Remo vs Coritiba Prediction, Tips & Odds
Remo vs Coritiba
Match Preview
The model favours Coritiba to win this match against Remo, projecting a scoreline of 2-1. Coritiba currently sits in 10th place in the Serie A standings, having accumulated 31 points from 23 matches. Their season has been marked by a balanced performance, with 8 wins and 7 draws, although they have struggled to convert draws into wins recently. Notably, Coritiba has a slightly better goal difference of -2, indicating a more effective attack relative to the goals conceded. In contrast, Remo finds itself in the relegation zone at 18th position, with 22 points from 22 matches. Their form has been inconsistent, reflected in their recent record of one win, two draws, and two losses in their last five matches. With only 5 wins this season and a goal difference of -10, Remo has struggled to find the back of the net consistently, which could hinder their chances in this crucial matchup. According to the model's output, Coritiba has a win probability of 55%, while the projected score is 2-1. One key market percentage to note is that Coritiba has a 40% chance of scoring more than 1.5 goals in this match. However, a caveat is that if Remo can leverage their home advantage effectively, they might spring a surprise. The full methodology behind this prediction can be found in the "How We Reached This Prediction" section, as our analysis is based on expected goals and actual results throughout the season, conducted by The Daily Punt Analysis Team.
Betting Predictions
How the model works, and its full prediction record, are set out on our How It Works and Accuracy pages.
Both attacks have been productive in recent matches, with regular goal-scoring on either side.
Remo manage games at home, conceding just 1.43 goals per match. Coritiba score 1.27 on the road.
The most likely scoreline per our model at 17.3% probability.
Remo have been the stronger side, winning 27% of their matches.
Our model projects a 1-1 draw as the most likely scoreline at 17.3% probability. 3 of the top six outcomes feature Remo clean sheets, in line with their 16% clean-sheet rate this season.
Lines averaged across 6 bookmakers. Remo are the favourites on the spread, so the larger handicaps pay more if they win comfortably while the smaller lines protect the bet on a narrower result.
Best Betting Odds
Remo vs Coritiba| Bookmaker | 1X2 | O/U 2.5 | BTTS | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | X | 2 | Over | Under | Yes | No | |
| 2.15 | 3.25 | 3.40 | 2.20 | 1.65 | 1.90 | 1.80 | |
| 2.04 | 3.15 | 3.78 | 2.21 | 1.64 | 1.93 | 1.76 | |
| 2.00 | 3.10 | 3.80 | 2.25 | 1.62 | 1.90 | 1.87 | |
| 2.09 | 3.26 | 4.01 | 2.29 | 1.66 | — | — | |
| 2.02 | 3.06 | 3.48 | 2.29 | 1.61 | — | — | |
| 2.00 | 3.00 | 3.80 | — | — | 1.95 | 1.80 | |
| 2.05 | 3.30 | 3.80 | 2.20 | 1.65 | 1.95 | 1.80 | |
| 2.10 | 3.24 | 3.89 | 2.25 | 1.67 | 1.92 | 1.79 | |
| 2.14 | 3.20 | 3.40 | 2.20 | 1.64 | 1.87 | 1.83 | |
| 2.00 | 3.00 | 3.80 | 2.25 | 1.60 | 1.95 | 1.80 | |
Betano | 2.22 | 3.30 | 3.70 | 2.27 | 1.67 | 1.90 | 1.83 |
Superbet | 2.07 | 3.25 | 3.80 | 2.22 | 1.66 | 1.97 | 1.78 |
BetVictor | 2.00 | 3.30 | 3.80 | 2.15 | 1.60 | 1.95 | 1.75 |
Goals Probability
Avg. bookmaker oddsDouble Chance
Bet covers two outcomesHead to Head
Last 5 Meetings (Coritiba leads 2-1)The head-to-head record between Remo and Coritiba stands at 1 win for Remo, 2 draws, and 2 wins for Coritiba over the last five matches. The scorelines indicate a fairly competitive series, with three of the five matches ending in draws or by a single goal margin, suggesting tightly contested encounters. Notably, both teams have struggled to score heavily, as only one match resulted in more than two goals. Coritiba’s most recent victory came in July 2021, while Remo's last win was in April 2025, indicating a balanced rivalry with no clear dominance from either side.
