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Remo vs Santos Prediction, Tips & Odds

Remo vs Santos

Serie ARegular Season - 28
Remo
#19 · Serie A
LLLDL
1 - 2
Mangueirao, Belem
Referee: Wilton Sampaio
Santos
#12 · Serie A
DWLDD
★ OUR PICK
Both Teams to Score
Both attacks have been productive and both defences leaky — both teams to score carries the edge.
BTTS
1.73
BEST ODDS
Our pick: Bookmakers offer average 1.68 (implied 59.5%) for Both Teams to Score. Our experts calculate a 62.0% probability (an expert ratio of 1.61). We chose this bet because our experts rate it more likely than the bookmaker price implies (62.0% vs 59.5%), driven by both attacks scoring freely while both defences look leaky. That edge makes it our most confident selection for this match.

Match Preview

The model favours Santos to win this match against Remo, projecting a scoreline of 2-1. Santos currently sits in 12th place in the Serie A standings with 32 points from 25 matches. Their season has been characterized by a balanced attack, scoring 37 goals while conceding 38. Despite a mixed form recently, with one win and three draws in their last five matches, Santos has shown resilience, particularly in their ability to secure points even when not at their best. On the other hand, Remo is struggling at 19th place, having accumulated only 23 points from 26 matches. Their season has been difficult, with five wins, eight draws, and thirteen losses. The recent form tells a grim story for Remo, as they have not secured a win in their last five matches, managing only two draws and three losses. With 30 goals scored but 43 conceded, their defensive vulnerabilities have been evident throughout the season. The model indicates a win probability of around 55% for Santos, reflecting their stronger position in the standings and slightly better overall performance. However, a caveat exists: if Remo can leverage their home advantage effectively, they could potentially upset the odds. For a deeper understanding of the prediction, please refer to the "How We Reached This Prediction" section, where our in-house model analyzes expected goals and actual results across the season.

Betting Predictions

How the model works, and its full prediction record, are set out on our How It Works and Accuracy pages.

Match Result
Remo Win31%2.82
Draw24%3.24
Santos Win45%2.45
BTTS
Both Teams to Score: Yes
1.6854.3%

Both attacks have been productive in recent matches, with regular goal-scoring on either side.

Over/Under Goals
Under 2.5 Goals
1.8750.9%

Remo manage games at home, conceding just 1.43 goals per match. Santos score 1.44 on the road.

Correct Score
Remo 1-1 Santos
6.0616.5%

The most likely scoreline per our model at 16.5% probability.

Asian Handicap
Santos -0.0
1.7739%

Santos have been the stronger side, winning 35% of their matches.

CORRECT SCOREMost likely outcomes
1-1
6.06
16.5%
0-1
8.32
12.0%
1-0
9.06
11.1%
1-2
9.17
10.9%
0-0
9.65
10.4%
2-1
9.96
10.1%

Our model projects a 1-1 draw as the most likely scoreline at 16.5% probability. These six outcomes together cover the bulk of the projected probability for this fixture.

ASIAN HANDICAPLines & prices
Remo
-0.0
2.05
Santos
+0.0
1.77
Remo
-0.3
2.47
Santos
+0.3
2.10
Remo
-1.5
5.50
Santos
+1.5
5.00

Lines averaged across 5 bookmakers. Santos are the favourites on the spread, so the larger handicaps pay more if they win comfortably while the smaller lines protect the bet on a narrower result.

Best Betting Odds

Remo vs Santos
Bookmaker1X2O/U 2.5BTTS
1X2OverUnderYesNo
Marathonbet
2.833.202.441.901.841.682.03
Betfair
2.703.302.451.901.901.672.15
Pinnacle
2.943.352.531.971.92
SBO
2.603.042.291.941.88
William Hill
2.803.102.401.732.00
Bet365
2.903.202.501.951.851.672.10
1xBet
2.923.302.521.951.891.682.06
Betano
2.903.352.471.931.911.672.10
BetVictor
2.803.302.451.871.801.672.05

Goals Probability

Avg. bookmaker odds
Over 0.5 Goals
90.1%
Over 1.5 Goals
73.1%
Over 2.5 Goals
49.1%
Over 3.5 Goals
29.1%

Double Chance

Bet covers two outcomes
1XRemo or Draw
55%1.52
12Remo or Santos
76%1.31
X2Draw or Santos
69%1.41

Head to Head

Last 3 Meetings (Santos leads 2-0)
0 Remo1 Draw2 Santos
05 Aug
Remo
0-1
Santos
Copa Do Brasil
02 Aug
Santos
0-0
Remo
Copa Do Brasil
02 Apr
Santos
2-0
Remo
Serie A

In the last three matches between Remo and Santos, Santos has won twice while one match ended in a draw, resulting in a record of 0 wins for Remo and 2 wins for Santos. The scorelines indicate that Santos has had a slight edge, with two narrow victories of 1-0 and 2-0, alongside a goalless draw. This suggests that while Santos has been able to secure wins, the matches have generally been closely contested, with no heavy defeats for Remo. The most recent match in which Remo last secured a win against Santos is not included in this sample, highlighting their struggles in recent encounters.

