds. They will not always come in, but the odds are in your favour over time.
Yellow Card Prediction
The referee for this fixture has not been confirmed, so we are sitting this card market out.
Corner Prediction
Rīgas FS II average 1.6 goals per match at home; Rēzekne FA 1.3 on the road. Open, attack-leaning sides tend to produce more corners; tight, low-event games tend to produce fewer. Our pick is over 9.5 corners at 1.72.
Player Stats Bet
Rīgas FS II have been the stronger side on attack across the season, winning 30% of their matches and averaging 1.6 goals per game. Rīgas FS II player to score at 1.85 looks well supported by the data.
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The Daily Punt Analysis Team
Data-driven football predictions and betting tips
This forecast was built by the The Daily Punt Analysis Team using our in-house statistical model. We feed the model two layers of data for every fixture: each team's recent expected goals (xG and xGA) and their actual goals scored and conceded, split by home and away venue. The numbers run through a Poisson distribution that produces a probability for every possible scoreline, which we then convert into fair odds for the 1X2, correct score, BTTS, and over/under markets.
Before publishing, we cross-check our fair odds against the prices the major bookmakers are offering. Where a bookmaker is paying out more than our model says is mathematically fair, we flag that market as a value bet on this page.