Serie A Standings
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Flamengo | 26 | 16 | 6 | 4 | 51 | 21 | 30 | 54 | WWWLW |
| 2 |  Palmeiras | 25 | 15 | 7 | 3 | 45 | 21 | 24 | 52 | DWLDW |
| 3 |  Atletico Paranaense | 26 | 13 | 6 | 7 | 38 | 28 | 10 | 45 | LDWDW |
| 4 |  Fluminense | 26 | 12 | 9 | 5 | 40 | 32 | 8 | 45 | WDWWD |
| 5 |  Bahia | 26 | 11 | 10 | 5 | 40 | 32 | 8 | 43 | WWWDD |
| 6 |  Cruzeiro | 26 | 12 | 6 | 8 | 38 | 37 | 1 | 42 | WLWWW |
| 7 | Coritiba | 26 | 10 | 7 | 9 | 34 | 35 | -1 | 37 | LWWDW |
| 19 | Remo | 26 | 5 | 8 | 13 | 30 | 43 | -13 | 23 | LLLDD |
| 20 |  Chapecoense-sc | 24 | 2 | 8 | 14 | 25 | 49 | -24 | 14 | LWDLD |
| 20 |  Chapecoense B | 20 | 1 | 7 | 12 | 19 | 41 | -22 | 10 |
Venue Record
Current season at home / on the roadKey Statistics
2026 SeasonRemo have won 6 of their last 17 matches at home, drawing 5 and losing 6. Their recent home fixtures include lost to Coritiba 2-3 and lost to Santos 0-1.
Overall, the wider run reads 10W 12D 15L from the last 37 games (27% win rate). The form line has been negative, with defeats outweighing wins across the sample.
Coritiba have won 6 of their last 16 matches on the road, drawing 6 and losing 4. Their recent away fixtures include beat Coritiba 2-3 and drew with RB Bragantino 0-0.
Overall, the wider run reads 11W 10D 9L from the last 30 games (37% win rate). The form line is positive, with more wins than defeats across the sample.
Lineups
Lineups not yet announced
Starting lineups are usually confirmed approximately 1 hour before kick-off.
Unavailable Players
10 playersRemo5
Coritiba5
Betting Strategy
High-probability picks are the most likely outcomes. Value selections are markets where our model's probability sits above the price implied by the odds. They will not always come in, but the odds are in your favour over time.
Yellow Card Prediction
D. C. Muniz dos Santos has averaged 4.0 yellow cards per match across 2 recent fixtures we have data for. Our pick is over 3.5 yellow cards at 1.85.
Corner Prediction
Remo have averaged 4.9 corners per match at home; Coritiba 3.8 on the road. Combined that projects roughly 5.3 corners in this fixture. Our pick is under 9.5 corners at 1.80.
Player Stats Bet
Remo have generated 1.22 xG per game across their recent matches, winning 27% of them. They put 4.0 shots on target per match, giving their attackers the volume needed to land a goal-involvement bet. Remo player to score at 1.85 looks well supported by the data.
What's Your Prediction?
Pick the result you expect
Do you agree with this prediction?
The Daily Punt Analysis Team
Data-driven football predictions and betting tips
This forecast was built by the The Daily Punt Analysis Team using our in-house statistical model. We feed the model two layers of data for every fixture: each team's recent expected goals (xG and xGA) and their actual goals scored and conceded, split by home and away venue. The numbers run through a Poisson distribution that produces a probability for every possible scoreline, which we then convert into fair odds for the 1X2, correct score, BTTS, and over/under markets.
Before publishing, we cross-check our fair odds against the prices the major bookmakers are offering. Where a bookmaker is paying out more than our model says is mathematically fair, we flag that market as a value bet on this page.
