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Ranchers Bees vs Doma United Prediction, Tips & Odds

Ranchers Bees vs Doma United

NPFLRegular Season - 10
Ranchers Bees
#19 ยท NPFL
LDLDL
VS
Doma United
#8 ยท NPFL
DLWLD

Match Preview

The model favours Doma United to win this match against Ranchers Bees, with a projected scoreline of 2-1. Doma United currently sits in 5th place in the league standings, having accumulated 13 points from 8 matches. Their season has seen them secure 4 wins, 1 draw, and 3 losses, with a goal difference of 0. The team's scoring rate has been steady, netting 10 goals while conceding the same number, indicating a balance in their attacking and defensive play. In contrast, Ranchers Bees find themselves in 16th position, struggling with only 8 points from their 8 fixtures. Their record of 2 wins, 2 draws, and 4 losses reflects a challenging start to the season. With a goal difference of -1, they have scored 9 goals but have also conceded 10, highlighting their difficulties in both scoring and defending consistently. Their recent form shows just one win in their last five matches, which could further impact their confidence heading into this game. The model suggests Doma United has a strong chance of winning, with a projected win probability favouring them significantly. However, a potential concern for Doma United could be their recent form, having lost three of their last five matches. The full method used in this prediction is detailed in the "How We Reached This Prediction" section, as the analysis comes from an in-house model that evaluates expected goals and actual results throughout the season.

Head to Head

No head-to-head data available.

NPFL Standings

#TeamPWDLGFGAGDPtsForm
1
Rivers United
94501321117
DDWDD
2
Enugu Rangers
8521149517
DWWLW
3
Sporting Lagos
94321311215
WWDDD
4
Plateau United
94231511414
LWLWD
5
Barau FC
9351129314
DDLDW
6
Nasarawa United
9423108214
WWDWL
8
Doma United
94231111014
DLWLD
18
Enyimba
92251114-38
DLWWD
19
Ranchers Bees
92251013-38
LDLDL
20
Inter Lagos
9126518-132
LLDLD

Venue Record

Current season at home / on the road
Ranchers BeesHome
2W2D0L
4 playedGF 6 ยท GA 12.00 pts/game
Doma UnitedAway
1W0D3L
4 playedGF 3 ยท GA 80.75 pts/game

Key Statistics

2027 Season
Ranchers BeesDoma United
1.11Goals p.g.0.84
1.44Goals conceded p.g.1.47
33%Clean sheets32%
22%Win rate26%
2.56Avg goals in match2.32
Ranchers Bees
Recent Form

Ranchers Bees have won 2 of their last 4 matches at home, drawing 2 and losing 0. Their recent home fixtures include drew with Ranchers Bees 0-0 and drew with Ranchers Bees 0-0.

Overall, the wider run reads 2W 2D 5L from the last 9 games (22% win rate). The form line has been negative, with defeats outweighing wins across the sample.

Match Results: Ranchers BeesAll competitions
16 Oct
Shooting Stars
3-1
Ranchers Bees
NPFL
10 Oct
Ranchers Bees
0-0
Niger Tornadoes
NPFL
04 Oct
Kwara United
2-1
Ranchers Bees
NPFL
28 Sept
Ranchers Bees
0-0
Rivers United
NPFL
23 Sept
Enugu Rangers
1-0
Ranchers Bees
NPFL
19 Sept
Ranchers Bees
2-1
Bendel Insurance
NPFL
2
Win
22%
2
Draw
22%
5
Lost
56%
Doma United
Recent Form

Doma United have won 1 of their last 9 matches on the road, drawing 0 and losing 8. Their recent away fixtures include lost to Nasarawa United 2-0 and lost to Katsina United 2-1.

Overall, the wider run reads 5W 5D 9L from the last 19 games (26% win rate). The form line has been negative, with defeats outweighing wins across the sample.

Match Results: Doma UnitedAll competitions
17 Oct
Doma United
1-1
Kun Khalifat FC
NPFL
11 Oct
Nasarawa United
2-0
Doma United
NPFL
04 Oct
Doma United
1-0
Warri Wolves
NPFL
27 Sept
Katsina United
2-1
Doma United
NPFL
23 Sept
Doma United
2-2
Plateau United
NPFL
20 Sept
Kano Pillars
4-1
Doma United
NPFL
5
Win
26%
5
Draw
26%
9
Lost
47%

Lineups

๐Ÿ“‹

Lineups not yet announced

Starting lineups are usually confirmed approximately 1 hour before kick-off.

Unavailable Players

0 players

Ranchers Bees

No reported absences

Doma United

No reported absences

What's Your Prediction?

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The Daily Punt Analysis Team

Data-driven football predictions and betting tips

This forecast was built by the The Daily Punt Analysis Team using our in-house statistical model. We feed the model two layers of data for every fixture: each team's recent expected goals (xG and xGA) and their actual goals scored and conceded, split by home and away venue. The numbers run through a Poisson distribution that produces a probability for every possible scoreline, which we then convert into fair odds for the 1X2, correct score, BTTS, and over/under markets.

Before publishing, we cross-check our fair odds against the prices the major bookmakers are offering. Where a bookmaker is paying out more than our model says is mathematically fair, we flag that market as a value bet on this page.