Rangers vs Motherwell Prediction, Tips & Odds
Rangers vs Motherwell
Match Preview
The model favours Motherwell to secure a win against Rangers, projecting a scoreline of 2-1. Motherwell currently sits in fourth place in the league standings, having garnered four points from their first two matches. They have shown solid early-season form, remaining unbeaten with one win and one draw. Notably, they have a positive goal difference of one, having scored two goals while conceding only one. Conversely, Rangers find themselves in ninth position with just one point from their opening two fixtures. Their season so far has been challenging, reflected in their goal difference of minus one and a record of no wins, one draw, and one loss. The team's recent form is concerning, with only two wins in their last five matches, indicating struggles to find consistency. The model indicates a win probability of approximately 60% for Motherwell, with the projected score being 2-1. However, one caveat to consider is Rangers’ potential to rebound at home, where they often perform better. The full method used for this prediction is detailed in the "How We Reached This Prediction" section, with the analysis conducted by The Daily Punt Analysis Team using an in-house model that evaluates expected goals and actual results across the season.
Betting Predictions
How the model works, and its full prediction record, are set out on our How It Works and Accuracy pages.
Both attacks have been productive in recent matches, with regular goal-scoring on either side.
Combined goal output is high (3.7 per game). The over has been the right side more often than not.
The most likely scoreline per our model at 13.3% probability.
Rangers have been the stronger side, winning 43% of their matches.
Our model projects a 2-1 Rangers win as the most likely scoreline at 13.3% probability. 3 of the top six outcomes feature Rangers clean sheets, in line with their 25% clean-sheet rate this season.
Lines averaged across 3 bookmakers. Rangers are the favourites on the spread, so the larger handicaps pay more if they win comfortably while the smaller lines protect the bet on a narrower result.
Best Betting Odds
Rangers vs Motherwell| Bookmaker | 1X2 | O/U 2.5 | BTTS | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | X | 2 | Over | Under | Yes | No | |
| 1.55 | 4.20 | 5.30 | 1.57 | 2.35 | 1.62 | 2.20 | |
| 1.51 | 4.15 | 5.90 | 1.65 | 2.19 | 1.72 | 1.98 | |
| 1.55 | 3.90 | 5.50 | — | — | 1.70 | 2.05 | |
| 1.53 | 4.00 | 5.75 | 1.67 | 2.20 | 1.75 | 2.00 | |
| 1.53 | 4.15 | 5.77 | 1.65 | 2.19 | 1.72 | 2.01 | |
| 1.46 | 4.20 | 6.00 | 1.61 | 2.23 | 1.73 | 1.97 | |
Betano | 1.55 | 4.15 | 6.00 | 1.70 | 2.22 | 1.72 | 2.05 |
BetVictor | 1.50 | 4.10 | 5.50 | 1.62 | 2.11 | 1.70 | 2.00 |
Goals Probability
Avg. bookmaker oddsDouble Chance
Bet covers two outcomesHead to Head
Last 10 Meetings (Rangers leads 4-3)Rangers hold the edge in this fixture, winning 4 of the last 10 meetings with 3 draws and 3 Motherwell wins. The record points to a tie Rangers have controlled for years, though the draws show Motherwell have at times kept it tight.
Premiership Standings
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Celtic | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 8 | 2 | 6 | 9 | WWW |
| 2 |  ST Mirren | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 6 | 3 | 3 | 7 | DWW |
| 3 |  Heart Of Midlothian | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 7 | 3 | 4 | 6 | WWL |
| 4 |  Dundee | 4 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 5 | 3 | 2 | 6 | LWWL |
| 5 |  Hibernian | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 4 | 1 | 6 | WWL |
| 6 | Motherwell | 3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 5 | 4 | 1 | 5 | DDW |
| 7 | Rangers | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 4 | WLD |
| 10 |  Aberdeen | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 4 | -2 | 3 | LLW |
| 11 |  Falkirk | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 4 | -3 | 1 | LDL |
| 12 |  Kilmarnock | 3 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 4 | 13 | -9 | 0 | LLL |
Venue Record
Current season at home / on the roadKey Statistics
2026 SeasonRangers have won 8 of their last 15 matches at home, drawing 4 and losing 3. Their recent home fixtures include beat Rangers 1-0 and beat Rangers 5-1.
Overall, the wider run reads 12W 8D 8L from the last 28 games (43% win rate). The form line is positive, with more wins than defeats across the sample.
Motherwell have won 6 of their last 17 matches on the road, drawing 3 and losing 8. Their recent away fixtures include drew with Motherwell 3-3 and lost to SC Freiburg 4-1.
Overall, the wider run reads 12W 7D 12L from the last 31 games (39% win rate). The form line is positive, with more wins than defeats across the sample.
Lineups
Lineups not yet announced
Starting lineups are usually confirmed approximately 1 hour before kick-off.
Unavailable Players
0 playersRangers
No reported absences
Motherwell
No reported absences
Betting Strategy
High-probability picks are the most likely outcomes. Value selections are markets where our model's probability sits above the price implied by the odds. They will not always come in, but the odds are in your favour over time.
Yellow Card Prediction
The referee for this fixture has not been confirmed, so we are sitting this card market out.
Corner Prediction
Rangers have averaged 5.9 corners per match at home; Motherwell 3.8 on the road. Combined that projects roughly 5.8 corners in this fixture. Our pick is under 9.5 corners at 1.80.
Player Stats Bet
Rangers have generated 1.91 xG per game across their recent matches, winning 43% of them. They put 5.7 shots on target per match, giving their attackers the volume needed to land a goal-involvement bet. Rangers player to score at 1.85 looks well supported by the data.
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The Daily Punt Analysis Team
Data-driven football predictions and betting tips
This forecast was built by the The Daily Punt Analysis Team using our in-house statistical model. We feed the model two layers of data for every fixture: each team's recent expected goals (xG and xGA) and their actual goals scored and conceded, split by home and away venue. The numbers run through a Poisson distribution that produces a probability for every possible scoreline, which we then convert into fair odds for the 1X2, correct score, BTTS, and over/under markets.
Before publishing, we cross-check our fair odds against the prices the major bookmakers are offering. Where a bookmaker is paying out more than our model says is mathematically fair, we flag that market as a value bet on this page.
