Rangers vs Hibernian Prediction, Tips & Odds
Rangers vs Hibernian
Match Preview
The model favours Hibernian to win against Rangers, projecting a scoreline of 2-1. Hibernian enters the match in a stronger position, having finished the previous season in 4th place and showcasing a more consistent form with two wins in their last five matches. This suggests they have maintained a competitive edge, which could translate into a positive start to the new season. On the other hand, Rangers find themselves in a challenging position as they begin the new campaign. Despite their historical strength, they finished in 11th place last season and have only managed two wins in their last five matches, indicating a lack of momentum. The pressure to improve could weigh heavily on them in this opening fixture. According to the model, Hibernian has a win probability of around 60%, while the projected score reflects their recent form and overall positioning. However, it is important to note that early-season matches can often be unpredictable, and Rangers may benefit from home advantage at Ibrox Stadium. The full method behind this prediction is detailed in the "How We Reached This Prediction" section, where the in-house model analyzes expected goals and actual results across the season.
Betting Predictions
How the model works, and its full prediction record, are set out on our How It Works and Accuracy pages.
Both attacks have been productive in recent matches, with regular goal-scoring on either side.
Combined goal output is high (3.8 per game). The over has been the right side more often than not.
The most likely scoreline per our model at 13.3% probability.
Rangers have been the stronger side, winning 40% of their matches.
Our model projects a 2-1 Rangers win as the most likely scoreline at 13.3% probability. 3 of the top six outcomes feature Rangers clean sheets, in line with their 20% clean-sheet rate this season.
Lines averaged across 4 bookmakers. Rangers are the favourites on the spread, so the larger handicaps pay more if they win comfortably while the smaller lines protect the bet on a narrower result.
Best Betting Odds
Rangers vs Hibernian| Bookmaker | 1X2 | O/U 2.5 | BTTS | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | X | 2 | Over | Under | Yes | No | |
| 1.55 | 4.35 | 5.10 | 1.55 | 2.40 | 1.62 | 2.20 | |
| 1.50 | 4.35 | 5.70 | 1.50 | 2.29 | 1.62 | 2.13 | |
| 1.50 | 4.50 | 5.50 | 1.53 | 2.45 | 1.65 | 2.20 | |
| 1.55 | 4.57 | 5.78 | 1.58 | 2.48 | — | — | |
| 1.49 | 4.14 | 5.22 | — | — | — | — | |
| 1.53 | 4.00 | 5.00 | — | — | 1.60 | 2.25 | |
| 1.53 | 4.33 | 5.50 | 1.57 | 2.38 | 1.67 | 2.10 | |
| 1.51 | 4.35 | 5.71 | 1.50 | 2.29 | 1.62 | 2.16 | |
| 1.50 | 4.25 | 5.60 | 1.53 | 2.40 | 1.60 | 2.16 | |
| 1.53 | 4.00 | 5.00 | 1.53 | 2.30 | 1.60 | 2.25 | |
Betano | 1.57 | 4.50 | 6.20 | 1.57 | 2.47 | 1.62 | 2.20 |
Superbet | 1.54 | 4.50 | 5.45 | 1.56 | 2.45 | 1.65 | 2.15 |
BetVictor | 1.50 | 4.50 | 5.75 | 1.53 | 2.29 | 1.60 | 2.15 |
Goals Probability
Avg. bookmaker oddsDouble Chance
Bet covers two outcomesHead to Head
Last 10 Meetings (Rangers leads 6-1)In the last 10 matches between Rangers and Hibernian, Rangers have won 6 times, there have been 3 draws, and Hibernian has managed just 1 victory. The scorelines indicate a generally one-sided affair, with Rangers securing several narrow wins, including four 1-0 results. Hibernian's lone victory came in April 2025, and since then, they have not won against Rangers in six subsequent encounters. The matches have occasionally produced draws, but overall, Rangers have shown a strong dominance in this head-to-head record.
Premiership Standings
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Celtic | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 1 | 5 | 6 | WW |
| 2 |  ST Mirren | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 3 | 6 | WW |
| 3 |  Motherwell | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 4 | DW |
| 4 |  Heart Of Midlothian | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 2 | 3 | 3 | WL |
| 5 |  Dundee | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 3 | WL |
| 6 |  ST Johnstone | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 4 | 0 | 3 | LW |
| 7 | Hibernian | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 3 | WL |
| 9 | Rangers | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 3 | -1 | 1 | LD |
| 10 |  Falkirk | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | -2 | 1 | DL |
| 11 |  Dundee Utd | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 5 | -4 | 1 | LD |
| 12 |  Kilmarnock | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 4 | 9 | -5 | 0 | LL |
Venue Record
Current season at home / on the roadKey Statistics
2026 SeasonRangers have won 7 of their last 14 matches at home, drawing 4 and losing 3. Their recent home fixtures include beat ST Mirren 5-1 and drew with Jagiellonia 1-1.
Overall, the wider run reads 10W 8D 7L from the last 25 games (40% win rate). The form line is positive, with more wins than defeats across the sample.
Hibernian have won 6 of their last 15 matches on the road, drawing 3 and losing 6. Their recent away fixtures include drew with Shkendija 0-0 and beat Rangers 1-2.
Overall, the wider run reads 13W 6D 10L from the last 29 games (45% win rate). The form line is positive, with more wins than defeats across the sample.
Lineups
ConfirmedRangers4-2-3-1Confirmed
Hibernian4-3-3Confirmed
Unavailable Players
0 playersRangers
No reported absences
Hibernian
No reported absences
Betting Strategy
High-probability picks are the most likely outcomes. Value selections are markets where our model's probability sits above the price implied by the odds. They will not always come in, but the odds are in your favour over time.
Yellow Card Prediction
D. Robertson has averaged 3.5 yellow cards per match across 2 recent fixtures we have data for. Our pick is over 3.5 yellow cards at 1.85.
Corner Prediction
Rangers have averaged 6.6 corners per match at home; Hibernian 4.0 on the road. Combined that projects roughly 6.3 corners in this fixture. Our pick is under 9.5 corners at 1.80.
Player Stats Bet
Rangers have generated 2.13 xG per game across their recent matches, winning 40% of them. They put 6.4 shots on target per match, giving their attackers the volume needed to land a goal-involvement bet. Rangers player to score at 1.85 looks well supported by the data.
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The Daily Punt Analysis Team
Data-driven football predictions and betting tips
This forecast was built by the The Daily Punt Analysis Team using our in-house statistical model. We feed the model two layers of data for every fixture: each team's recent expected goals (xG and xGA) and their actual goals scored and conceded, split by home and away venue. The numbers run through a Poisson distribution that produces a probability for every possible scoreline, which we then convert into fair odds for the 1X2, correct score, BTTS, and over/under markets.
Before publishing, we cross-check our fair odds against the prices the major bookmakers are offering. Where a bookmaker is paying out more than our model says is mathematically fair, we flag that market as a value bet on this page.