Serie A Standings

#TeamPWDLGFGAGDPtsForm
1
Flamengo
26166451213054
WWWLW
2
Palmeiras
25157345212452
DWLDW
3
Atletico Paranaense
26136738281045
LDWDW
4
Fluminense
2612954032845
WDWWD
5
Bahia
26111054032843
WWWDD
6
Cruzeiro
2612683837142
WLWWW
12
Santos
258893738-132
WWDWL
19
Remo
2658133043-1323
LLLDD
20
Chapecoense-sc
2428142549-2414
LWDLD
20
Chapecoense B
2017121941-2210

Venue Record

Current season at home / on the road
RemoHome
3W5D5L
13 playedGF 17 · GA 171.08 pts/game
SantosAway
3W4D5L
12 playedGF 19 · GA 211.08 pts/game

Key Statistics

2026 Season
RemoSantos
1.22Goals p.g.1.44
1.43Goals conceded p.g.1.16
16%Clean sheets35%
27%Win rate35%
2.65Avg goals in match2.6
1.22xG per game1.88
0.11xGA per game0.28
40%Possession %58%
4.0Shots on target / game4.8
4.9Corners per game5.5
Remo
Recent Form

Remo have won 6 of their last 17 matches at home, drawing 5 and losing 6. Their recent home fixtures include lost to Coritiba 2-3 and lost to Santos 0-1.

Overall, the wider run reads 10W 12D 15L from the last 37 games (27% win rate). The form line has been negative, with defeats outweighing wins across the sample.

Match Results: RemoAll competitions
31 Aug
Remo
2-3
Coritiba
Serie A
22 Aug
Fluminense
2-1
Remo
Serie A
05 Aug
Remo
0-1
Santos
Copa Do Brasil
02 Aug
Santos
0-0
Remo
Copa Do Brasil
29 Jul
Mirassol
2-1
Remo
Serie A
26 Jul
Remo
2-0
Vitoria
Serie A
10
Win
27%
12
Draw
32%
15
Lost
41%
Santos
Recent Form

Santos have won 5 of their last 21 matches on the road, drawing 7 and losing 9. Their recent away fixtures include beat Corinthians 0-1 and lost to Palmeiras 3-0.

Overall, the wider run reads 15W 16D 12L from the last 43 games (35% win rate). The form line is positive, with more wins than defeats across the sample.

Match Results: SantosAll competitions
03 Sept
Santos
0-0
Palmeiras
Copa Do Brasil
30 Aug
Corinthians
0-1
Santos
Serie A
27 Aug
Palmeiras
3-0
Santos
Copa Do Brasil
23 Aug
Santos
1-1
Mirassol
Serie A
20 Aug
Macara
0-0
Santos
CONMEBOL Sudamericana
13 Aug
Santos
2-1
Macara
CONMEBOL Sudamericana
15
Win
35%
16
Draw
37%
12
Lost
28%

Lineups

📋

Lineups not yet announced

Starting lineups are usually confirmed approximately 1 hour before kick-off.

Unavailable Players

0 players

Remo

No reported absences

Santos

No reported absences

Betting Strategy

High-probability picks are the most likely outcomes. Value selections are markets where our model's probability sits above the price implied by the odds. They will not always come in, but the odds are in your favour over time.

Value Bets
Remo Win2.82 (30.6%)
Santos Win2.45 (45.2%)
Over 2.5 Goals1.93 (49.1%)
Under 2.5 Goals1.87 (50.9%)
Both Teams Score1.68 (54.3%)
BTTS No2.07 (45.7%)
Speculative
Draw3.24 (24.2%)

Yellow Card Prediction

Wilton Sampaio has been appointed as the referee for this fixture. We don't yet have enough recent fixtures officiated by Wilton Sampaio to give a confident card-market projection. Our default lean is under 3.5 yellow cards at 1.95.

Corner Prediction

Remo have averaged 4.9 corners per match at home; Santos 5.5 on the road. Combined that projects roughly 6.2 corners in this fixture. Our pick is under 9.5 corners at 1.80.

Player Stats Bet

Santos have generated 1.88 xG per game across their recent matches, winning 35% of them. They put 4.8 shots on target per match, giving their attackers the volume needed to land a goal-involvement bet. Santos player to score at 1.85 looks well supported by the data.

What's Your Prediction?

Pick the result you expect

OUR PREDICTION
Both Teams to Score Yes

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The Daily Punt Analysis Team

Data-driven football predictions and betting tips

This forecast was built by the The Daily Punt Analysis Team using our in-house statistical model. We feed the model two layers of data for every fixture: each team's recent expected goals (xG and xGA) and their actual goals scored and conceded, split by home and away venue. The numbers run through a Poisson distribution that produces a probability for every possible scoreline, which we then convert into fair odds for the 1X2, correct score, BTTS, and over/under markets.

Before publishing, we cross-check our fair odds against the prices the major bookmakers are offering. Where a bookmaker is paying out more than our model says is mathematically fair, we flag that market as a value bet on this page.